SPI Monitor March 2023

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March 2023

Conditions throughout the eastern Caribbean were predominantly normal to below normal during the month of March, with the exception of Dominica which was slightly dry to predominantly slightly wet.  Trinidad ranged from extremely dry in western areas to normal in the east; Grenada slight to severely dry; Barbados extreme to slightly dry; St Vincent exceptional to severely dry south to north; Saint Lucia, Guadeloupe, Antigua and St Thomas normal; Martinique, St Maarten and Anguilla moderately dry; St Kitts normal to slightly dry; and St Croix extreme to moderately dry. In the Guianas, conditions were predominantly normal, ranging from moderately wet on the southern Guyana/ Suriname border to extremely dry in southeastern French Guiana. Aruba was normal to predominantly slightly wet and Curacao was normal. Puerto Rico ranged from moderately dry in western areas to normal in the east. The Dominican Republic ranged from exceptionally dry in the extreme west to moderately wet in eastern areas. Jamaica was predominantly normal with slightly dry conditions in the west and slightly wet conditions in the north. Grand Cayman was exceptionally wet. Cuba ranged from extremely wet in the west to moderately dry in the extreme east. Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to moderately wet and Belize was moderately dry in the west to normal in the east.

January to March 2023

Over the three month period, conditions throughout the southern portion of the eastern Caribbean were mostly normal to below normal, while the northern portion were mixed. Trinidad and St Thomas were normal to slightly dry; Grenada and St Kitts normal; Barbados and St Croix severe to moderately dry; St Vincent extreme to moderately dry; Saint Lucia and Antigua normal to slightly wet; Martinique normal to severely dry; Dominica extremely wet to slightly dry; Guadeloupe very wet to moderately dry; and St Maarten and Anguilla moderately dry to normal. In the Guianas conditions ranged from normal to extremely wet. Aruba and curacao were normal. Puerto Rico ranged from moderately wet in northwestern areas to normal in the east. The Dominican Republic ranged from exceptionally dry in the southwest to normal in eastern and northern areas. Jamaica was predominantly normal with slightly dry areas on the extreme northeastern coast. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba was mostly normal ranging to slightly wet in the west and to extremely dry in the extreme east. Northern Bahamas was normal and Belize ranged from normal in the south to severely dry in the northeast.

October 2022 to March 2023

Mixed conditions prevailed over the six month period throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad ranged from normal to exceptionally wet; Grenada, Saint Lucia and Dominica moderately wet to normal; Barbados and St Vincent moderate to slightly dry; Martinique normal to severely dry; Guadeloupe slightly wet to moderately dry; Antigua, Anguilla and St Thomas normal; St Kitts normal to slightly dry; St Maarten moderately dry to normal; and St Croix moderately dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally wet to normal. Aruba was normal and Curacao normal to slightly wet. Puerto Rico ranged from severely dry in the west to normal in the east. The Dominican Republic ranged from exceptionally dry in the west to normal in the east. Jamaica ranged from extremely dry in the extreme west and east to normal in the extreme northwest. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from very wet in the west to extremely dry in the extreme east. Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to extremely wet and Belize was predominantly normal ranging to slightly wet in central areas and to moderately dry on the northeastern coast.

April 2022 to March 2023

Over the twelve month period conditions in the eastern Caribbean were mixed. Trinidad was moderate to exceptionally wet from southwest to northeast; Grenada slightly wet to normal; Barbados, Antigua and St Maarten slightly dry to normal; St Vincent severe to moderately dry; Saint Lucia, Dominica and Guadeloupe normal to moderately wet; Martinique slightly wet to severely dry south to north; St Kitts slight to moderately dry; and Anguilla, St Croix and St Thomas normal. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally wet to normal. Aruba was normal and Curacao slight to moderately wet. Puerto Rico ranged from severely dry in the west to slightly wet in the northeast. The Dominican Republic ranged from exceptionally dry in the southwest to moderately wet in the northeast.  Jamaica ranged from normal in the north to extremely dry in the west and to moderately dry in the east. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet to severely dry. Northern Bahamas was exceptionally wet to normal and Belize was normal in central areas ranging to exceptionally dry in the south, to moderately wet in the north and to extremely wet in the southeast.

April 2021 to March 2023

Apart from in the very south, conditions throughout the eastern Caribbean were predominantly normal to below normal over the two year period. Trinidad was exceptional to extremely wet; Grenada slightly wet to predominantly normal; Barbados severely dry to normal; St Vincent and Martinique severe to moderately dry; Saint Lucia and Anguilla slightly dry to predominantly normal; Dominica moderately dry to normal; Guadeloupe normal to extremely dry; Antigua extremely dry; St Kitts slight to moderately dry; St Maarten moderate to slightly dry; St Croix moderately dry and St Thomas normal. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally wet in most of Guyana, French Guiana and southern Suriname to exceptionally dry on the northern coast of French Guiana bordering Suriname. Aruba was normal and Curacao was mostly normal to slightly wet. Puerto Rico ranged from severely dry in the west to slightly wet on the northeastern coast. The Dominican Republic was moderately dry in the southwest ranging to mostly normal. Jamaica ranged from slightly wet in the northwest to extremely dry in the west and to severely dry in the east. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from severely dry in west central areas to moderately wet on the west coast and to moderately dry in the extreme east. Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to extremely wet and Belize was predominantly normal ranging to extremely dry in the extreme south and to slightly wet in the extreme north and southeast.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

Mean Temperature Anomalies February 2023

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February 2023

February 2023 was cooler than normal throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad ranged from 0 o C to 1.50 o C cooler; Grenada, Barbados and Guadeloupe between 0 o C and 0.75 o C cooler; Saint Lucia, Antigua, St Kitts and St Croix from 0.75 o C to 1.50 o C cooler; Martinique, Dominica and St Maarten 0.25 to 1.50 o C cooler; and St Thomas 0.25 to 0.75 cooler. In the Guianas temperatures ranged from 2.50 o C cooler to 0.25 o C warmer. Aruba was between 0 o C and 0.25 o C cooler and Curacao between 0.75 o C and 1.50 o C cooler.  Puerto Rico was predominantly between 0 o C and 0.25 o C cooler ranging to 0.75 o C cooler in the east. The Dominican Republic was 0 o C to 0.25 o C cooler. Jamaica ranged from 0.25 o C warmer in the west to 1.50 o C cooler in the east. Grand Cayman was 0 o C to 0.25 o C warmer. Northern Bahamas was 0.25 o C to 0.75 o C warmer and Belize ranged from 2.50 o C warmer in southeastern areas to 2.50 o C cooler in northern areas.

December 2022 to February 2023

The three month period was predominantly cooler than normal throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad and Guadeloupe ranged from 0 o C to predominantly between 0.25 o C and 0.75 o C cooler; Grenada, Dominica and St Maarten between 0 o C and 0.25 o C cooler; Barbados from 0.75 o C cooler in the southeast to 0.75 o C warmer in the northwest; Saint Lucia, Antigua, St Kitts and St Croix ranged from 0.25 o C to 0.75 o C cooler; Martinique and St Thomas were predominantly between 0.25 o C cooler to 0.25 o C warmer.  In the Guianas conditions ranged from 0.75 o C warmer in Southern French Guiana and the French Guiana / Suriname border to 0.75 o C cooler in northeastern French Guiana and Guyana. Aruba ranged from 0 o C to predominantly between 0.25 o C and 0.75 o C warmer and Curacao between 0.25 and 1.50 o C cooler. Puerto Rico ranged from 0 o C to mostly between 0.25 o C and 0.75 o C warmer. The Dominican Republic was 0 o C to 0.25 o C warmer. Jamaica ranged from 1.50 o C to 0.25 o C warmer from west to east. Grand Cayman was between 0.75 o C and 1.50 o C warmer. Northern Bahamas ranged from 0.75 o C to 2.50 o C warmer and Belize from 2.50 o C warmer in the south to 0.25 o C cooler in the north.

September 2022 to February 2023

Temperature anomalies were mixed over the six month period throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was mostly between 0 o C and 0.25 o C warmer ranging to 0.25 o C cooler; Grenada and St Thomas  0 o C to 0.25 o C warmer; Barbados 0.25 o C cooler to 0.75 o C warmer; Saint Lucia 0 o C to predominantly between 0.25 o C and 0.75 o C cooler; Martinique and Dominica from 0 o C to 0.75 o C warmer; Guadeloupe from 0.25 o C warmer to 0.75 o C cooler; Antigua , St Kitts and St Croix 0.25 o C to 0.75 o C cooler; St Maarten between 0 o C and 0.25 o C cooler .Conditions in the Guianas ranged from 0.25 cooler in Guyana and northeastern French Guiana to 0.75 warmer in Suriname and French Guiana. Aruba ranged from 0 o C to predominantly between 0.25 o C and 0.75 o C warmer and Curacao from 1.50 o C to 0.25 o C cooler from west to east. Puerto Rico ranged from 0.75 o C cooler in the south to 1.50 o C warmer in the northwest. The Dominican Republic ranged from 0.25 o C cooler in western areas to 1.50 o C warmer in the extreme east. Jamaica was between 0 o C and 0.25 o C warmer. Grand Cayman was between 0.25 o C and 0.75 o C warmer. Northern Bahamas ranged from 0.25 o C to 2.50 o C warmer and Belize from 0 o C in southern and northern areas to 1.50 o C warmer in central areas.

March 2022 to February 2023

Temperature anomalies were mixed over the twelve month period throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad and Grenada were between 0 o C and 0.25 o C warmer; Barbados 0.25 o C cooler to 0.75 o C warmer from southeast to northwest; Saint Lucia 0 o C to 0.75 o C cooler; Martinique and Dominica 0 o C to 0.75 o C warmer with Martinique predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 o C and Dominica predominantly between 0 and 0.25 o C; Guadeloupe from 0.25 o C warmer to 0.75 o C cooler; Antigua and St Kitts between 0.25 o C and 0.75 o C cooler; St Maarten, St Croix and St Thomas between 0 o C and 0.25 o C cooler. In the Guianas temperatures ranged from 0.75 o C warmer to 0.75 o C cooler. Aruba was between 0.25 o C and 0.75 o C warmer and Curacao 0.25 o C and 1.50 o C cooler. Puerto Rico ranged from 0 o C to 1.50 o C warmer from east to northwest. The Dominican Republic was predominantly between 0 o C and 0.25 o C warmer ranging to 0.25 o C cooler in the extreme southeast. Jamaica was between 0 o C and 0.75 o C warmer. Grand Cayman was between 0.25 o C and 0.75 o C warmer from east to west. Northern Bahamas was between 0.25 o C and 2.50 o C warmer and Belize between 0 o C in southern and northern areas and 0.75 o C warmer in central areas.

Mean Temperature for February 2023

Mean Temperature for the Period March 2022 to February 2023

SPI Monitor February 2023

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February 2023

Mixed conditions prevailed throughout the islands of the eastern Caribbean during the month of February. Trinidad ranged from very wet to slightly dry southeast to northwest; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados moderately dry to normal; St Vincent and St Thomas normal; Saint Lucia, Martinique and St Maarten normal to slightly wet; Dominica moderately wet to normal; Guadeloupe and St Kitts normal to moderately dry; Antigua moderate to slightly wet and St Croix slightly dry to normal. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from normal to exceptionally wet in French Guiana. Aruba ranged from normal to predominantly slightly wet, and Curacao was normal. Puerto Rico was normal. The Dominican Republic ranged from severely dry in southern areas to normal in the north. Jamaica ranged from moderately wet in the west to extremely dry in the south and to severely dry in the east. Grand Cayman was extreme to severely dry. Cuba ranged from normal in western areas to slightly wet in central areas and to extremely dry in the extreme east. Northern Bahamas ranged from predominantly normal to slightly wet and Belize from mostly normal to moderately wet in the south and to slightly dry in the north.

December 2022 to February 2023

Conditions throughout the eastern Caribbean were predominantly normal to below normal during the three month period. Trinidad and St Thomas ranged from slight to moderately dry; Grenada, St Kitts and St Maarten normal to slightly dry; Barbados moderately dry to normal; St Vincent severe to slightly dry; Saint Lucia and Antigua normal; Martinique normal to extremely dry; Dominica very wet to exceptionally dry on the southwestern to the northeastern coastlines; Guadeloupe slightly wet to severely dry; St Kitts slightly dry to normal; St Maarten moderately dry to normal; St Croix moderate to severely dry and St Thomas slight to moderately dry. In the Guianas conditions ranged from exceptionally wet in southwestern Guyana and in the vicinity of the northern border of Suriname and French Guiana to normal in northern Suriname. Aruba and Curacao were normal. Puerto Rico ranged from severely dry in the west to mostly normal. The Dominican Republic ranged from severely dry in the west to normal in the extreme north and to exceptionally dry in the east. Jamaica was predominantly moderately dry with slightly dry conditions in the extreme west and to severely dry on the northeastern coastline. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from moderately wet in the extreme west and central areas to exceptionally dry in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to moderately dry and Belize from moderately wet in the south to moderately dry in the northeast.

September 2022 to February 2023

Mixed conditions were experienced throughout the eastern Caribbean during the six month period. Trinidad ranged from normal to exceptionally wet; Grenada, Antigua, St Kitts, St Maarten and St Thomas normal; Barbados moderately dry to normal; St Vincent moderate to slightly dry; Saint Lucia normal to moderately wet; Martinique moderately wet to severely dry southeast to northwest; Dominica  and Guadeloupe normal to extremely wet and St Croix slightly wet to normal. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally wet in Southern and northeastern Guyana and from eastern Suriname across the border to French Guiana border to normal in northern Suriname. Aruba was normal and Curacao predominantly slight wet to moderately wet. Puerto Rico ranged from very to slightly wet west to east. The Dominican Republic ranged from extremely dry in the extreme west to moderately wet in the extreme east. Jamaica was extremely dry in the west ranging to slightly dry in the east and to normal in the north. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from extremely wet in the west and extremely dry in west central areas to exceptionally dry in the extreme east with exceptionally wet conditions in northern areas. Northern Bahamas was exceptionally wet to normal, and Belize was mostly normal ranging to moderately wet in central and southeastern areas.

March 2022 to February 2023

Mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean over the twelve month period. Trinidad ranged from moderate to exceptionally wet southwest to northeast; Grenada slightly wet to normal; Barbados and St Maarten slightly dry to normal; St Vincent severe to moderately dry; Saint Lucia and Dominica normal to moderately wet; Martinique slightly wet to moderately dry; Guadeloupe slightly wet to predominantly normal; Antigua, St Croix and St Thomas normal and St Kitts slightly dry. conditions in the Guianas were mostly exceptionally wet ranging to normal in northern Suriname. Aruba was normal and Curacao ranged from slight to predominantly moderately wet. Puerto Rico was predominantly normal with slightly wet conditions in the north. The Dominican Republic ranged from extremely dry in the extreme west to moderately wet in east central areas. Jamaica was extremely dry in the west ranging to slightly dry in the east and to normal in the northwest. Grand Cayman was predominantly slightly dry with normal conditions in the extreme east. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in central areas to extremely wet in the extreme west and to severely dry in the extreme east. Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to exceptionally wet and Belize from exceptionally dry in the south to moderately wet in the north and to exceptionally wet in the southeast.

March 2021 to February 2023

Apart from in the south, normal to below normal conditions were experienced over the two year period in the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was exceptionally wet; Grenada slightly wet to normal; Barbados severely dry to normal; St Vincent and St Croix moderately dry; Saint Lucia slightly dry in the south to predominantly normal; Martinique slight to severely dry; Dominica moderately dry to normal; Guadeloupe normal to exceptionally dry; Antigua extremely dry; St Kitts slightly dry; St Maarten predominantly moderate to slightly dry and St Thomas normal. Most of the Guianas was exceptionally wet ranging to extremely dry in northern Suriname and to exceptionally dry on the northern coast of French Guiana. Aruba was normal and Curacao ranged from normal to slightly wet. Puerto Rico was normal. The Dominican Republic was predominantly normal ranging to moderately dry in the extreme southwest. Jamaica ranged from extremely dry in the west to severely dry in the east and normal in the north. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from severely dry in west central areas to extremely wet in east central areas. Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to exceptionally wet and Belize from severely dry in the south and northwest to moderately wet on the east coast.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

SPEI February 2023

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SPEI January 2023

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