Recent Publications

Peer Reviewed Journal Publications:

Daniel Q. TongThomas E. GillWilliam A. Sprigg, … Andrea Sealy… (2023) Health and Safety Effects of Airborne Soil Dust in the Americas and Beyond. Reviews of Geophysics

Covert HH, Soares LF, Wahid FA, Allen T, Guido Z, Johnson D, Mahon R, Méndez-Lázaro P, Sherman M, St Ville S, Trotman A, Lichtveld MY. Priorities for Bolstering Public Health Resilience in the Context of Climate Change in Dominica and Puerto Rico. Ann Glob Health. (2022 Jul 27);88(1):63. doi: 10.5334/aogh.3876. PMID: 35974983; PMCID: PMC9336690

Stewart-Ibarra, A. M., Rollock, L., Best, S., Brown, T., Diaz, A. R., Dunbar, W., Lippi, C. A., Mahon, R., Ryan, S. J., Trotman, A., Van Meerbeeck, C. J., & Lowe, R. (2022). Co-learning during the co-creation of a dengue early warning system for the health sector in Barbados. BMJ Glob Health, 7(1).

Mahon, R., Petrie, J.-A., Trotman, A., Eyzaguirre, J., Burrowes, R., Matthews, L., . . . Charles, A. (2021). Climate services for tourism: Insights from Caribbean Small Island Developing States. Climate Services, 24, 100262. doi:

Trotman, A., Mahon, R., Van Meerbeeck, C., & Riley, E. (2021). Advancing Drought Risk Management in the Caribbean: A Multi-Sectoral Perspective. Background Paper for the UNDRR Global Assessment Report (GAR) (2021). Retrieved from

Van Meerbeeck, C., Trotman, A., & Mahon, R. (2021). Guidance on Operational Practices of Objective Seasonal Forecasting in the Caribbean. Consultancy Report prepared for the World Meteorological Organization

Matthews, L., Scott, D., Andrey, J., Mahon, R., Trotman, A., Burrowes, R., & Charles, A. (2020). Developing climate services for Caribbean tourism: a comparative analysis of climate push and pull influences using climate indices. Current Issues in Tourism, 1-19. doi:10.1080/13683500.2020.1816928

Lowe, R., Ryan, S. J., Mahon, R., Van Meerbeeck, C. J., Trotman, A. R., Boodram, L.-L. G., Borbor-Cordova, M. J & Stewart-Ibarra, A. M. (2020). Building resilience to mosquito-borne diseases in the Caribbean. PLOS Biology, 18(11), e3000791. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.3000791

Lippi, C. A., Stewart-Ibarra, A. M., Romero, M., Lowe, R., Mahon, R., Van Meerbeeck, C. J., Rollock, L., Gittens-St. Hilaire, M., Trotman, A.R., Holligan, D., Kirton, S., Borbor-Cordova, M. J., & Ryan, S. J. (2020). Spatiotemporal Tools for Emerging and Endemic Disease Hotspots in Small Areas: An Analysis of Dengue and Chikungunya in Barbados, 2013–2016. The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 103(1), 149-156. doi:

Rutty, M., Scott, D., Matthews, L., Burrowes, R., Trotman, A., Mahon, R., & Charles, A. (2020). An Inter-Comparison of the Holiday Climate Index (HCI:Beach) and the Tourism Climate Index (TCI) to Explain Canadian Tourism Arrivals to the Caribbean. Atmosphere, 11(4), 412. doi:

Stewart-Ibarra, A. M., Romero, M., Hinds, A. Q. J., Lowe, R., Mahon, R., Van Meerbeeck, C. J., et al. (2019). Co-developing climate services for public health: Stakeholder needs and perceptions for the prevention and control of Aedes-transmitted diseases in the Caribbean. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 13(10): e0007772.

Mahon, R., Greene, C., Cox, S.-A., Guido, Z., Gerlak, A. K., Petrie, J.-A., et al. (2019). Fit for purpose? Transforming National Meteorological and Hydrological Services into National Climate Service Centers. Climate Services, 13, 14-23.

Trotman, A. M., Mahon R., Shumake-Guillemot, J.; Lowe, R., Stewart-Ibarra, A. M. (2018). Strengthening Climate Services for the Health Sector in the Caribbean. WMO Bulletin, 67(2).

Mahon, R., Farrell, D., Cox, S.-A., Trotman, A., Van Meerbeeck, C. J., & Barnwell, G. (2018). Climate Services and Caribbean Resilience: A Historical Perspective. Social and Economic Studies, 67(2&3), 239-260.

Lowe, R., Gasparrini, A., Van Meerbeeck, C. J., Lippi, C. A., Mahon, R., Trotman, A. R., et al. (2018). Nonlinear and delayed impacts of climate on dengue risk in Barbados: A modelling study. PLOS Medicine, 15(7), e1002613.

Ryan, S. J., Lippi, C. A., Carlson, C. J., Stewart-Ibarra, A. M., Borbor-Cordova, M. J., Romero, M., Cox, SA., Mahon, R., Trotman, A., Rollock, L., Gittens-St Hilaire, M., King, D., & Daniel, S. (2018). Zika Virus Outbreak, Barbados, 2015-2016. The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 98(6), 1857-1859. doi:10.4269/ajtmh.17-0978

Gerlak, A.K., Guido, Z., Vaughan, C., Rountree, V., Greene, C., Liverman, D., Trotman, A.R., Mahon, R., Cox, S., Mason, S.J., Jacobs, K.L., James L. Buizer (2017). Building a framework for process-oriented evaluation of Regional Climate Outlook Forums. Weather, Climate and Society, 10, 225–239.

Ryan, S. J., Carlson, C. J., Stewart-Ibarra, A. M., Borbor-Cordova, M. J., Romero, M. M., Cox, S.-A., et al. (2017). Outbreak of Zika Virus Infections, Dominica, 2016. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 23(11), 1926-1927. doi: 10.3201/eid2311.171140

CIMH, and FAO (2016): Drought characteristics and management in the Caribbean. Water Reports 42. FAO, Rome.

Guido Z., V. Rountree, C. Greene, A. Gerlak, A. Trotman (2016):
Connecting Climate Information Producers and Users: Boundary Organization, Knowledge Networks, and Information Brokers at Caribbean Climate Outlook Forums. Weather, Climate and Society, vol. 8, no. 3

Stephenson, T. S., L. A. Vincent, T. Allen, C. J. Van Meerbeeck, [……], A.R. Trotman (2014): Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the Caribbean region, 1961–2010. Intl. J. Climatol. 01/2014; DOI: 10.1002/joc.3889

Bakker, P., H. Renssen, C.J. Van Meerbeeck (2013): Early Last Interglacial Greenland Ice Sheet melting and a sustained period of meridional overturning weakening: a model analysis of the uncertainties. Climate Dynamics 09/2013; DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1935-1

Mathiot, p., H Goosse, X Crosta, B Stenni, M Braida, H Renssen, C J Van Meerbeeck, V Masson-Delmotte, A Mairesse, S Dubinkina (2013): Using data assimilation to investigate the causes of Southern Hemisphere high latitude cooling from 10 to 8 ka BP. Clim. Past 04/2013; 9:887-901. DOI: 10.5194/cp-9-887-2013

Bakker, P., C. J. Van Meerbeeck & H. Renssen (2012): Sensitivity of the North Atlantic climate to Greenland Ice Sheet melting during the Last Interglacial. Clim. Past 8, 995-1009, doi:10.5194/cp-8-995-2012

Hall, T. C., A. M. Sealy, T. S. Stephenson, S. Kusunoki, M. A. Taylor, A. A Chen and A. Kitoh, (2012). Future climate of the Caribbean from a super-high-resolution atmospheric general circulation model. Theor. Appl. Climatol. doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0779-7

Richards J., Chandra A. Madramootoo, Manish Kumar Goyal & A. R. Trotman: Application of the SPI and NDVI for evaluating irrigation demands in three sites in Jamaica. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering (In Review)

Sánchez Goñi, M. F., P. Bakker, S. Desprat, A. E. Carlson, C. J. Van Meerbeeck, O. Peyron, F. Naughton, W. J. Fletcher, F. Eynaud, L. Rossignol & H. Renssen (2012): European climate optimum and enhanced Greenland melt during the Last Interglacial. Geology 40(7), 627-630, doi:10.1130/G32908.1

Trotman, A. R., M. Gordon, S. Hutchinson, R. Singh & D. McRae-Smith (2009):Policy Responses to GEC Impacts on Food Availability and Affordability in the Caribbean Community. Environmental Science and Policy Journal Volume 12, Issue 4, June 2009, pp 529-541.

Book Chapters:

Trotman, A., Joyette, A., Van Meerbeeck, C., Mahon, R., Cox, S.-A., Cave, N., et al. (2017). Drought Risk Management in the Caribbean Community: Early Warning Information and Other Risk Reduction Considerations. In Donald Wilhite & Roger S. Pulwarty (Eds.), Drought and Water Crises: Integrating Science, Management, and Policy (Second Edition ed., pp. 542). USA: CRC Press.

Chen, A., M. Taylor, D. A. Farrell, A. Centella & L. Walling [2008]: Caribbean Climate Scenarios for the Caribbean: Limitations and Needs for Biodiversity Studies. pp 209-230. Climate Change and Biodiversity in the Americas. – Environment Canada

Chen, A., M. Taylor., A. Centalla & D. A. Farrell [2008]: Climate Trends and Scenarios, Report of Working Group I, Climate Change and Biodiversity in the Caribbean Islands. pp 34. CANARI Technical Report. – Caribbean Natural Resources Institute, Laventille, Trinidad

Farrell, D. A. [2012]: Climate Services and Disaster Risk Reduction in the Caribbean pp 143-146.. Climate Exchange. – Tudor-Rose

Sealy, A. M. [2009]: Feasibility issues: Mitigation and Adaptation to Climate Change in the Caribbean. pp 240-242. Climate Sense. – Tudor-Rose

Taylor, M. A., T. Stephenson, A. Trotman, J. Spence, O. Martínez-Sánchez, G. Votaw, I. González-García, R. Pérez-Suárez, B. Lapinel-Pedroso, A. León-Lee, D. Boudet-Rouco, & N. González-Rodríguez [2012]: Regional Climates: The Caribbean. pp 217-222. State of the Climate 2011.

Trotman, A. R. [2012]: Climate Services and Agriculture in the Caribbean. pp 59-62. Climate Exchange. – Tudor-Rose

Trotman, A. R. [2007]: Weather and Climate in Caribbean Agriculture. In: Elements for Life 59-61. – Tudor-Rose

Trotman, A. R., A. Moore & S. Stoute [2009]:The Caribbean Drought and Precipitation Monitoring Network: The Concept and its Progress. pp 122-125. Climate Sense. – Tudor-Rose

Whitehall K., M. Mayers-Als & D. A. Farrell [2009]: Strategic Planning in the Caribbean: The Role of Seasonal Forecasts. pp 149-151. Climate Sense. – Tudor-Rose

Conference Papers:

Bedward, S. & C. J. Van Meerbeeck [2013]:Assessing the skill of seasonal rainfall outlooks for the Caribbean. Geophys. Res. Abstracts 15, EGU2013-5968.

Farrell, D. A., A. Trotman & C. Cox [2010]: Drought Early Warning and Risk Reduction: A case Study of the Drought of 2009-2010. GAR11 Contributary Papers; Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2011. ISDR

Farrell, D. A., L. Nurse & L. Moseley [2007]: Managing Water Resources in the Face of Climate Change: A Caribbean Perspective. Sir Arthur Lewis Institute of Social and Economic Studies (SALISES). Trinidad & Tobago.

Stephenson, T., L. Vincent, T. Allen, C. J. Van Meerbeeck & N. McLean [2013]: Trends and variability of daily and extreme temperature and precipitation in the Caribbean region, 1961-2010. Geophys. Res. Abstracts 15, EGU2013-5958.

St-Jacques, M., C. Senecal, T. Thompson, A Haiduk, A. Trotman & C. Madramootoo [2010]: National Water Information Systems: A Tool to Support Integrated Water Resources Management in the Caribbean. Fifth Biennial Caribbean Environmental Forum & Exhibition (CEF-5), Rose Hall Resort and Spa, Montego Bay, Jamaica from 21 to 25 June, 2010.

Trotman, A. R. & C. J. Van Meerbeeck [2013]: The CAMI Project – Weather and Climate Services for Caribbean Food Security. Geophys. Res. Abstracts 15, EGU2013-6058.

Trotman, A. R., [2009]: Monitoring and predicting weather, climate and related events for improved decision making in the Caribbean. Proceedings of International Seminar on the Implications of Global Climate Change for Sustainable Agricultural Production Systems in ACP Countries, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, 26 – 31 October 2008.

Van Meerbeeck, C. J., D.A. Farrell, A.R. Trotman [2013]: Development of Seasonal Climate Forecasts to Risk-Inform the Water Resources Sector. 22nd Annual Caribbean Water and Waste Water Association Conference and Exhibition.

Van Meerbeeck, C. J. [2013]: CARICOF – The Caribbean Regional Climate Outlook Forum. Geophys. Res. Abstracts 15, EGU2013-6191.