SPI Monitor March 2016

March 2016

Rainfall was mixed in the eastern Caribbean islands for the month. Trinidad was moderately dry; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, Antigua and St. Kitts normal; Grenada slightly dry; St. Lucia, Anguilla and St. Maarten slightly wet; Dominica very wet; and St. Croix moderately wet. Conditions in Guyana ranged from normal in the north to severely dry in southern areas. Aruba and Curacao were normal, and Puerto Rico was predominantly so. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from very wet in the west to moderately dry in the east; while in Jamaica they ranged from moderately dry in the west to normal in the east. Grand Cayman was normal. In Cuba, conditions ranged from slightly dry in central areas to exceptional wet in some part of the west. In Belize, the conditions ranged from moderately dry in the south to normal in the north.

January to March 2016

spi_3.03-2016For the three month period, normal to below normal rainfall was experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry; Tobago, St. Lucia, St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Maarten normal; Grenada extremely dry; Barbados and St. Croix slightly dry; St. Vincent and Antigua moderately dry; Dominica moderately wet; and Guyana from normal in the north to extremely dry further south. Aruba and Curacao were severely dry. Though some southern parts of Puerto Rico were slightly wet, rainfall on the island was predominantly normal. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from very wet in western areas to normal in the south, east and north. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were normal. Western Cuba ranged from slight to exceptionally wet, while the east was from normal to very wet. Conditions in Belize ranged from extremely dry in the south to normal in the north.

October 2015 to March 2016

spi_6.03-2016Apart from Grenada and St. Kitts that were slightly wet, rainfall in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana was normal to below normal for the six month period. Trinidad was slight to moderately dry; Tobago, Anguilla, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; Barbados St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Dominica and Antigua moderately dry; and Guyana normal in the north to extremely dry in the south. Aruba was exceptionally dry, while Curacao was moderately dry. Puerto Rico was predominantly normal, but the Dominican Republic ranged from very wet in the west to severely dry in the east. Apart from northwestern areas that were slightly wet, Jamaica was predominantly normal, and Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Cuba ranged from extremely wet in some western and north-central areas, to moderately dry in the south east. Conditions in Belize ranged from moderately dry in the south to very wet in the northwest.

April 2015 to March 2016

spi_12.03-2016For the twelve month period, the islands of the eastern Caribbean were normal to below normal. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry; Tobago normal; Grenada and St. Kitts slightly dry; Barbados, Dominica and St. Croix extremely dry; St. Vincent and St. Lucia severely dry; Antigua and St. Maarten exceptionally dry; and Anguilla moderately dry. Conditions in Guyana range from moderately dry in the north to normal further south. Aruba was exceptionally dry and Curacao extremely dry. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from extremely dry in the west to moderately dry in the east, while they ranged from exceptionally dry in the south to slightly dry in the northwest in the Dominican Republic. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from slight to severely dry, while Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from moderately wet in some western and central areas to exceptionally dry in the southeast. The southern half of Belize ranged exceptionally dry to normal, while the northern half was normal.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

The Dominica In-Country Workshop Report Mapping Provider Capacity and User Needs for Climate Services

Conference Room of the Office of Disaster Management, Jimmit, Dominica
March 18th, 2016

SPI Monitor February 2016

February 2016

Normal to below normal rainfall was experienced across the eastern Caribbean and Guyana in February. Trinidad was slight to moderately dry, Tobago slightly dry, Grenada, St. Vincent, St. Lucia and Antigua extremely dry; Barbados moderately dry; Dominica, St. Kitts, Anguilla, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; and Guyana normal in the west to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was severely dry, while Puerto Rico was normal in the west to moderately wet in the east. Conditions in the Dominican Republic conditions ranged from moderately wet in the west to normal in the east. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from normal to very wet, while those in Belize range from slightly dry in the south to moderately wet in the north.

December 2015 to February 2016

SPI_3MFor the three month period, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were normal to below normal. Trinidad, Tobago and Grenada were normal; Barbados, St. Vincent, Dominica, St. Kitts, St. Maarten and St Croix moderately dry; St. Lucia and Antigua exceptionally dry; Anguilla slightly dry; and Guyana normal to the west to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was severely dry while Puerto Rico was normal. The Dominican Republic was slightly wet in the west and normal in the east, while Jamaica was predominantly normal apart from in the extreme west that was slight to moderately wet. Grand Cayman was slightly wet. Conditions in Cuba ranged from extremely wet in western and central area to slightly wet in the east, while in Belize they ranged from severely dry in the south to normal in the north.

September 2015 to February 2016

SPI_6MNormal to below normal rainfall were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana over the six month period. Trinidad and Antigua were moderate to severely dry; Tobago and Grenada normal; Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Kitts and St. Croix moderately dry; St. Lucia severe to extremely dry; Dominica extremely dry; St. Maarten exceptionally dry; Anguilla slightly dry; and Guyana slightly wet in the north to severely dry in the east. Aruba was exceptionally dry, while Puerto Rico was moderately dry in the west and slightly dry in the east. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from slightly dry in the west to severely dry in the east, while in Jamaica they ranged from slightly wet in western and central areas to moderately dry in the southeast. Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Cuba ranged from moderately wet in central areas to normal in the east and slightly wet in the west, while Belize was from moderately wet in the west to normal in the south and slightly wet in the east and north.

March 2015 to February 2016

SPI_12MFor the twelve month period, rainfall over the islands of the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry; Tobago normal; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados and St. Lucia extremely dry; St. Vincent and St. Kitts severely dry; Dominica, Antigua, St. Maarten and St. Croix exceptionally dry; and Anguilla moderately dry. Conditions in Guyana ranged from exceptionally wet in the north to normal further south. Aruba was extremely dry, while Puerto Rico was severely dry in the west and moderately dry in the east. Conditions were predominantly severely dry but with areas in the southwest and east that were extremely or exceptionally dry. At the same time, Jamaica was predominantly normal, but with slight to moderately dry areas in the east, while Grand Cayman was slightly dry. Similarly to Jamaica, Cuba and Belize were predominantly normal, but with north-central areas of Cuba being slightly wet, and with southern parts of Belize slightly dry.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.