SPI Monitor July 2016

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July 2016

Mixed conditions were experienced for the month in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad, Barbados, Dominica, Antigua and Anguilla were normal; Tobago moderately dry; Grenada and St. Lucia moderately wet; St. Vincent, St. Kitts, St. Maarten and St. Croix slightly wet; and northern Guyana ranging from very wet in the north to normal in the east. Aruba was moderately wet, while Curacao was normal. Puerto Rico was normal, extremely wet conditions in western Dominican Republic transformed to normal to the east and extremely dry to the south. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from very wet in central areas to normal to the east and west. Grand Cayman was slightly dry. Apart from some west central areas that were slight to moderately dry, Cuba was normal, but conditions in Belize ranged from moderately dry in the west to normal in the north and slightly wet in the south.

May to July 2016

spi_3.07-2016For the three month period, mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, Dominica, Antigua, St. Kitts, St. Croix were normal; Grenada moderately wet; St. Lucia very wet; Anguilla and St. Maarten slightly dry; and northern Guyana ranging from extremely wet in the north to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was normal, while Curacao was moderately dry. Puerto Rico was normal, but the Dominican Republic mixed with extremely dry conditions in the south to normal to slightly wet in the north. Apart from being slightly dry in north central areas, Jamaica was normal, but Grand Cayman was severely dry. Conditions in western Cuba ranged from severely to extremely dry and in the east normal to moderately dry, while Belize was predominantly normal.

February to July 2016

spi_6.07-2016Conditions for the six month period in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were also mixed. Trinidad, Tobago, Dominica, Antigua and St. Croix were normal; Grenada slightly wet; Barbados, St. Kitts and Anguilla slightly dry; St. Lucia very wet; St. Maarten moderately dry; and northern Guyana ranging from very wet in the north to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was moderately dry, while Curacao was extremely dry. Puerto Rico was moderately wet and the Dominican Republic normal in the south and north to moderately wet in central areas. Apart from being slightly dry in north central areas, Jamaica was normal, but Grand Cayman was extremely dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from moderately dry in the west to moderately wet in the east. Apart from slightly dry conditions in the west, Belize was predominantly normal.

August 2015 to July 2016

spi_12.07-2016Mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana for the twelve month period. Trinidad, St. Vincent, Antigua, St. Kitts, Anguilla moderately dry; Tobago and St. Lucia normal; Grenada slightly wet; Barbados severely dry; Dominica slight to moderately dry; St. Maarten exceptionally dry; St Croix slightly dry; and northern Guyana ranged from very wet in the north to severely dry in the east. Aruba was exceptionally dry and Curacao extremely dry. Puerto Rico was normal, while conditions in the Dominican Republic were predominantly normal but ranging to moderately wet in the west. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from normal to severely dry, but Grand Cayman severe to extremely dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from normal to moderately dry in the west and normal to extremely wet in the east, but Belize was predominantly normal.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

SPI Monitor June 2016

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June 2016

In the eastern Caribbean, the southern islands including the Windward Islands were normal to above, while the conditions in Leeward Islands were mixed. Trinidad predominately normal, Tobago, Grenada, Barbados and St. Vincent were normal; St. Lucia and Dominica slightly wet; Antigua moderately wet; St. Kitts moderately dry; Anguilla and St. Croix slightly dry; and St. Maarten severely dry. Northern Guyana was slightly wet in the north and normal in the south.  Aruba was severely dry, but Curacao normal. Puerto Rico was normal, but conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from extremely wet in the west to normal in the east. Apart from central areas that were severely dry, Jamaica was moderately dry; but Grand Cayman was slightly dry. Central Cuba was normal to moderately wet, while the west was normal to extremely dry and the east normal to severely dry. Conditions in Belize varied from normal to exceptionally wet.

April to June 2016

spi.3.2016-06For the three month period, in the eastern Caribbean, the southern islands including the Windward Islands were normal to above, while the conditions in Leeward Islands were mixed. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, Dominica, Antigua, Anguilla and St. Croix were normal; Grenada slightly wet; St. Lucia moderately wet; and St. Kitts and St. Maarten moderately dry. Conditions in northern Guyana ranged from very wet in the north to normal in the east. Aruba was extremely dry while Curacao was severely dry. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from normal in the west to moderately wet in the northeast, but the Dominican Republic was normal. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from normal in the south to moderately dry in the north; but Grand Cayman was severely dry. Central Cuba was normal to moderately wet, while the west was normal to extremely dry and the east normal to slightly dry. In Belize, apart from below normal conditions in the northern areas, normal to above normal rainfall was experienced.

January to June 2016

spi.6.2016-06Mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean islands and Guyana over the six month period. Trinidad was normal to slightly dry; Tobago, Grenada, Antigua and St. Croix normal; Barbados and Anguilla slightly dry; St. Vincent and St. Kitts moderately dry; St. Lucia and Dominica slightly wet; and conditions in northern Guyana ranging from slightly wet in the north to severely dry in the east. Both Curacao and Aruba were exceptionally dry. Puerto Rico was normal to the west and slightly wet in the east, while the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately wet in the west to lightly dry in the east. Jamaica was normal to slightly dry, but Grand Cayman was severely dry. Western Cuba was normal to very wet, but the east ranged from moderately dry to moderately wet. In Belize, normal rainfall in east, central and northeastern was experienced, but varied to slightly dry in the south and moderately dry in the north.

July 2015 to June 2016

spi.12.2016-06The islands of the eastern Caribbean were normal to below normal for the twelve month period. Trinidad, Dominica, St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Croix were moderately dry; Tobago, Grenada and St. Lucia normal; Barbados extremely dry; St. Vincent and Antigua severely dry; and St. Maarten exceptionally dry. Conditions in northern Guyana ranged from extremely wet in the north to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was exceptionally dry and Curacao extremely dry. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from extremely dry in the west to normal in the east, while in the Dominican Republic they ranged from slightly wet in the west to exceptionally dry in the south and east. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from normal in the northwest to extremely dry in the west and east, while Grand Cayman was extremely dry. In Cuba, central areas were normal to very wet, in the west normal to moderately dry, and in the east normal to extremely dry. In Belize, northern areas were predominantly normal, while conditions in the southern half of the country ranged from slight to extremely dry.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

SPI Monitor May 2016

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May 2016

Mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad was slightly wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, Dominica, Antigua, Anguilla, St. Maarten, St. Croix normal; Grenada and St. Kitts slightly dry; and northern Guyana ranging from extremely wet in the north to slightly dry in the east. Aruba was severely dry, but Curacao normal. Puerto Rico was predominantly normal but slightly wet in the east, while conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately wet to moderately dry. Jamaica was normal, while Grand Cayman was slightly dry.  In Cuba, western areas were normal to severely dry, central areas normal to moderately wet, and east normal to slightly dry. Belize was predominantly severely dry apart from the south that was extremely dry.

March to May 2016

SPI March to May 2016For the three month period, mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad and Dominica normal to slightly wet; Tobago, Grenada, St. Vincent, Antigua and St. Croix normal; Barbados, St. Kitts and St. Maarten slightly dry; St. Lucia very wet; Anguilla slightly wet; and northern Guyana ranging from very wet in the north to normal in the east and south. Aruba was extremely dry, while Curacao was moderately dry. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from normal in the west to moderately wet in the east. In the Dominican Republic, northern and southern extremes were normal, while remaining areas were slight to very wet. Apart from northwestern areas that were slightly dry Jamaica was normal, but Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Cuba was predominantly normal to slightly wet apart from west central areas that were dry to exceptionally dry. Conditions in Belize ranged from severely dry in the south to exceptionally dry in the west.

December 2015 to May 2016

SPI December 2015 to May 2016Normal to below normal rainfall was experienced in the islands of the eastern Caribbean over the six month period. Trinidad, Tobago, St. Lucia, Dominica, and St. Croix were normal; Grenada, Barbados, Antigua and St. Kitts moderately dry; St. Vincent and Anguilla slightly dry; and St. Maarten severely dry. Conditions in northern Guyana ranged from slightly wet in the north to moderately dry in the east. Aruba and Curacao were exceptionally dry. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from slightly dry in the southwest to moderately wet in the northeast, while for the Dominican Republic northern and southern extremes were normal, while remaining areas were slight to extremely wet. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were normal, while conditions in Cuba ranged from extremely wet in the west to normal in the east. Conditions in Belize ranged from extremely dry in the south and west to slightly dry in the north.

June 2015 to May 2016

SPI June 2015 to May 2016Normal to below normal conditions were experienced in the islands of the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad, St. Lucia, Dominica, St. Kitts and Anguilla were moderately dry; Tobago normal; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados and St. Maarten exceptionally dry; St. Vincent and St. Croix severely dry; and Antigua extremely dry. Conditions in northern Guyana ranged from extremely wet in the north to normal in the east. Aruba was exceptionally dry and Curacao extremely dry. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from exceptionally dry in the west to normal in the north, while in the Dominican Republic it was exceptionally dry in the south to moderately wet in the west and to normal in the east.   Conditions in Jamaica ranged from normal in the northwest to extremely dry in the east, while Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Predominantly normal to above normal rainfall totals were experienced in Cuba, with at worst exceptionally dry conditions in some parts of the east. Conditions in central Belize were normal and ranged to slightly dry to the north and moderately dry to the south.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

Mean Temperature Anomalies January to December 2015

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January-December 2015 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomally_2015_Annual_TEMP

Quarterly Anomalies

October-November-December (OND) 2015 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2015_OND_QUARTERLIES_TEMP

July-August-September (JAS) 2015 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2015_JAS_QUARTERLIES_TEMP

April-May-June (AMJ) 2015 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2015_AMJ_QUARTERLIES_TEMP

January-February-March (JFM) 2015 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2015_JFM_QUARTERLIES_TEMP

 

 

Mean Temperature Anomalies January to May 2016

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Monthly Anomalies

May 2016 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2016_MAY_TEMP

April 2016 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2016_APRIL_TEMP

March 2016 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2016_MARCH_TEMP

 

February 2016 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2016_FEBRUARY_TEMP

 January 2016 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)
Anomaly_2016_JANUARY_TEMP

 

Quarterly Anomalies

January-February-March (JFM) 2016 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2016_JFM_QUARTERLIES_TEMP

SPI Monitor April 2016

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April 2016

Mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean islands. Trinidad was normal to slightly wet; Tobago and St. Lucia slightly wet; Grenada, Dominica, Antigua, Anguilla and St. Maarten normal; Barbados slight to moderately dry; St. Vincent moderate to severely dry; and St. Kitts slightly dry. Guyana was slight to moderately wet. Aruba was slightly dry while Curacao was slight to moderately dry. Western Puerto Rico was normal but varied to very wet in the east; while in the Dominican Republic central areas were normal but the west was slight to moderately wet and the east slight to exceptionally wet. Jamaica was predominantly normal but was slightly dry in the extreme northwest, while Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Cuba ranged from normal to moderately dry in the west to normal to extremely wet in the east. Conditions in Belize ranged from normal in the southwest to severely dry in the northeast.

February to April 2016

SPI_3.2016-04For the three month period, mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean islands. Trinidad was normal to slightly dry; Tobago, St. Lucia, Antigua, St. Kitts and Anguilla normal; Grenada severely dry; Barbados and St. Vincent moderately dry; St. Lucia, Antigua and St. Kitts normal; Dominica slight to moderately wet; and St. Croix moderately wet. Northern Guyana was predominantly normal. Aruba was extremely dry while Curacao was moderately to severely dry. Puerto Rico was normal in the west but varied to very wet in the east, but in the Dominican Republic central areas were normal but the west was slight to very wet and the east slight to exceptionally wet. Jamaica was slightly wet in the west and normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was slightly dry. Very mixed conditions in Cuba ranged from extremely wet to extremely dry, with a large area of east central Cuba being normal. Belize was predominantly normal apart from the extreme west that was slightly dry.

November to April 2016

SPI_6.2016-04Normal to below normal conditions dominated the eastern Caribbean islands for the six month period. Trinidad was normal to slightly dry; Tobago, Grenada, St. Lucia, Dominica, St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; Barbados slightly dry; St. Vincent and St. Maarten moderately dry. Northern Guyana was normal in the north to moderately dry in the south. Aruba was extremely dry while Curacao was moderately dry. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from slightly dry in the west to moderately wet in east; while in the Dominican Republic they ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to slightly wet in the east with the north and south of the country being normal. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from normal in the west to moderately dry in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from normal to extremely wet, while Belize ranged from extremely wet in the west to slightly wet in the north.

May 2015 to April 2016

SPI_12.2016-04Over the twelve month period, rainfall in the islands of the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry; Tobago and St. Kitts normal; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados and St. Maarten exceptionally dry; St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Dominica and Antigua extremely dry, Anguilla moderately dry; St. Croix severely dry. Conditions in northern Guyana ranged from moderately wet in the north to normal in the south. Aruba was exceptionally dry and Curacao extremely dry. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from extremely dry in the west to normal in the east, while those for the Dominican Republic ranged from normal to exceptionally dry. Jamaica ranged from slightly dry to extremely dry, while Grand Cayman was slight to moderately dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from exceptionally dry to moderately wet, but central Belize was normal while the outskirts were slight to moderately dry.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

SPI Monitor March 2016

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March 2016

Rainfall was mixed in the eastern Caribbean islands for the month. Trinidad was moderately dry; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, Antigua and St. Kitts normal; Grenada slightly dry; St. Lucia, Anguilla and St. Maarten slightly wet; Dominica very wet; and St. Croix moderately wet. Conditions in Guyana ranged from normal in the north to severely dry in southern areas. Aruba and Curacao were normal, and Puerto Rico was predominantly so. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from very wet in the west to moderately dry in the east; while in Jamaica they ranged from moderately dry in the west to normal in the east. Grand Cayman was normal. In Cuba, conditions ranged from slightly dry in central areas to exceptional wet in some part of the west. In Belize, the conditions ranged from moderately dry in the south to normal in the north.

January to March 2016

spi_3.03-2016For the three month period, normal to below normal rainfall was experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry; Tobago, St. Lucia, St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Maarten normal; Grenada extremely dry; Barbados and St. Croix slightly dry; St. Vincent and Antigua moderately dry; Dominica moderately wet; and Guyana from normal in the north to extremely dry further south. Aruba and Curacao were severely dry. Though some southern parts of Puerto Rico were slightly wet, rainfall on the island was predominantly normal. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from very wet in western areas to normal in the south, east and north. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were normal. Western Cuba ranged from slight to exceptionally wet, while the east was from normal to very wet. Conditions in Belize ranged from extremely dry in the south to normal in the north.

October 2015 to March 2016

spi_6.03-2016Apart from Grenada and St. Kitts that were slightly wet, rainfall in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana was normal to below normal for the six month period. Trinidad was slight to moderately dry; Tobago, Anguilla, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; Barbados St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Dominica and Antigua moderately dry; and Guyana normal in the north to extremely dry in the south. Aruba was exceptionally dry, while Curacao was moderately dry. Puerto Rico was predominantly normal, but the Dominican Republic ranged from very wet in the west to severely dry in the east. Apart from northwestern areas that were slightly wet, Jamaica was predominantly normal, and Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Cuba ranged from extremely wet in some western and north-central areas, to moderately dry in the south east. Conditions in Belize ranged from moderately dry in the south to very wet in the northwest.

April 2015 to March 2016

spi_12.03-2016For the twelve month period, the islands of the eastern Caribbean were normal to below normal. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry; Tobago normal; Grenada and St. Kitts slightly dry; Barbados, Dominica and St. Croix extremely dry; St. Vincent and St. Lucia severely dry; Antigua and St. Maarten exceptionally dry; and Anguilla moderately dry. Conditions in Guyana range from moderately dry in the north to normal further south. Aruba was exceptionally dry and Curacao extremely dry. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from extremely dry in the west to moderately dry in the east, while they ranged from exceptionally dry in the south to slightly dry in the northwest in the Dominican Republic. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from slight to severely dry, while Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from moderately wet in some western and central areas to exceptionally dry in the southeast. The southern half of Belize ranged exceptionally dry to normal, while the northern half was normal.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

SPI Monitor February 2016

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February 2016

Normal to below normal rainfall was experienced across the eastern Caribbean and Guyana in February. Trinidad was slight to moderately dry, Tobago slightly dry, Grenada, St. Vincent, St. Lucia and Antigua extremely dry; Barbados moderately dry; Dominica, St. Kitts, Anguilla, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; and Guyana normal in the west to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was severely dry, while Puerto Rico was normal in the west to moderately wet in the east. Conditions in the Dominican Republic conditions ranged from moderately wet in the west to normal in the east. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from normal to very wet, while those in Belize range from slightly dry in the south to moderately wet in the north.

December 2015 to February 2016

SPI_3MFor the three month period, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were normal to below normal. Trinidad, Tobago and Grenada were normal; Barbados, St. Vincent, Dominica, St. Kitts, St. Maarten and St Croix moderately dry; St. Lucia and Antigua exceptionally dry; Anguilla slightly dry; and Guyana normal to the west to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was severely dry while Puerto Rico was normal. The Dominican Republic was slightly wet in the west and normal in the east, while Jamaica was predominantly normal apart from in the extreme west that was slight to moderately wet. Grand Cayman was slightly wet. Conditions in Cuba ranged from extremely wet in western and central area to slightly wet in the east, while in Belize they ranged from severely dry in the south to normal in the north.

September 2015 to February 2016

SPI_6MNormal to below normal rainfall were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana over the six month period. Trinidad and Antigua were moderate to severely dry; Tobago and Grenada normal; Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Kitts and St. Croix moderately dry; St. Lucia severe to extremely dry; Dominica extremely dry; St. Maarten exceptionally dry; Anguilla slightly dry; and Guyana slightly wet in the north to severely dry in the east. Aruba was exceptionally dry, while Puerto Rico was moderately dry in the west and slightly dry in the east. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from slightly dry in the west to severely dry in the east, while in Jamaica they ranged from slightly wet in western and central areas to moderately dry in the southeast. Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Cuba ranged from moderately wet in central areas to normal in the east and slightly wet in the west, while Belize was from moderately wet in the west to normal in the south and slightly wet in the east and north.

March 2015 to February 2016

SPI_12MFor the twelve month period, rainfall over the islands of the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry; Tobago normal; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados and St. Lucia extremely dry; St. Vincent and St. Kitts severely dry; Dominica, Antigua, St. Maarten and St. Croix exceptionally dry; and Anguilla moderately dry. Conditions in Guyana ranged from exceptionally wet in the north to normal further south. Aruba was extremely dry, while Puerto Rico was severely dry in the west and moderately dry in the east. Conditions were predominantly severely dry but with areas in the southwest and east that were extremely or exceptionally dry. At the same time, Jamaica was predominantly normal, but with slight to moderately dry areas in the east, while Grand Cayman was slightly dry. Similarly to Jamaica, Cuba and Belize were predominantly normal, but with north-central areas of Cuba being slightly wet, and with southern parts of Belize slightly dry.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

SPI Monitor January 2016

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January 2016

Normal to below normal rainfall was experienced in the eastern Caribbean and northern Guyana in January. Trinidad, Grenada, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Antigua, St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Maarten were moderately dry; Tobago and Barbados normal; Dominica extremely dry; St. Croix exceptionally dry and northern Guyana slightly dry in the north to extremely dry in the southeast. Aruba was moderately dry and Curacao extremely dry. Puerto Rico ranged from slightly wet in the west to moderately dry in the east, but apart from the extreme east and west, the Dominican Republic was normal. Jamaica was slightly dry in the south and normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from extremely dry in the south to slightly dry in the north.

November 2015 to January 2016

SPI_3.jan2016Apart from St. Kitts and Grenada that were moderately wet, the eastern Caribbean and northern Guyana were normal to below normal for the three month period. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados and St. Croix were normal; St. Vincent, St. Lucia and Anguilla slightly dry, Dominica, Antigua and St. Maarten moderately dry; and northern Guyana normal in the west to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was extremely dry, but Curacao moderately dry. Puerto Rico’s rainfall was normal, while that of the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately dry in the south and east to extremely wet in the north. Jamaica was slightly dry, but Grand Cayman moderately wet. Conditions in Belize ranged from extremely wet in the west to slightly wet in the north.

August 2015 to January 2016

SPI_6.jan2016For the six month period, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana experience normal to below normal rainfall. Trinidad, Barbados and Antigua were moderate to severely dry; Tobago, Grenada and St. Kitts normal; St. Vincent severely dry; St. Lucia and Dominica extremely dry; Anguilla slightly dry; St. Croix moderately dry; St. Maarten exceptionally dry; and northern Guyana normal to the north and west to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was exceptionally dry and Aruba severely dry. Puerto Rico was slight to moderately dry, while the Dominica Republic ranged from moderately dry in the south to normal in the north. Jamaica was slightly dry in the west and moderately dry in the east, and Grand Cayman slightly dry. Belize was normal.

February 2015 to January 2016

SPI_12.jan2016Normal to below normal conditions were experienced for the twelve month period over the islands of the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry; Tobago normal; Barbados severely dry; St. Vincent, St. Kitts and Anguilla moderately dry; St Lucia extremely dry; Dominica, Antigua, St. Croix and St. Maarten exceptionally dry. Rainfall for northern Guyana ranged from normal to moderately wet north to south. Aruba was exceptionally dry, but Curacao severely dry. Puerto Rico was moderately dry in the west and severely dry in the east, while the Dominican Republic ranged from exceptionally dry in the south to slightly dry in the north. Jamaica was moderately dry in the extreme west and severely dry elsewhere, while Grand Cayman was slightly dry. Belize was normal in the south and slightly dry in the north.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.