Mean Temperature Anomalies January to December 2015

January-December 2015 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomally_2015_Annual_TEMP

Quarterly Anomalies

October-November-December (OND) 2015 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2015_OND_QUARTERLIES_TEMP

July-August-September (JAS) 2015 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2015_JAS_QUARTERLIES_TEMP

April-May-June (AMJ) 2015 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2015_AMJ_QUARTERLIES_TEMP

January-February-March (JFM) 2015 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2015_JFM_QUARTERLIES_TEMP

 

 

Mean Temperature Anomalies January to May 2016

Monthly Anomalies

May 2016 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2016_MAY_TEMP

April 2016 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2016_APRIL_TEMP

March 2016 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2016_MARCH_TEMP

 

February 2016 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2016_FEBRUARY_TEMP

 January 2016 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)
Anomaly_2016_JANUARY_TEMP

 

Quarterly Anomalies

January-February-March (JFM) 2016 Departure of Mean Temperature (ºC)
(from the 1981-2010 Average)

Anomaly_2016_JFM_QUARTERLIES_TEMP

SPI Monitor April 2016

April 2016

Mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean islands. Trinidad was normal to slightly wet; Tobago and St. Lucia slightly wet; Grenada, Dominica, Antigua, Anguilla and St. Maarten normal; Barbados slight to moderately dry; St. Vincent moderate to severely dry; and St. Kitts slightly dry. Guyana was slight to moderately wet. Aruba was slightly dry while Curacao was slight to moderately dry. Western Puerto Rico was normal but varied to very wet in the east; while in the Dominican Republic central areas were normal but the west was slight to moderately wet and the east slight to exceptionally wet. Jamaica was predominantly normal but was slightly dry in the extreme northwest, while Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Cuba ranged from normal to moderately dry in the west to normal to extremely wet in the east. Conditions in Belize ranged from normal in the southwest to severely dry in the northeast.

February to April 2016

SPI_3.2016-04For the three month period, mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean islands. Trinidad was normal to slightly dry; Tobago, St. Lucia, Antigua, St. Kitts and Anguilla normal; Grenada severely dry; Barbados and St. Vincent moderately dry; St. Lucia, Antigua and St. Kitts normal; Dominica slight to moderately wet; and St. Croix moderately wet. Northern Guyana was predominantly normal. Aruba was extremely dry while Curacao was moderately to severely dry. Puerto Rico was normal in the west but varied to very wet in the east, but in the Dominican Republic central areas were normal but the west was slight to very wet and the east slight to exceptionally wet. Jamaica was slightly wet in the west and normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was slightly dry. Very mixed conditions in Cuba ranged from extremely wet to extremely dry, with a large area of east central Cuba being normal. Belize was predominantly normal apart from the extreme west that was slightly dry.

November to April 2016

SPI_6.2016-04Normal to below normal conditions dominated the eastern Caribbean islands for the six month period. Trinidad was normal to slightly dry; Tobago, Grenada, St. Lucia, Dominica, St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; Barbados slightly dry; St. Vincent and St. Maarten moderately dry. Northern Guyana was normal in the north to moderately dry in the south. Aruba was extremely dry while Curacao was moderately dry. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from slightly dry in the west to moderately wet in east; while in the Dominican Republic they ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to slightly wet in the east with the north and south of the country being normal. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from normal in the west to moderately dry in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from normal to extremely wet, while Belize ranged from extremely wet in the west to slightly wet in the north.

May 2015 to April 2016

SPI_12.2016-04Over the twelve month period, rainfall in the islands of the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry; Tobago and St. Kitts normal; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados and St. Maarten exceptionally dry; St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Dominica and Antigua extremely dry, Anguilla moderately dry; St. Croix severely dry. Conditions in northern Guyana ranged from moderately wet in the north to normal in the south. Aruba was exceptionally dry and Curacao extremely dry. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from extremely dry in the west to normal in the east, while those for the Dominican Republic ranged from normal to exceptionally dry. Jamaica ranged from slightly dry to extremely dry, while Grand Cayman was slight to moderately dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from exceptionally dry to moderately wet, but central Belize was normal while the outskirts were slight to moderately dry.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

SPI Monitor March 2016

March 2016

Rainfall was mixed in the eastern Caribbean islands for the month. Trinidad was moderately dry; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, Antigua and St. Kitts normal; Grenada slightly dry; St. Lucia, Anguilla and St. Maarten slightly wet; Dominica very wet; and St. Croix moderately wet. Conditions in Guyana ranged from normal in the north to severely dry in southern areas. Aruba and Curacao were normal, and Puerto Rico was predominantly so. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from very wet in the west to moderately dry in the east; while in Jamaica they ranged from moderately dry in the west to normal in the east. Grand Cayman was normal. In Cuba, conditions ranged from slightly dry in central areas to exceptional wet in some part of the west. In Belize, the conditions ranged from moderately dry in the south to normal in the north.

January to March 2016

spi_3.03-2016For the three month period, normal to below normal rainfall was experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry; Tobago, St. Lucia, St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Maarten normal; Grenada extremely dry; Barbados and St. Croix slightly dry; St. Vincent and Antigua moderately dry; Dominica moderately wet; and Guyana from normal in the north to extremely dry further south. Aruba and Curacao were severely dry. Though some southern parts of Puerto Rico were slightly wet, rainfall on the island was predominantly normal. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from very wet in western areas to normal in the south, east and north. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were normal. Western Cuba ranged from slight to exceptionally wet, while the east was from normal to very wet. Conditions in Belize ranged from extremely dry in the south to normal in the north.

October 2015 to March 2016

spi_6.03-2016Apart from Grenada and St. Kitts that were slightly wet, rainfall in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana was normal to below normal for the six month period. Trinidad was slight to moderately dry; Tobago, Anguilla, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; Barbados St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Dominica and Antigua moderately dry; and Guyana normal in the north to extremely dry in the south. Aruba was exceptionally dry, while Curacao was moderately dry. Puerto Rico was predominantly normal, but the Dominican Republic ranged from very wet in the west to severely dry in the east. Apart from northwestern areas that were slightly wet, Jamaica was predominantly normal, and Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Cuba ranged from extremely wet in some western and north-central areas, to moderately dry in the south east. Conditions in Belize ranged from moderately dry in the south to very wet in the northwest.

April 2015 to March 2016

spi_12.03-2016For the twelve month period, the islands of the eastern Caribbean were normal to below normal. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry; Tobago normal; Grenada and St. Kitts slightly dry; Barbados, Dominica and St. Croix extremely dry; St. Vincent and St. Lucia severely dry; Antigua and St. Maarten exceptionally dry; and Anguilla moderately dry. Conditions in Guyana range from moderately dry in the north to normal further south. Aruba was exceptionally dry and Curacao extremely dry. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from extremely dry in the west to moderately dry in the east, while they ranged from exceptionally dry in the south to slightly dry in the northwest in the Dominican Republic. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from slight to severely dry, while Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from moderately wet in some western and central areas to exceptionally dry in the southeast. The southern half of Belize ranged exceptionally dry to normal, while the northern half was normal.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

SPI Monitor February 2016

February 2016

Normal to below normal rainfall was experienced across the eastern Caribbean and Guyana in February. Trinidad was slight to moderately dry, Tobago slightly dry, Grenada, St. Vincent, St. Lucia and Antigua extremely dry; Barbados moderately dry; Dominica, St. Kitts, Anguilla, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; and Guyana normal in the west to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was severely dry, while Puerto Rico was normal in the west to moderately wet in the east. Conditions in the Dominican Republic conditions ranged from moderately wet in the west to normal in the east. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from normal to very wet, while those in Belize range from slightly dry in the south to moderately wet in the north.

December 2015 to February 2016

SPI_3MFor the three month period, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were normal to below normal. Trinidad, Tobago and Grenada were normal; Barbados, St. Vincent, Dominica, St. Kitts, St. Maarten and St Croix moderately dry; St. Lucia and Antigua exceptionally dry; Anguilla slightly dry; and Guyana normal to the west to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was severely dry while Puerto Rico was normal. The Dominican Republic was slightly wet in the west and normal in the east, while Jamaica was predominantly normal apart from in the extreme west that was slight to moderately wet. Grand Cayman was slightly wet. Conditions in Cuba ranged from extremely wet in western and central area to slightly wet in the east, while in Belize they ranged from severely dry in the south to normal in the north.

September 2015 to February 2016

SPI_6MNormal to below normal rainfall were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana over the six month period. Trinidad and Antigua were moderate to severely dry; Tobago and Grenada normal; Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Kitts and St. Croix moderately dry; St. Lucia severe to extremely dry; Dominica extremely dry; St. Maarten exceptionally dry; Anguilla slightly dry; and Guyana slightly wet in the north to severely dry in the east. Aruba was exceptionally dry, while Puerto Rico was moderately dry in the west and slightly dry in the east. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from slightly dry in the west to severely dry in the east, while in Jamaica they ranged from slightly wet in western and central areas to moderately dry in the southeast. Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Cuba ranged from moderately wet in central areas to normal in the east and slightly wet in the west, while Belize was from moderately wet in the west to normal in the south and slightly wet in the east and north.

March 2015 to February 2016

SPI_12MFor the twelve month period, rainfall over the islands of the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry; Tobago normal; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados and St. Lucia extremely dry; St. Vincent and St. Kitts severely dry; Dominica, Antigua, St. Maarten and St. Croix exceptionally dry; and Anguilla moderately dry. Conditions in Guyana ranged from exceptionally wet in the north to normal further south. Aruba was extremely dry, while Puerto Rico was severely dry in the west and moderately dry in the east. Conditions were predominantly severely dry but with areas in the southwest and east that were extremely or exceptionally dry. At the same time, Jamaica was predominantly normal, but with slight to moderately dry areas in the east, while Grand Cayman was slightly dry. Similarly to Jamaica, Cuba and Belize were predominantly normal, but with north-central areas of Cuba being slightly wet, and with southern parts of Belize slightly dry.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

SPI Monitor January 2016

January 2016

Normal to below normal rainfall was experienced in the eastern Caribbean and northern Guyana in January. Trinidad, Grenada, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Antigua, St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Maarten were moderately dry; Tobago and Barbados normal; Dominica extremely dry; St. Croix exceptionally dry and northern Guyana slightly dry in the north to extremely dry in the southeast. Aruba was moderately dry and Curacao extremely dry. Puerto Rico ranged from slightly wet in the west to moderately dry in the east, but apart from the extreme east and west, the Dominican Republic was normal. Jamaica was slightly dry in the south and normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from extremely dry in the south to slightly dry in the north.

November 2015 to January 2016

SPI_3.jan2016Apart from St. Kitts and Grenada that were moderately wet, the eastern Caribbean and northern Guyana were normal to below normal for the three month period. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados and St. Croix were normal; St. Vincent, St. Lucia and Anguilla slightly dry, Dominica, Antigua and St. Maarten moderately dry; and northern Guyana normal in the west to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was extremely dry, but Curacao moderately dry. Puerto Rico’s rainfall was normal, while that of the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately dry in the south and east to extremely wet in the north. Jamaica was slightly dry, but Grand Cayman moderately wet. Conditions in Belize ranged from extremely wet in the west to slightly wet in the north.

August 2015 to January 2016

SPI_6.jan2016For the six month period, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana experience normal to below normal rainfall. Trinidad, Barbados and Antigua were moderate to severely dry; Tobago, Grenada and St. Kitts normal; St. Vincent severely dry; St. Lucia and Dominica extremely dry; Anguilla slightly dry; St. Croix moderately dry; St. Maarten exceptionally dry; and northern Guyana normal to the north and west to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was exceptionally dry and Aruba severely dry. Puerto Rico was slight to moderately dry, while the Dominica Republic ranged from moderately dry in the south to normal in the north. Jamaica was slightly dry in the west and moderately dry in the east, and Grand Cayman slightly dry. Belize was normal.

February 2015 to January 2016

SPI_12.jan2016Normal to below normal conditions were experienced for the twelve month period over the islands of the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry; Tobago normal; Barbados severely dry; St. Vincent, St. Kitts and Anguilla moderately dry; St Lucia extremely dry; Dominica, Antigua, St. Croix and St. Maarten exceptionally dry. Rainfall for northern Guyana ranged from normal to moderately wet north to south. Aruba was exceptionally dry, but Curacao severely dry. Puerto Rico was moderately dry in the west and severely dry in the east, while the Dominican Republic ranged from exceptionally dry in the south to slightly dry in the north. Jamaica was moderately dry in the extreme west and severely dry elsewhere, while Grand Cayman was slightly dry. Belize was normal in the south and slightly dry in the north.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

SPI Monitor December 2015

December 2015

With the exceptions of Trinidad that was moderately wet and Grenada slightly wet, the rainfall in islands of the eastern Caribbean was predominantly normal to below normal. Tobago, St. Vincent, Barbados, St. Kitts and St. Croix were normal; St. Lucia and Anguilla moderately dry; Dominica and St. Maarten slightly dry; and Antigua severely dry. Northern Guyana was normal, apart from the extreme east that was slightly dry. Aruba was extremely dry, but Puerto Rico was normal. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately wet in the south to normal in the north and east, but Jamaica was normal. Grand Cayman was moderately wet. Conditions in Cuba ranged from normal to exceptionally wet, while in Belize they ranged from moderately dry in the west to moderately wet in the north.

October to December 2015

spi3.12-2015For the three-month period, apart from Grenada that was moderately wet and St. Kitts that was slightly wet, the eastern Caribbean, including northern Guyana, was normal to below normal. Trinidad, Tobago, Anguilla and St. Croix were normal; Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, and Antigua slightly dry; St. Maarten moderately dry; and northern Guyana normal apart from the east that was slight to moderately dry. Aruba was extremely dry, but Puerto Rico normal. Though the majority of the Dominican Republic was normal, the extreme east was slight to severely dry, the extreme south slightly dry and the extreme north slightly wet. Jamaica was normal, while Grand Cayman was slightly wet. Conditions in Cuba ranged from normal in the west and east to extremely wet in east central area, while those in Belize ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to normal in the north.

July to December 2015

spi6.12-2015Normal to below normal conditions were experienced in the islands of the eastern Caribbean for the six month period. Trinidad, St. Vincent, St. Croix and Anguilla were moderately dry; Tobago, Grenada and St. Kitts normal; Barbados extremely dry; St. Lucia and Antigua severely dry; Dominica extreme to exceptionally dry; and St. Maarten exceptionally dry. Conditions in northern Guyana ranged from moderately wet in the west to normal in the east. Aruba was extremely dry, while Puerto Rico was slight to moderately dry. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from severely dry in the south to normal in the northwest, while those in Jamaica were normal to moderately dry from west to east. Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Conditions in western Cuba ranged from moderately dry to normal and the east from normal to moderately wet. Belize was predominantly normal apart from the extreme north that was slight to moderately dry.

January to December 2015

spi12.12-2015Normal to below normal rainfall totals was the experience in the islands of the eastern Caribbean in 2015. Trinidad was moderate to severely dry; Tobago and Grenada normal; Barbados, St. Lucia and St. Croix extremely dry; St. Vincent, St. Kitts and Anguilla moderately dry; Dominica, Antigua and St. Maarten exceptionally dry. Conditions in northern Guyana ranged from moderately wet in the west to normal in the east. Aruba was exceptionally dry, while Puerto Rico was normal to moderately dry. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from exceptionally dry in the south to slightly dry in the northeast, while Jamaica was slightly dry in the west and moderately dry in the east. Grand Cayman was slightly dry while Cuba was predominantly normal apart from the west that was slight to moderately dry. Belize was also predominantly normal apart from the extreme north that was slightly dry and the extreme south that was slight to moderately dry.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

SPI Monitor November 2015

SPI Discussion November 2015

November 2015

Apart from Trinidad that was slightly dry, normal to above normal rainfall was experienced in the islands of the eastern Caribbean for November. Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, Dominica, Antigua, St. Kitts, Anguilla, and St Maarten were normal; Grenada moderately wet; and St. Lucia and St. Croix slightly wet. Conditions in northern Guyana ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to normal in the east. Aruba was slightly dry while Curacao rainfall was normal. Puerto Rico ranged from severely dry in the west to moderately wet in the east, but the Dominican Republic ranged from exceptionally dry in the south and east to exceptionally wet in the north. Jamaica was slightly dry in the west and moderately dry in the east, while Grand Cayman was moderately wet. Cuba experienced moderately wet conditions in central areas to normal conditions in the east and west. Conditions in Belize ranged from exceptionally wet in the south to moderately wet in the north.

September to November 2015

spi3.nov2015Apart from Grenada that was slightly wet, normal to below normal conditions were experienced for the three month period. Trinidad was exceptional to moderately dry, Tobago, Barbados and St. Croix normal; Dominica moderate to severely dry; Antigua, St. Kitts and St. Croix slightly dry. Northern Guyana ranged from moderately wet in the north to slightly dry in the east. Aruba was extremely dry and Curacao slightly dry. Puerto Rico was slight to moderately dry, while the Dominican Republic ranged from exceptionally dry in the south to normal in the north. Jamaica was normal in the west and normal to moderately dry in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Cuba ranged from severely dry in the west to moderately wet in eastern areas, while for Belize they ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to normal in the north.

June to November 2015

spi6.nov2015For the six-month period, normal to below normal rainfall was experienced in the islands of the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was extreme to severely dry; Tobago and Grenada normal; Barbados extremely dry; St. Vincent, St. Lucia and Antigua severely dry; Dominica and St. Maarten exceptionally dry; and St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Croix moderately dry. Northern Guyana ranged from exceptionally wet in the north to slightly wet in the east. Aruba was extremely dry while Curacao was slightly dry. Puerto Rico was moderate to severely dry, while the Dominican Republic ranged from extremely dry in the south to normal in the north. Jamaica was predominantly moderately dry and Grand Cayman slightly dry. Conditions in western Cuba ranged from normal to severely dry, but normal to slightly wet in the east. Conditions in Belize ranged from moderately wet in the west to normal in the east.

December 2014 to November 2015

spi12.nov2015Normal to below normal conditions dominated the Caribbean over the twelve-month period. Trinidad was severe to extremely dry, Tobago and Grenada were normal; Barbados, St. Lucia, and Antigua extremely dry; St. Vincent and St. Kitts severely dry; Dominica and St. Maarten exceptionally dry; and St. Anguilla and St. Croix moderately dry. Northern Guyana was dominated by exceptionally wet conditions. Aruba was severely dry and Curacao moderately dry. Puerto Rico was slight to moderately dry, while conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from exceptionally dry in the south to normal in the east. Conditions in Jamaica range from normal to moderately dry from west to east, while almost a mirror image was the experience in Cuba with these conditions from east to west. Grand Cayman was moderately dry, while Belize’s rainfall was normal.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

Decile Monitor October 2015

****Important Notice****

Routine discussions on deciles will recommence in late 2015 but the maps will continue to be updated.

October 2015

Decile October 2015

August to October 2015

Deciles August to October 2015

May to October 2015

Deciles May to October 2015

November 2014 to October 2015

Deciles November to October 2015

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used Decile values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

SPI Monitor October 2015

SPI Discussion October 2015

October 2015

Apart from Tobago that was moderately wet, rainfall in islands of the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal. Trinidad and St. Lucia were moderate to slightly dry; Grenada, St. Vincent, Antigua, St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; Barbados and St. Maarten moderately dry; Dominica exceptionally dry. Guyana was moderately wet in the northern extreme and below normal in the east with the remainder being normal. Aruba was severely dry while conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from slightly wet in the southwest to moderately dry in the east. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from normal in the south to moderately dry in the north, but Jamaica ranged from moderately wet in the west to normal in the east. Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Cuba ranged from moderately dry in the west to moderately wet in the east, while Belize was normal.

August to October 2015

spi.3.2015-10For the three-month period, the islands of the eastern Caribbean were normal to below normal. Trinidad was severe to moderately dry; Tobago normal; Grenada, St. Vincent and St. Croix moderately dry; Barbados, St. Lucia and Dominica severely dry; Antigua, St. Kitts and Anguilla slightly dry; and St. Maarten exceptionally dry. Conditions in Guyana ranged from moderately wet in the north to moderately dry in the east. Aruba was exceptionally dry, while Puerto Rico ranged from severely dry in the south to slightly dry in the north. Normal to extremely dry conditions were experienced in the Dominican Republic, but Jamaica was predominantly normal with the eastern being normal to moderately dry. Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from moderately dry in the west to normal in the east, while for Belize it was exceptionally dry in the west to moderately dry in the east.

May to October 2015

spi.6.2015-10Apart from Tobago where the rainfall over the six-month period was normal, the islands of the eastern Caribbean experienced below normal rainfall. Trinidad was extreme to severely dry; Grenada and Anguilla moderately dry; Barbados, Dominica, St. Croix and St. Maarten exceptionally dry; St. Vincent, St. Lucia and Antigua extremely dry; and St. Kitts severely dry. Conditions in Guyana ranged from exceptionally wet in the north and west to very wet in the east. Aruba was extremely dry and Puerto Rico extremely dry in the south to moderately dry in the north. The Dominican Republic was predominantly extremely dry but ranged to moderately dry, but Jamaica was severely dry in the south and moderately dry in the north. Grand Cayman was extremely dry. In Cuba conditions in the east were normal, while in the west they were extreme to slightly dry. In Belize conditions ranged from exceptionally dry in the west to moderately dry in the east.

November 2014 to October 2015

spi.12.2015-10(1)Apart from Tobago where rainfall for the twelve-month period was normal, the islands of the eastern Caribbean experienced below normal rainfall. Trinidad was extreme to moderately dry; Grenada, St. Vincent, Barbados, and St. Croix moderately dry; St. Lucia and Antigua severely dry; Anguilla slightly dry; and St. Maarten extremely dry. Conditions in Guyana ranged from exceptionally wet in the north to slightly wet in the east. Aruba was severely dry, while Puerto Rico was moderate to slightly dry. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from exceptionally dry in the northwest to normal in the east, while in Jamaica they were from normal in the west to severely dry in the east. Grand Cayman was extremely dry. Eastern Cuba was normal, while the west was severe to slightly dry. Belize ranged from extremely dry in the west to normal in the east.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.