SPI Monitor June 2020

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June 2020

Rainfall in the eastern Caribbean was predominantly normal to below normal for the month of June. Trinidad and Antigua were normal to slightly dry; Tobago normal to severely dry; Grenada, Barbados, St Vincent, St Croix and St. Thomas normal; Saint Lucia slightly wet in the south to moderately dry in the north; Martinique slight to extremely dry from south to north; Dominica severe to slightly dry; Guadeloupe mostly normal to extremely dry from west to east; St Kitts moderate to extremely dry; and St Maarten moderately dry. Most of the Guianas was normal to slightly wet, but ranged from very wet in north eastern French Guiana to moderately dry in north western French Guiana. Curacao was normal to slightly wet and Aruba was normal. Puerto Rico ranged from predominantly normal in central areas to moderately dry in the southeast and to slightly wet in the north west. Hispaniola ranged from normal in most of Haiti and north western Dominican Republic to extremely dry in east central Dominican Republic. Jamaica ranged from normal to very wet in the extreme north. Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Cuba ranged from moderately dry in western areas to normal in the extreme west and to moderately wet in the extreme south-eastern tip. Northern Bahamas though predominantly normal was slightly dry in the north. Belize was mostly normal with the exception of the extreme south which was slightly dry and the south east which was moderately wet.

April to June 2020

Over the three month period, rainfall in the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal. Trinidad was normal to moderately dry from the southeast to the northwest; Tobago and Guadeloupe moderate to exceptionally dry; Grenada normal; Barbados slightly dry; St Vincent slightly dry to normal in the extreme north-eastern border; Saint Lucia normal to exceptionally dry from south to north; Martinique extremely dry; Dominica, Antigua and St Maarten severe to extremely dry; St Kitts severely dry; St Thomas and St Croix moderately dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from normal to moderately dry in northern Guyana, northern Suriname , northern  French Guiana ,  and the southern Suriname/French Guiana border, and to exceptionally wet in north eastern French Guiana. Curacao was slightly dry and Aruba moderate to severely dry. Puerto Rico ranged from moderate to slightly dry from south to north. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally dry in southern areas to normal in Northern Dominican Republic. Jamaica ranged from extremely dry in the west to slightly dry in the east and moderately wet in the north. Grand Cayman was extremely dry. Cuba was predominantly normal, ranging to moderately wet in the extreme west and southeast to moderately dry in the extreme east. Northern Bahamas ranged from moderate to exceptionally wet and Belize from very wet in central areas to normal in the north and west, and to slightly dry in the extreme southwest.

January to June 2020

Rainfall over the six month period in the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal. Trinidad and Tobago were slight to severely dry; Grenada, St Kitts, St Croix, St Maarten and St Thomas normal; Barbados slight to moderately dry; St Vincent moderately dry; saint Lucia moderate to exceptionally dry from south to north; Martinique extreme to severely dry south to north; Dominica normal to moderately dry west to east; Guadeloupe normal to exceptionally dry west to east; Antigua and Anguilla normal to slightly dry. In the Guiana’s, conditions ranged from normal over much of the region to exceptionally dry in northern Guyana, southern Suriname/ French Guiana border and north western French Guiana, and to moderately wet in north eastern French Guiana. Curacao was normal and Aruba moderate to slightly dry from west to east. Puerto Rico ranged from moderately dry in the south to very wet in the north. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally dry in eastern areas to normal in the north. Jamaica ranged from normal in most of the country to extremely dry in the west, to moderately dry in the east and to slightly wet in the north. Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Cuba ranged from normal in the west and south east to moderately dry in west central areas and severely dry in the extreme east. Northern Bahamas was normal to moderately wet and Belize ranged from moderately dry in the southwest to moderately wet in east and central areas.

July 2019 to June 2020

Over the twelve month period, rainfall in the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal except for St. Thomas that was normal to slightly wet. Trinidad ranged from moderately dry in the south east to exceptionally dry in western areas and to slightly dry in the extreme north east ; Tobago normal to moderately dry; Grenada slight to moderately dry; Barbados extreme to exceptionally dry; St Vincent and Saint Lucia exceptionally dry; Martinique moderate to severely dry; Dominica and St Kitts normal to slightly dry; Guadeloupe normal to exceptionally dry west to east; Antigua, St Maarten and Anguilla normal; and St Croix severe to extremely dry. Conditions in the Guiana’s ranged from normal over much of the region to moderately wet in north central Guyana and northeast central French Guiana to exceptionally dry in northwest French Guiana. Curacao was moderately dry and Aruba slight to moderately dry. Puerto Rico ranged from extremely dry in the extreme southwest to moderately wet in the northeast. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally dry in central areas of the Dominican Republic to normal in northern and central areas of Haiti and severely dry in the southwest Haiti. Jamaica ranged from moderately dry in the extreme west and eastern areas to normal in central areas. Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Cuba ranged from slightly wet in the west and normal in the eastern half of the island to exceptionally dry in west central areas. Northern Bahamas ranged from very wet to extremely dry, and Belize from slightly dry in central areas to severely dry in the west and to extremely dry in northern areas.

July 2018 to June 2020

Rainfall in the eastern Caribbean over the two year period was predominantly normal to below normal. Trinidad ranged from normal in the extreme southeast to exceptionally dry in the west and northwest; Tobago moderate to extremely dry; Grenada slightly dry;  Barbados and Saint Lucia exceptionally dry;  St Vincent extremely dry; Martinique exceptional to moderately dry from south to north;  Dominica severe to slightly dry from south to north; Guadeloupe normal in the west to exceptionally dry in the east;  Antigua and St. Thomas normal to slightly dry; St Kitts slight to moderately dry;  St Maarten moderately dry and St Croix moderate to severely dry. In the Guiana’s conditions ranged from normal in much of the region to exceptionally dry in northern Guyana and north western French Guiana to exceptionally wet in central Guyana. Curacao was moderately dry and Aruba moderate to severely dry. Puerto Rico ranged from severely dry in the extreme south west to normal in the east. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally dry over most of the island to moderately dry in in the north. Jamaica ranged from normal in the southwest to extremely dry in the east. Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Cuba ranged from slightly wet in the west to exceptionally dry in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from moderately wet to extremely dry, and Belize from normal in the south to exceptionally dry in the west and northern areas.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

SPI Change June 2020

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Mean Temperature Anomalies May 2020

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May 2020

Temperatures in the eastern Caribbean were higher than the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad, Tobago, Grenada, Martinique, Dominica, St. Maarten, St. Thomas and St. Croix were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer; Saint Lucia and St. Kitts were between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer; Barbados was between 0 to 1.50 oC warmer from southeast to northwest; Guadeloupe and Antigua were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. The Guianas was predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer with the exception of a small portion in southern French Guiana which was between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer.  Curacao was between 0.25 oC cooler to 0.25 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Puerto Rico was between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer. Haiti and Belize were between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer. Jamaica was predominantly between 1.50 to 2.50 oC warmer with only the western tip being between 0.75 to 1.50 oC. Grand Cayman and Cuba were between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas ranged from 0.25 to 1.50.

March to May 2020

Much of the eastern Caribbean was warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad, Saint Lucia and St. Maarten were between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer; Barbados between 0 to 1.50 oC warmer from southeast to northwest; Tobago, Grenada, Dominica, St. Kitts and St. Croix were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Martinique and St. Thomas were between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer. Guadeloupe ranged from 0 to 0.75 oC warmer; Antigua was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from at least 0.25 cooler in a small area in northeastern Guyana to 2.50 oC warmer in central Guyana and northcentral French Guiana. Curacao was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer and Aruba was between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Puerto Rico and Haiti were between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer. Jamaica was predominantly between 1.50 and 2.50 oC warmer with the exception of the eastern and western tips which were between 0.70 and 1.50 oC warmer. Grand Cayman was between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Cuba and Belize were predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer, with only a portion of the northwest, in both countries, being between 1.50 and 2.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas ranged from 0.75 to more than 2.50 oC warmer.

December 2019 to May 2020

Temperature in the eastern Caribbean were higher than the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad, Tobago and St. Maarten were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer; Barbados and St. Thomas between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer from southeast to northwest; Grenada, Martinique, St. Kitts  and St. Croix between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Saint Lucia was predominantly between 0.25 to 0.75 warmer with only a small portion of the southern tip being between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer; Dominica between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer north to south; Guadeloupe and Antigua between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer; Conditions in the Guianas ranged between 0 and 0.25oC cooler in northeastern French Guiana to 2.50 oC warmer in north central French Guiana, and between 0.75 and 1.50 oC in most of Guyana and Suriname. Curacao was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer and Aruba between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Puerto Rico, Haiti, Cuba and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Jamaica was predominantly between 1.50 and 2.50 oC warmer with the eastern portions being between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Belize was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer with small section in the northwest being 1.50 to 2.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 and 2.50 oC warmer.

June 2019 to May 2020

The islands of the eastern Caribbean were warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average, except for Guadeloupe which was between 0 to 0.25 oC cooler, Dominica which ranged from 0.25 cooler in the northeast to 0.75 oC warmer in the south and St. Croix which was between 0.25 oC cooler in the south to 0.25 warmer in the north. Trinidad and Tobago were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer; Grenada, Saint Lucia, Martinique, St. Kitts, St. Maarten and St. Thomas between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Barbados between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer; and Antigua between 0 and 0.25 warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from between 0 oC warmer in northeast Suriname and northeast French Guiana to 2.50 oC warmer in central and northern French Guiana. Curacao was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer and Aruba between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Puerto Rico was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer except for the west and a small section in the southeast which was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Haiti ranged from between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer. Jamaica was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer with the exception of a small area in the northwest which was between 1.50 and 2.50 oC warmer. Cuba and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Belize was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer with the exception of a small area in the northwest being between 1.50 and 2.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 and 2.50 oC warmer.

Mean Temperature for May 2020

Mean Temperature for the Period June 2019 to May 2020

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

 

SPI Monitor May 2020

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May 2020

Rainfall in the eastern Caribbean was predominantly below normal during the month of May. Trinidad was normal in the south to severely dry in the northeast; Tobago, St Vincent, Antigua and St Croix moderately dry; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados slight to moderately dry; Saint Lucia, St Maarten and St Thomas extremely dry; Martinique moderately dry in the south to extremely dry in the north; Dominica and Guadeloupe severe to extremely dry and St Kitts severely dry. In the Guianas conditions ranged from moderately dry in north-eastern Suriname and southeast French Guiana to exceptionally wet in north-eastern French Guiana, and to extremely wet in southern Guyana. Curacao was slight to moderately dry and Aruba severely dry. Puerto Rico ranged from slightly dry in the west to extremely dry in the northeast. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally dry in the extreme south to slightly wet in the north. Jamaica ranged from extremely dry in the extreme west to slightly wet in the northwest, to slightly dry in the northeast and to normal in the extreme east. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to normal in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from very to exceptionally wet, and Belize from exceptionally wet in central areas to moderately wet in the south and normal in the west and northern areas.

March to May 2020

Over the three month period, normal to below normal rainfall prevailed throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad ranged from slightly dry in the southeast to exceptionally dry in the northwest; Tobago slight to severely dry; Grenada slightly dry to normal; Barbados, St. Vincent and Dominica moderate to severely dry; St Kitts and St Maarten moderately dry; Saint Lucia exceptionally dry; Martinique exceptionally dry in the south to severely dry in the north; Guadeloupe normal in the west to severely dry in the east; Antigua and St Thomas slightly dry; St Croix normal. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from extremely dry in northern Guyana to, moderately dry in northeast central Suriname.  to exceptionally wet in northeast French Guiana. Aruba was extreme to exceptionally dry and Curacao normal. Puerto Rico ranged from moderately dry in the south to normal in the north. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally dry in a small area of southern Dominican Republic to normal in the north and eastern areas. Jamaica ranged from extremely dry in the west, to slightly dry in the east and normal in the north. Grand Cayman was moderate to severely dry. Cuba ranged from moderately wet in the west to moderately dry in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from moderate to exceptionally wet, and Belize from exceptionally wet in central areas to normal in the south and moderately dry in western and northern areas.

December 2019 to May 2020

Rainfall over the six month period was predominantly normal to below normal with a few areas which were above normal. Trinidad ranged from moderately dry in the west to normal in the extreme northeast; Tobago normal to slightly dry; Grenada, Antigua, St Maarten and St Thomas normal; Barbados severe to extremely dry;  St Vincent severely dry; Saint Lucia extremely dry; Martinique severely dry in the south to slightly dry in the north; Dominica very wet in the west to normal in the east; Guadeloupe slightly wet in the west to extremely dry in the east; St Kitts slightly wet to normal, and St Croix slightly dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from normal to extremely dry in northern Guyana, and to moderately wet in north-eastern French Guiana. Aruba was moderately dry and Curacao normal. Puerto Rico ranged from exceptionally dry in the extreme southwest to extremely wet in the northeast. Hispaniola ranged from moderately wet in the north to exceptionally dry in south-eastern Dominican Republic and to extremely dry in south-western Haiti. Jamaica ranged from slightly dry in the south, east and west to normal elsewhere, whereas Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Cuba was predominantly dry with west central areas being slightly dry, and areas to the east being slight to moderately dry. Northern Bahamas ranged from slightly to exceptionally wet. Belize ranged from extremely wet in central areas to moderately dry in the west and normal in the north and south.

June 2019 to May 2020

Over the twelve month period, rainfall was normal to below normal throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad ranged from severely dry in the southeast to exceptionally dry in northwest; Tobago normal to moderately dry; Grenada slight to moderately dry; Barbados and St Vincent exceptional to extremely dry; Saint Lucia exceptionally dry; Martinique severe to moderately dry; Dominica slightly dry to normal; Guadeloupe normal in the west to exceptionally dry in the east; Antigua, St Kitts, St Maarten Anguilla and St Thomas normal; St Croix extreme to severely dry. In the Guianas ,  conditions ranged from moderately dry in northern Guyana to moderately wet in north-central Guyana and French Guiana. Aruba and Curacao were moderately dry. Puerto Rico ranged from extremely dry in the south-western tip to moderately wet in the northeast. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally dry in central Dominican Republic to slightly dry in the extreme east and extremely dry in south-western Haiti. Jamaica ranged from normal in central areas to moderately dry in the west and east. Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Cuba ranged from normal in central, western and eastern areas to moderately dry in west-central areas and to moderately wet in the northeast. Northern Bahamas ranged from extremely wet to extremely dry, and Belize from normal in the south to extremely dry in the west and north.

June 2018 to May 2020

Rainfall in the eastern Caribbean over the two year period was predominantly normal to below normal. Trinidad was slightly dry in the southeast to exceptionally dry in the northwest; Tobago severe to extremely dry; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados and Saint Lucia exceptionally dry; St Vincent extreme to exceptionally dry; Martinique exceptional to moderately dry south to north; Dominica severe to slightly dry; Guadeloupe normal to exceptionally dry from west to east; Antigua normal to slightly dry; St Kitts slight to moderately dry; St Maarten moderately dry; St Croix moderate to severely dry, and St. Thomas normal. In the Guianas, conditions were predominantly normal ranging to exceptionally dry in northern Guyana, very wet in central Guyana and moderately wet in Southern Guyana ND north and western Suriname. Aruba was moderate to severely dry and Curacao moderately dry. Puerto Rico ranged from severely dry in the extreme south west to normal in the east. Hispaniola was mostly exceptionally dry, ranging to moderately dry in the north. Jamaica ranged from normal in central areas to slightly dry in the west and exceptionally dry in the east. Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Cuba ranged from normal in the west to exceptionally dry in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from moderately wet to extremely dry, and Belize from slightly dry in central areas to normal in the south and exceptionally dry in the western border and north.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

SPI Change May 2020

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Mean Temperature Anomalies April 2020

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April 2020

Temperature anomalies in the eastern Caribbean were warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad Saint Lucia, St. Maarten and St. Thomas were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer; Tobago, Grenada, Dominica, Guadeloupe and Antigua were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Barbados was between 0 to 1.50 oC warmer from southeast to northeast; Martinique and St. Kitts between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer; and St. Croix between 0and 0.75 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from 0.75 oC cooler in northeast Suriname up to 2.50 oC warmer in central and north central Guyana.  Curacao was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Puerto Rico ranged from 0.25 in the north east to 1.5 warmer elsewhere. Haiti and Jamaica was between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer. Grand Cayman was between 1.50 and 2.50 oC warmer.  Cuba ranged from 0.75 to 2.50 warmer east to west. Belize was predominantly 1.50 to 2.50 oC. warmer except for the northwestern corner which was above 2.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas ranged from 0.75 to above 2.50 oC warmer.

February to April 2020

Much of the eastern Caribbean was warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad, Saint Lucia and St. Maarten were between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer; Barbados between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer from southeast to northwest; Tobago, Grenada, Martinique, St. Kitts and St. Thomas were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Guadeloupe was  between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. St. Croix ranged from 0.25 oC cooler to 0.25 oC warmer from south to north. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from at least 0.25 cooler in a small area in northeastern Suriname and French Guiana to 2.50 oC warmer in central Guyana, west central Suriname and north central French Guiana. Curacao was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Puerto Rico and Haiti were between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Cuba and Belize were between 0.75 and 2.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas ranged from 0.75 to more than 2.50 oC warmer.

November 2019 to April 2020

Temperature anomalies in the eastern Caribbean were warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad, Tobago and St. Maarten was between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer; Barbados and Guadeloupe between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer; Grenada, Saint Lucia, Martinique, St. Kitts and St. Thomas between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Dominica between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer; Antigua and St. Croix between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged between 0 and 0.25oC cooler in northeastern French Guiana and more than 2.50 oC warmer in north central French Guiana, and between 0.75 and 1.50 oC in most of Guyana and Suriname. Curacao was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Puerto Rico was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer with a small section the southeast being between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Haiti, Jamaica, Cuba and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Belize was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer with small section in the north central being 1.50 to 2.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 and 2.50 oC warmer.

May 2019 to April 2020

The islands of the eastern Caribbean were warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average, except for Guadeloupe which was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC cooler, Dominica which ranged from 0.75 cooler in the northeast to 0.75 oC warmer in the south, Antigua which ranged from 0.25 oC cooler in the south to 0.25 oC warmer in the north and St. Croix which was between 0 to 0.25 oC cooler. Trinidad was between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer than average; Barbados and Tobago between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer; Grenada, Saint Lucia, Martinique, St. Kitts, St. Maarten and St. Thomas between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from between 0 oC warmer in northeast Suriname and northeast French Guiana to 2.50 oC warmer in north central French Guiana. Curacao was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer. Puerto Rico was predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer except for a small section in the northeast which was between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Haiti was predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer with the exception of the northwestern and southwestern tips which was between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Jamaica, Cuba and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Belize and northern Bahamas was between 0.75 and 2.50 oC warmer.

Mean Temperature for April 2020

Mean Temperature for the Period May 2019 to April 2020

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

SPEI April 2020

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