SPI Monitor February 2022

February 2022

Conditions throughout the eastern Caribbean were predominantly normal to above normal during the month of February. Trinidad and Grenada normal to moderately wet; Tobago very wet; Barbados very to exceptionally wet; St Vincent slightly dry in the west to predominantly normal elsewhere; Saint Lucia and Antigua predominantly normal to slightly wet; Martinique normal to moderately dry; Dominica normal to moderately wet; Guadeloupe extremely wet in the west to normal in the east; St Kitts and St Thomas extreme to very wet; St Maarten and Anguilla slightly wet and St Croix exceptional to extremely wet. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from normal to exceptionally wet. Aruba was normal and Curacao was normal to slightly wet from south to north. Puerto Rico ranged from slight to exceptionally wet west to east. Hispaniola ranged from normal in Haiti in the west to very wet in northern Dominican Republic. Jamaica was predominantly normal ranging to slightly dry in the southeast and northwest and to moderately wet in the west. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from severely dry in the northwest to moderately wet in the west and to very wet in northeastern areas. Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to moderately dry and Belize ranged from normal in central areas to very wet in the south and moderately wet in the northeast.

December 2021 to February 2022

Predominantly normal to below normal conditions prevailed throughout the eastern Caribbean over the three month period. Trinidad, Tobago, Grenada and St Thomas normal; Barbados slightly dry in the extreme south to predominantly normal; St Vincent predominantly severe to moderately dry; Saint Lucia moderate to slightly dry; Martinique severe to exceptionally dry; Dominica, Antigua and St Maarten moderately dry to normal; Guadeloupe predominantly normal to extremely dry in the east; St Kitts very wet to normal; St Croix and Anguilla slightly wet to normal. In the Guianas conditions were predominantly normal ranging to exceptionally wet in southwestern Guyana and northeast central French Guiana. Aruba and Curacao were normal. Puerto Rico ranged from normal in the west to exceptionally wet in the northeast. Hispaniola was predominantly normal ranging to slightly wet in northern Dominican Republic. Jamaica was predominantly normal ranging to slightly dry on the extreme northwestern border and slightly wet in the northeast. Grand Cayman was predominantly normal to slightly wet in the east. Cuba was predominantly normal with slightly wet conditions on the northeastern border. Northern Bahamas ranged from moderately wet to normal and Belize was predominantly normal ranging to moderately wet in the southeast.

September 2021 to February 2022

Normal to below normal conditions prevailed throughout the eastern Caribbean over the six month period. Trinidad normal; Tobago and St Kitts normal to slightly dry; Grenada and St Thomas slight to moderately dry; Barbados exceptional to slightly dry; St Vincent, Martinique and Antigua extreme to exceptionally dry; Saint Lucia exceptionally dry; Dominica moderate to extremely dry; Guadeloupe moderate to exceptionally dry west to east; St Maarten moderately dry to normal south to north; Anguilla normal to slightly wet and St Croix moderately dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from moderately dry to exceptionally wet. Aruba was moderate to slightly dry and Curacao was predominantly normal to slightly dry in the extreme south.  Puerto Rico ranged from moderately dry in the extreme southwest to moderately wet on the northeastern border. Hispaniola ranged from normal to exceptionally dry. Jamaica was predominantly normal ranging to slightly dry in the extreme south, west and eastern areas. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from exceptionally dry in western areas to normal in eastern areas. Northern Bahamas ranged from very wet to moderately dry and Belize ranged from moderately dry in southern and northwestern areas to normal.

March 2021 to February 2022

Apart from in the southern portion of the chain that was above normal, over the twelve month period normal to below normal conditions prevailed throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad predominantly moderate to slightly wet in the extreme northeast; Tobago and Grenada predominantly normal to slightly wet; Barbados and St Maarten severely dry to normal; St Vincent and Dominica moderate to severely dry; Saint Lucia predominantly severe to extremely dry in the extreme north; Martinique exceptional to severely dry; Guadeloupe moderate to exceptionally dry west to east; Antigua exceptionally dry; St Kitts slight to moderately dry; Anguilla slightly dry to slightly wet south to north; St Croix moderately dry and St Thomas normal. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from slight to exceptionally wet. Aruba was slightly dry and Curacao normal. Puerto Rico ranged from normal in the south to slightly wet in the north.  Hispaniola was predominantly normal with slightly wet conditions on the northern Haiti/ Dominican Republic border, ranging to severely dry in the extreme south and in the southeast of the Dominica Republic. Jamaica was predominantly normal ranging to severely dry in the south and to slightly wet in the north. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from exceptionally dry in the extreme west to moderately wet in the extreme southeast. Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to severely dry and Belize ranged from normal in the west to moderately dry in the south and north.

March 2020 to February 2022

Apart from the extreme south and north of the chain, normal to below normal conditions were experienced throughout the eastern Caribbean over the two year period. Trinidad and Anguilla ranged from slightly wet to normal; Tobago, Barbados and St Thomas normal; Grenada normal to slightly dry; St Vincent and Antigua severe to extremely dry; Saint Lucia and Guadeloupe moderate to exceptionally dry; Martinique extreme to moderately dry; Dominica extreme to slightly dry; St Kitts moderate to slightly dry; St Maarten severely dry to normal and St Croix moderately dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally dry to exceptionally wet. Aruba and Curacao were normal. Puerto Rico was predominantly normal ranging to slightly wet in the north. Hispaniola was predominantly normal ranging to exceptionally dry in the extreme south. Jamaica was predominantly normal ranging to severely dry in southern areas and to very wet in the north. Grand Cayman was predominantly normal ranging to slightly wet in the east. Cuba was predominantly normal ranging to moderately dry in the northwest and to very wet in the extreme southeast. Northern Bahamas ranged from extremely wet to slightly dry and Belize was predominantly normal ranging to moderately wet in the north.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

 

Mean Temperature Anomalies January 2022

January 2022

Mixed temperature anomalies prevailed in the eastern Caribbean for January 2022. Trinidad, Grenada and St. Kitts were between 0 to 0.75 oC warmer; Tobago and St. Maarten were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Barbados ranged from 0.75 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer; Saint Lucia was predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 oC cooler with the south ranging between 0 and 0.25 oC cooler; Martinique was between 0.75 oC cooler to 0.25 oC warmer; Dominica ranged from 0.25 oC warmer in the south to 1.50 oC cooler in the north; Guadeloupe was between 0.25 and 1.50 oC cooler; Antigua was between 0 to 0.25 cooler; St. Thomas and St. Croix were between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from 0.75 oC cooler to 2.50 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer and Curacao was between 0 and 0.25 oC cooler. Puerto Rico and Belize were between 1.50 oC warmer to 0.25 oC cooler. Dominican Republic was predominantly between 0.25 oC and 0.75 oC warmer with the east between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Cuba and Jamaica were between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer. Grand Cayman was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas ranged from 0.25 cooler to 0.75 oC warmer.

November 2021 to January 2022

Mixed temperature anomalies prevailed in the eastern Caribbean for the period November 2021 to January 2022. Trinidad was predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 to oC warmer with the southeastern tip between 0 to 0.25 oC warmer; Tobago, Grenada, Barbados, St. Kitts and St. Maarten and St. Croix were between 0.25 and 0.75 to oC warmer; Saint Lucia was between 0.25 warmer to 0.25 oC cooler; Martinique and St. Thomas were between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer; Dominica was between 0.25 oC warmer and 0.75 oC  cooler;  Guadeloupe was between 0 to 0.75 oC cooler; Antigua was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer; In the Guianas, conditions ranged from at least 0.75 oC cooler to 1.50 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer and Curacao was between 0 and 0.75 oC cooler. Puerto Rico was between 0 and 1.50 oC warmer. Dominican Republic was predominantly between 0.25 oC and 0.75 oC warmer with the east between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Cuba, Jamaica and Grand Cayman were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.25 oC cooler and 1.50 oC warmer.  Belize was between 0.75 oC cooler to 2.50 oC warmer.

August 2021 to January 2022

Mixed temperature anomalies prevailed in the eastern Caribbean for the period August 2021 to January 2022. Trinidad, Tobago, Grenada and St. Maarten were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Barbados was between 0 and 1.50 oC warmer; Saint Lucia, Antigua and St. Croix were between 0.25 oC cooler to 0.25 oC warmer; Martinique was between 0.75 oC cooler to 0.25 oC warmer; Dominica was between 0.75 oC warmer to 0.75 oC cooler; Guadeloupe was between 0 and 0.75 oC cooler; St. Kitts and St. Thomas were between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas were between 0.25 oC cooler to 1.50 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer and Curacao was between 0 and 0.25 oC cooler. Puerto Rico was between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer. Dominican Republic was between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer. Cuba, Jamaica and Grand Cayman were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer. Belize was between 0.75 oC cooler to 2.50 oC warmer.

 February 2021 to January 2022

Mixed temperature anomalies prevailed in the eastern Caribbean for the period February 2021 to January 2022. Trinidad and Grenada were between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer; Tobago, St. Maarten and St. Thomas were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Barbados and Martinique were between 0.25 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer; Saint Lucia and St. Croix were between 0.25 oC cooler to 0.25 oC warmer; Dominica was between 0.75 oC warmer to 0.75 oC cooler; Guadeloupe was between 0 to 0.75 oC cooler; Antigua was between 0 to 0.25 oC cooler; St. Kitts was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer.  Conditions in the Guianas ranged from 0.75 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer and Curacao was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC cooler. Puerto Rico was 0 to 1.50 oC warmer. Dominican Republic was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Cuba was predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer with a small section in the east between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0 to 0.75 oC warmer. Belize was between 0.75 oC cooler to 1.50 warmer.

Mean Temperature for January 2022

Mean Temperature for the Period February 2021 to January 2022

 

 

Mean Temperature Anomalies December 2021

December 2021

Mixed temperature anomalies prevailed in the eastern Caribbean for December 2021. Trinidad was between 0 to 0.75 oC warmer than normal; Tobago, Grenada, Martinique, St. Kitts, St. Maarten and St. Thomas were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Barbados ranged from 0.25 oC to 1.50 oC warmer; Saint Lucia was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer  Dominica ranged from 0.75 oC warmer in the south to 0.25 oC cooler in the north; Guadeloupe was between 0 and 0.25 oC cooler; Antigua was predominantly 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer with the extreme southeast between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer; St. Croix was predominantly between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer with the extreme west between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from 0.75 oC cooler to 1.50 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer and Curacao was between 0 and 0.75 oC cooler. Puerto Rico was between 1.50 oC warmer to 0.25 oC cooler. Dominican Republic was between 0.25 oC and 0.75 oC warmer. Jamaica was predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer with western areas up to 1.50 oC warmer. Cuba was between 0.75 oC to 1.50 oC warmer. Grand Cayman was between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas ranged from 0.75 to 2.50 oC warmer.

October to December 2021

Mixed temperature anomalies prevailed in the eastern Caribbean for the period October to December 2021. Trinidad, Tobago, Grenada, Barbados, St. Kitts and St. Maarten between 0.25 and 0.75 to oC warmer than normal; Saint Lucia, Dominica and Guadeloupe between 0.25 warmer to 0.25 oC cooler; Martinique between 0.25 to 0.75 oC cooler; Antigua and St. Thomas between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer; and St. Croix between 0 to 0.75 oC warmer. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from at least 0.75 oC cooler to 1.50 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer and Curacao was up to 0.25 oC cooler. Puerto Rico was between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer. Dominican Republic, Cuba, Jamaica and Grand Cayman were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.25 oC cooler and 0.75 oC warmer.

July to December 2021

Mixed temperature anomalies prevailed in the eastern Caribbean for the period July to December 2021. Trinidad, Tobago, Grenada Barbados, St. Maarten and St. Thomas were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer than normal; Saint Lucia predominantly between 0 and 0.25 oC  warmer with the extreme north being between 0 and 0.25 oC cooler; Martinique between 0.75 oC cooler to 0.25 oC warmer; Dominica between 0.75 oC warmer to 0.75 oC cooler; Guadeloupe between 0 and 0.75 oC cooler; Antigua and St. Croix between 0.25 oC cooler to 0.25 oC warmer; St. Kitts between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer south to north. Conditions in the Guianas were between 0.25 oC cooler to 1.50 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer and Curacao between 0 and 0.25 oC cooler.  Puerto Rico was between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer. Dominican Republic was between 0 and 0.25 oC; and Cuba between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer.

January to December 2021

Mixed temperature anomalies prevailed in the eastern Caribbean for the period January to December 2021. Trinidad and Grenada were predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer than normal with the extreme southwest between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer; Tobago, St. Maarten and St. Thomas between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Barbados between 0.25 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer; Saint Lucia and St. Croix between 0.25 oC cooler to 0.25 oC warmer; Martinique between 0.25 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer; Dominica was between 0.75 oC warmer to 0.75 oC cooler; Guadeloupe was between 0 to 0.75 oC cooler; Antigua was between 0 to 0.25 oC cooler; St. Kitts was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer.  Conditions in the Guianas ranged from 0.75 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer and Curacao was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC cooler. Puerto Rico was predominantly 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer with a small section the south ranging up to 1.50 oC warmer. Dominican Republic was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Cuba was predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer with a small section in the east between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Jamaica was between 0.75 oC warmer to 0.75 oC cooler. Grand Cayman was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 oC warmer to 0.25 oC cooler.

Mean Temperature for December 2021

Mean Temperature for the Period January to December 2021

 

Mean Temperature Anomalies November 2021

November 2021

Mixed temperature anomalies prevailed in the eastern Caribbean for November 2021. Trinidad was predominantly between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer with the extreme southwestern tip ranging up to 1.50 oC warmer; Tobago was predominantly between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer ranging to 0.25 oC warmer in the northeast; Grenada, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Antigua and St. Croix were between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer, Barbados was between 0.25 and 0.75oC warmer; Dominica was between 0.25 oC warmer to 0.75 oC cooler; Guadeloupe and St Thomas were predominantly 0 to 0.25 cooler  ranging up to 0.25 oC warmer; St. Kitts and St. Maarten were between 0 to 0.25 oC warmer; In the Guianas, conditions ranged from 0.75 oC cooler to 1.50 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0 to 0.25 oC warmer and Curacao was between 0 to 0.75 oC cooler. Puerto Rico was between 0.25 oC to 1.50 oC warmer. Dominican Republic and Jamaica were between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer. Cuba was between 0.25 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer. Grand Cayman was between 0 to 0.25 oC cooler. Northern Bahamas and Belize were between 0.75 oC warmer to 1.50 oC cooler.

September to November 2021

Mixed temperature anomalies prevailed in the eastern Caribbean for the period September to November 2021. Trinidad, Tobago, Grenada St. Kitts, and St. Maarten were between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer; Barbados was between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer southwest to northeast; Saint Lucia was between 0.75 oC warmer to 0.25 oC cooler; Martinique and was between 0.25 to 1.50 oC cooler; Dominica was between 0.75 oC warmer to 0.25 oC cooler; Guadeloupe was between 0.25 warmer to 0.75 oC cooler; Antigua was between 0 oC to 0.25 oC warmer; St. Croix and St. Thomas were between 0.25 oC warmer and 0.25 oC cooler. Conditions in the Guianas were between 0.75 oC cooler to 1.50 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0 to 0.25 oC warmer and Curacao was between 0 and 0.25 oC cooler. Puerto Rico was between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer. Dominican Republic and Cuba were between 0 to 0.75 oC warmer. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer.  Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 oC cooler and 0.75 oC warmer. Belize was between 1.50 oC cooler and 1.50 oC warmer.

June to November 2021

Mixed temperature anomalies prevailed in the eastern Caribbean for the period June to November 2021. Trinidad and Tobago were between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer; Grenada, Barbados and St. Thomas were between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer; Saint Lucia was between 0.25 oC warmer to oC cooler; Martinique was between 0.75 oC cooler to 0.25 oC warmer; Dominica was between 0.75oC warmer to 0.75 oC cooler; Guadeloupe was predominantly between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer with the western border being between 0 to 0.25 oC cooler, Antigua and St. Croix were between 0 to 0.25 oC cooler; St. Kitts and St. Maarten were between 0 to 0.25 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from 0.25 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Curacao was between 0 and 0.75 oC cooler. Puerto Rico was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Dominican Republic was between 0.25 oC cooler to 0.25 oC warmer. Cuba and Grand Cayman were between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Jamaica was between 0.75 oC warmer to 0.75 oC cooler. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer. Belize was between 0.75 oC cooler to 1.50 oC warmer.

December 2020 to November 2021

Mixed conditions prevailed in the islands of the eastern Caribbean for the Twelve-month period, December 2020 to November 2021. Trinidad, Grenada and St Maarten were between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer; Tobago and St. Thomas were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Barbados and Martinique were between 0.25 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer; Saint Lucia was between 0.25 oC warmer to 0.25 oC cooler south to north; Dominica was between 0.75 oC warmer to 0.75 oC cooler south to north;  Guadeloupe was predominantly between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer with the western border being between 0 to 0.25 oC cooler; Antigua and St. Croix were between 0 to 0.25 oC cooler and St. Kitts was between 0 to 0.25 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from at least 0.75 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0 to 0.25 oC warmer and Curacao was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC cooler. Puerto Rico was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer. Dominican Republic was between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Cuba was predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer with the east ranging between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Grand Cayman ranged from 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Jamaica was between 0.75 oC warmer and 0.75 oC cooler. Northern Bahamas was between 0.25 oC cooler to 0.75 oC warmer. Belize was between 0.75 oC cooler to 1.50 oC warmer.

Mean Temperature for November 2021

Mean Temperature for the Period December 2020 to November 2021

 

SPEI January 2022