SPI Monitor January 2024

January 2024

Mixed conditions were seen throughout the eastern Caribbean during the month of January. Trinidad was moderately wet to normal; Grenada, Antigua, St Maarten and Anguilla normal; Tobago and Dominica slightly dry to normal; Barbados moderately dry to normal; St Vincent slight to moderately wet; Saint Lucia very wet in the south to moderately wet in the north; Martinique slightly wet to slightly dry; Guadeloupe normal to slightly wet; St Kitts moderate to slightly dry; St Croix severely dry and St Thomas moderately dry. In the Guianas, conditions varied from moderately wet in southern areas of Guyana to severely dry in northern Suriname/French Guiana border. Aruba was slightly dry and Curacao was normal. Puerto Rico was normal to moderately dry from west to east. The Dominican Republic was mostly exceptionally dry ranging to extremely dry in the west and to Normal in the extreme east. Jamaica was moderately dry. Grand cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to slightly dry in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from slightly dry to very wet and Belize ranged from extremely dry in southern areas to extremely wet in the north.

November 2023 to January 2024

In the eastern Caribbean, rainfall totals were mixed in the south but normal to below normal to the north over the three month period. Trinidad was moderately wet to normal; Tobago and St Maarten slight to moderately dry; Grenada and Anguilla slightly dry; Barbados moderately wet; St Vincent and St Thomas normal; Saint Lucia slightly wet to normal; Martinique normal to moderately dry; Dominica predominantly moderate to severely dry; Guadeloupe severe to extremely dry; Antigua severely dry; St Kitts moderate to severely dry; and St Croix slightly dry to predominantly normal. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from moderately wet in southern Guyana and the northeastern Suriname/French Guiana border to extremely dry in the extreme north of French Guiana. Aruba and Curacao were slightly dry. Puerto Rico ranged from exceptionally dry in the extreme south to normal in the north. The Dominican Republic was mostly moderately wet ranging to normal in northwestern and eastern areas. Jamaica was extreme to very wet. Grand Cayman was moderately wet. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the extreme west to normal in the east. Northern Bahamas was very to exceptionally wet and Belize slightly dry in the south to exceptionally wet in northern areas.

 

August 2023 to January 2024

Over the six month period conditions were normal to below normal throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad and Guadeloupe were slight to predominantly moderately dry; Tobago severe to moderately dry; Grenada, St Croix and St Thomas slightly dry; Barbados, Martinique, Antigua, St Kitts, St Maarten and Anguilla normal; St Vincent moderately dry and Saint Lucia and Dominica moderately dry to normal. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally dry in northeastern Guyana and the northern Suriname /French Guiana border to slightly wet on the coastline of Suriname/French Guiana. Aruba was slightly wet and Curacao normal. Puerto Rico was normal. The Dominican Republic was predominantly slightly wet ranging to normal in the extreme south and to moderately wet in the extreme north. Jamaica was slightly wet in east central areas, ranging to normal in the west and east. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to normal in central and eastern areas. Northern Bahamas was slight to moderately wet and Belize very wet to normal from south to north.

 

 

February 2023 to January 2024

Over the twelve month period, conditions throughout the eastern Caribbean were normal to below normal. Trinidad was predominantly severe to extremely dry; Tobago and Grenada severely dry; Barbados, Saint Lucia, Guadeloupe, Antigua and Anguilla normal; St Vincent and St Kitts moderate to slightly dry, Martinique normal to moderately dry; Dominica and St Maarten slightly dry to predominantly normal; St Croix severe to predominantly moderately dry and St Thomas slightly dry. In the Guianas, conditions varied from very wet in southern Guyana to extremely dry in southeastern French Guiana. Aruba was slightly dry and Curacao slightly dry to normal. Puerto Rico ranged from exceptionally dry in the south to normal in the north. The Dominican Republic ranged from mostly normal to slightly dry in the west and to moderately wet in the east. Jamaica was predominantly normal with slightly dry conditions on the northwestern coastline. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to extremely dry in the east. Northern Bahamas was moderate to mostly exceptionally wet and Belize ranged from normal in western and central areas to moderately dry in the south and to severely dry in northern areas.

 

February 2022 to January 2024

Apart from Trinidad that was predominantly slightly wet, conditions across the eastern Caribbean were normal to below normal. Tobago, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Guadeloupe and St Thomas were normal; St Vincent severe to slightly dry; Martinique, St Maarten and St Croix slight to moderately dry; Dominica and Antigua slightly dry to predominantly normal; St Kitts and Anguilla slightly dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally wet to slightly dry. Aruba was moderately wet and Curacao predominantly moderate to slightly wet. Puerto Rico ranged from extremely dry in the south to extremely wet in the northwest. The Dominican Republic ranged from normal in the extreme southwest to extremely wet on the extreme northeast. Jamaica was moderate to slightly dry from west to east. Grand Cayman was slightly dry. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to extremely dry in central areas. Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to exceptionally wet and Belize normal in western and central areas ranging to very wet in the south and to moderately wet in the north.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

SPEI January 2024

       

SPEI December 2023

     

Mean Temperature Anomalies December 2023

December 2023

There were mixed temperature anomalies for December 2023 throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was predominantly between 1.50 to 2.50 o C warmer ranging to 0.75 o C  warmer in the northeast; Tobago, Grenada and Barbados were between 0.75 to 1.50 o C warmer; Saint Lucia was predominantly cooler than usual, ranging from 0.75 o C cooler to  0.75 o C warmer; Martinique ranged from 0.25 o C warmer to predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 o C warmer; Dominica and St Thomas were between 0 to 0.75 o C warmer; Guadeloupe and St Maarten were between 0.25 o C cooler to 0.25 o C warmer; Antigua and St Kitts were between 0 and 0.25 o C cooler; St Croix was between 0 and 0.75 o C cooler. Temperatures in the Guianas ranged from 0.75 o C warmer to over 2.50 o C warmer. Aruba and Curacao were between 0.25 and 0.75 o C warmer. Puerto Rico was between 1.50 o C cooler to 2.50 o C warmer southeast to northwest. The Dominican Republic was predominantly 0.25 and 0.75 o C warmer, ranging from 0 to 1.50 o C warmer. Jamaica ranged from 0.75 o C warmer to 0.25 o C cooler. Grand Cayman was between 1.50 to 0.25 o C warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.25 cooler to 0.75 o C warmer and Belize was between 0 to 0.75 o C warmer.

October to December 2023

Temperature anomalies were warmer than usual over the three-month period throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was predominantly between 1.50 and 2.50 o C warmer ranging to 0.75 o C warmer in the northeast; Tobago, Grenada,, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Antigua and St Kitts were between 0.75 to 1.50 o C warmer; Barbados, Saint Lucia, St Maarten and St Thomas were between 0.25 to 0.75 o C warmer; ;; Martinique was between 0.25 to 1.50 o C warmer; St Croix was between 0.25 o C cooler to 0.25 o C warmer. The Guianas ranged from 0.75 to over 2.50 o C warmer. Aruba was between 0.25 to 0.75 o C warmer and Curacao between 0.25 and 1.50 o C warmer. Puerto Rico was between 0.25 o C cooler to 2.50 o C warmer. The Dominican Republic was between 1.50 and 0.25 o C warmer; Jamaica was predominantly between 1.50 and 2.50 o C warmer ranging to 0.75 o C warmer in the east. Grand Cayman was between 0.75 o C and 1.50 o C warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.25 o C cooler and 2.50 o C warmer. Belize ranged from 0.25 o C warmer in the south to predominantly   between 0.75 to 1.50 o C warmer.

July to December 2023

Temperature anomalies were warmer than usual for July to December 2023 throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 o C ranging to 2.50 o C warmer; Tobago was between 2.50 to 0.75 o C warmer; Grenada, Barbados, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Antigua, St Kitts, St Maarten, St Thomas and St. Croix were between 0.75 to 1.50 o C warmer. Saint Lucia was between 0.25 o C and 0.75 o C warmer.  The Guianas ranged from 0.75 o C to 2.50 o C warmer. Aruba was between 0.25 and 0.75 o C warmer, and Curacao was between 0.25 and 1.50 o C warmer. Puerto Rico ranged from 0.75 o C warmer to predominantly between 1.50 to 2.50 o C warmer. The Dominican Republic ranged from 1.50 o C warmer to predominantly between 0.25 to 0.75 o C warmer. Jamaica was between 2.50 to 0.75 o C warmer; Grand Cayman was between 0.75 and 1.50 o C warmer. Northern Bahamas ranged from 0.25 to 2.50 o C warmer. Belize was between 0.75 o C and 1.50 o C warmer.

January to December 2023

Temperature anomalies were warmer than usual over the twelve-month period throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was between 0.75 to 1.50 o C warmer; Tobago was between 1.50 and 0.25 o C warmer; Grenada, Barbados, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Antigua, St Kitts, St Maarten, St Thomas and St Croix were between 0.25 to 0.75 o C warmer; Saint Lucia was between 0 to 0.25 o C warmer; Martinique was between 0 and 0.75 o C warmer. The Guianas were between 0.25 o C warmer to predominantly between 0.75 to 1.50 o C warmer. Aruba and Curacao were between 0.25 and 0.75 o C warmer. Puerto Rico was between 0.25 o C  cooler and 1.50 o C warmer. The Dominican Republic was between 0.25 and 0.75 o C warmer. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 o C and 1.50 o C warmer. Northern Bahamas and Belize were between 0.25 and 2.50 o C warmer.

Mean Temperature for December 2023

Mean Temperature for the Period January to December 2023

SPI Monitor December 2023

December 2023

Predominantly normal to below normal conditions were seen throughout the islands of the eastern Caribbean during the month of December. Trinidad predominantly normal ranging to slightly wet in the south and to moderately dry in the extreme northeast; Tobago severe to slightly dry; Grenada and St Croix moderately dry; Barbados extremely wet; St. Vincent mostly normal to slightly wet; Saint Lucia moderately wet to normal in the extreme north; Martinique, St Maarten and St Thomas normal to slightly dry; Dominica and Guadeloupe moderate to slightly dry; Antigua severely dry and St Kitts severe to moderately dry, Anguilla was normal. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from extremely dry in northern Guyana to extremely wet on the northern Suriname/ French Guiana border. Aruba and Curacao were normal. Puerto Rico ranged from exceptionally dry in the extreme southwest to normal in northern areas. Hispaniola was slightly wet in most of Haiti, then ranging from moderately wet to extremely dry in the Dominican Republic. Jamaica ranged from normal to moderately dry west to east. Grand Cayman was moderately wet. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in northern areas to very wet in the extreme west and to normal in the extreme east. Northern Bahamas ranged from exceptional to very wet, and Belize from exceptionally wet in the west to normal in the north and to moderately wet in the south.

October to December 2023

Rainfall was mixed across the eastern Caribbean over the three month period. Trinidad, Martinique, St Maarten and Anguilla slight to moderately dry; Tobago and Grenada moderately dry; Barbados slightly wet; St Vincent slightly dry to normal; Saint Lucia, Antigua, St Croix and St Thomas normal; Dominica moderate to extremely wet; Guadeloupe moderately wet to predominantly normal and St Kitts slightly wet to normal. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally dry  northern Guyana to north-western Suriname  to exceptionally wet on the northern Suriname/ French Guiana border. Aruba was mostly slightly wet ranging to normal. Curacao was normal. Puerto Rico was exceptionally dry in the south ranging to normal in northwest. Hispaniola was predominantly normal ranging to slightly dry in northwestern Haiti and to moderately wet in eastern areas of the Dominican Republic. Jamaica was predominantly moderately wet ranging to slightly wet in the extreme northeast. Grand Cayman was moderately wet. Cuba was extremely wet in the west ranging to moderately dry in the extreme east.  Northern Bahamas ranged from moderate to very wet. Belize ranged from exceptionally wet in the south to normal in the north.

July to December 2023

Normal to below normal conditions prevailed over the six month period throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad severe to mostly exceptionally dry; Tobago exceptionally dry; Grenada extremely dry on the southeastern coastline ranging to predominantly severely dry; Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Antigua ad St Kitts normal; St Vincent mostly slightly dry ranging to normal in the north; St Maarten and Anguilla moderately dry; St Croix moderate to slightly dry and St Thomas slightly dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally dry to exceptionally wet. Aruba and Curacao were normal. Puerto Rico ranged from exceptionally dry in the south to normal in northwestern areas. Hispaniola ranged from normal in western areas of Haiti to exceptionally wet in the extreme northeast of the Dominican Republic. Jamaica was normal. Grand Cayman ranged from moderate to slightly wet. Cuba was exceptionally wet to normal west to east. Northern Bahamas ranged from slight to moderately wet, and Belize was extremely wet to normal south to north.

January to December 2023

Normal to below normal conditions were seen throughout the eastern Caribbean over the twelve month period. Trinidad and St Maarten normal to slightly dry; Tobago slightly dry; Grenada, Barbados, St Vincent, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Anguilla and St Thomas normal; Dominica was predominantly moderately dry, ranging from slight to severely dry; Guadeloupe, Antigua and St Kitts severe to extremely dry and St Croix severe to predominantly moderately dry. Mostly normal conditions were experienced in the Guianas, ranging from moderately wet to severely dry. Aruba was mostly slightly dry to normal. Curacao was normal. Puerto Rico ranged from severely dry to normal. Hispaniola ranged from very wet in the south to normal to the east and slightly wet in southwestern Haiti. Jamaica was normal. Grand Cayman was mostly normal ranging to slightly dry in the east. Cuba ranged from extremely dry in west central areas to exceptionally wet in the west and to moderately wet in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from moderate to exceptionally wet and Belize ranged from slightly dry in the south to moderately wet in the extreme north.

January 2022 to December 2023

Mostly normal to below normal conditions were seen over the two year period throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados, Martinique, Dominica and St Thomas were normal; Grenada and Saint Lucia normal to slightly wet; St Vincent slightly wet; Guadeloupe normal to moderately dry; Antigua slightly dry to normal; St Kitts and St. Maarten slight to moderately dry; Anguilla slightly dry and St Croix moderately dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally wet in southern and northern Guyana, as well as northern French Guiana to moderately dry in northcentral Suriname. Aruba was slightly wet and Curacao was normal. Puerto Rico ranged from moderately dry in the south to slightly wet in the north. Hispaniola ranged from moderately dry in the extreme west of Haiti to moderately wet in northeastern Dominican Republic. Jamaica was mostly normal ranging to slightly dry in the extreme northeast. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to severely dry in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from extremely wet to normal, and Belize from extremely wet in the extreme south to moderately dry in the north.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.