SPI Monitor November 2013

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

*Please note that from the December 2012 issue, information on any potential hot-spots or areas of concern will be added at the end of the discussion*

 

Discussion

November 2013

In the eastern Caribbean and Guyana, the southern portion was above normal while the remainder of the chain was normal to below normal. Trinidad was moderate to very wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Antigua, St. Kitts, Anguilla, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; Grenada severely dry; Dominica moderately dry; and Guyana moderately wet. Puerto Rico was moderately wet while the Dominican Republic was predominantly normal except for the extreme wet. Jamaica was normal but Grand Cayman moderately wet. The eastern half of Cuba was normal, while the western half ranged from exceptionally wet in the extreme west to abnormally wet close to central areas of the island. Belize was moderately wet in the west and abnormally wet in the east.

September 2013 to November 2013

As for November, the southern portion of the eastern Caribbean and Guyana was above normal while the remainder of the chain was normal to below normal. Trinidad was predominantly very wet; Tobago abnormally wet; Grenada extremely dry; Barbados, St. Vincent, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; St. Lucia, Dominica and Antigua abnormally dry; St. Kitts moderately dry; and Guyana ranging from normal in the west to moderately wet in the east. Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic were normal. Jamaica was moderately dry in the west and abnormally dry in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. The western and eastern portions of Cuba experienced the two extremes, as the west was abnormal to exceptionally wet and the east abnormal to extremely dry and central areas normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from very wet in the west to abnormally wet in the east.

June 2013 to November 2013

In the eastern Caribbean and Guyana, the pattern of the wet south and normal to below normal conditions in the remainder of the area continued for the six month period. Trinidad was moderate to very wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; Grenada exceptionally dry; Antigua and St. Kitts moderately dry; St. Maarten abnormally dry; and Guyana ranging from normal in the northwest to very wet in the east. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet but the Dominican Republic was normal. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from moderately dry in the west to normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. The western and eastern portions of Cuba experienced the two extremes, as the west was abnormal to exceptionally wet and the east abnormal to exceptionally dry and central areas normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from normal in the south to exceptionally wet in the north.

December 2012 to November 2013

Mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad was extremely wet; Tobago and Barbados moderately wet; Grenada severely dry; St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Antigua, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; Dominica abnormally wet; and Guyana normal to abnormally wet. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet, while the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately dry in the south west to moderately wet in the east. Jamaica was abnormally dry in the west and normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. The western and eastern portions of Cuba experienced the two extremes, as the west was abnormal to exceptionally wet and the east abnormal to exceptionally dry and central areas normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from normal in the south to moderately wet in the north.