SPI Monitor July 2020

July 2020

Mixed conditions were experienced throughout the eastern Caribbean during the month of July. Trinidad ranged from very wet in the south east to exceptionally dry in the west; Tobago normal to severely dry; Grenada slight to moderately dry; St Vincent moderately dry; Barbados, Guadeloupe and St Croix normal; Saint Lucia normal in the south to severely dry in the northwest; Martinique slightly wet to slightly dry; Dominica normal to slightly dry; Antigua very wet; St Kitts, St Maarten and Anguilla slight to moderately wet; and St. Thomas moderately wet. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from moderately wet in north eastern French Guiana, southwest and central Guyana and north western Suriname to severely dry in the vicinity of the central Suriname/ French Guiana border. Aruba and Curacao were moderately wet. Puerto Rico ranged from slight to exceptionally wet. Hispaniola ranged from normal in western Haiti to extremely wet in west and east central Dominican Republic. Jamaica ranged from moderately dry in the south to extremely wet in the west, and to slightly wet in the north east. Grand Cayman was moderately wet. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in central areas to moderately wet in the west and normal in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from exceptionally wet to slightly dry in the north. Belize ranged from moderate to exceptionally dry from south to north.

May to July 2020

Apart from Trinidad that ranged from slightly wet in the southeast to exceptionally dry in the northwest, rainfall in the eastern Caribbean was predominantly normal to below normal over the three month period.; Tobago and Dominica were moderate to extremely dry; Grenada, St Maarten, and St Croix slightly dry; Barbados and St Kitts slightly dry to normal; St Vincent moderate to slightly dry south to north; Saint Lucia normal to exceptionally dry; Martinique and Guadeloupe slight to extremely dry; Antigua and St Thomas normal. In the Guianas conditions ranged from severely dry on the southern Suriname/ French Guiana border to exceptionally wet in north eastern French Guiana, and to extremely wet in the extreme south-western Guyana. Aruba and Curacao were normal. Puerto Rico ranged from very wet in the northwest to normal in the east. Hispaniola ranged from severely dry in the southwest and southeast to slightly wet in northern Dominican Republic. Jamaica ranged from severely dry in the south to moderately wet in the northwest. Grand Cayman was slightly dry to normal west to east. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to moderately dry in the extreme east. Northern Bahamas ranged from moderate to exceptionally wet, and Belize ranged from moderately dry in the southwest to slightly wet in the northwest.

February to July 2020

Over the six month period, rainfall in the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal. Trinidad ranged from exceptionally dry to normal from west to east; Tobago slight to exceptionally dry; Grenada and St Croix normal to slightly dry; Barbados slight to moderately dry; St Vincent severe to extremely dry; saint Lucia moderate to exceptionally dry; Martinique and Dominica moderate to extremely dry; Guadeloupe normal to extremely dry; Antigua, St Kitts and St Thomas normal; and St Maarten slightly dry. In the Guiana’s, conditions ranged from predominantly normal in most of Guyana and Suriname and parts of French Guiana, to exceptionally dry on the southern Suriname/French Guiana border, and to exceptionally wet in north eastern French Guiana. Aruba and Curacao were normal. Puerto Rico ranged from slightly dry in the south to extremely wet in the north. Hispaniola ranged from extremely dry in the extreme southwest of Haiti and south eastern Dominican Republic to normal in northern areas. Jamaica was moderately dry in the west and east, to slightly wet in the northwest. Grand Cayman was severely dry. Cuba was predominantly normal, and ranged to slightly wet in the west, north and southeast, and to severely dry in the east; Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to exceptionally wet and Belize was moderately wet to normal from south to north.

August 2019 to July 2020

Over the twelve month period, rainfall in the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal. Trinidad ranged from moderate to exceptionally dry from the south east to the northwest; Tobago slight to severely dry; Grenada moderately dry; Barbados exceptional to extremely dry south to north; St Vincent and Saint Lucia exceptionally dry; Martinique moderate to severely dry; Dominica moderately dry to normal; Guadeloupe normal to exceptionally dry from west to east; Antigua, St Kitts, St Thomas, St Maarten and Anguilla normal; and St Croix severe to extremely dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from moderately wet in central Guyana and northeast French Guiana to exceptionally dry in northwest French Guiana. Aruba was slightly dry and Curacao moderately dry.  Puerto Rico ranged from extremely dry in the southwest to very wet in the northeast. Hispaniola ranged from normal over most of Haiti to exceptionally dry in central parts of the Dominican Republic. Jamaica ranged from normal in northern and central areas to moderately dry in the west and east. Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Cuba was predominantly normal ranging to moderately wet in the extreme west to slightly dry in west central areas. Northern Bahamas ranged from extremely dry to extremely wet. Belize ranged from slightly dry in central areas to extremely dry in the west and north.

August 2018 to July 2020

The islands of the eastern Caribbean experienced normal to below normal rainfall over the two year period. Trinidad and Guadeloupe were normal to exceptionally dry; Tobago moderate to extremely dry; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados and St Vincent extreme to exceptionally dry; Saint Lucia exceptionally dry; Martinique exceptional to moderately dry south to north; Dominica severe to moderately dry from south to north; Antigua normal; St Kitts slight to moderately dry; St. Maarten moderately dry; and St Croix severely dry.  Conditions in the Guianas ranged from exceptionally wet in central Guyana to exceptionally dry in northern Guyana and the vicinity of the central to northern Suriname/ French Guiana border into northwest French Guiana. Aruba and Curacao were moderately dry. Puerto Rico ranged from severely dry in the extreme southwest to normal in central and eastern areas. Hispaniola ranged severely dry in north western Dominican Republic to exceptionally dry in western and eastern areas. Jamaica was predominantly normal, ranging from extremely dry in the east. Grand Cayman was extremely dry. Cuba ranged from moderately wet in the northwest to exceptionally dry in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from extremely dry to extremely wet, and Belize was normal in the south to exceptionally dry in the north.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

SPI Change July 2020

    

SPEI May 2020

    

SPEI June 2020

    

SPI Monitor June 2020

June 2020

Rainfall in the eastern Caribbean was predominantly normal to below normal for the month of June. Trinidad and Antigua were normal to slightly dry; Tobago normal to severely dry; Grenada, Barbados, St Vincent, St Croix and St. Thomas normal; Saint Lucia slightly wet in the south to moderately dry in the north; Martinique slight to extremely dry from south to north; Dominica severe to slightly dry; Guadeloupe mostly normal to extremely dry from west to east; St Kitts moderate to extremely dry; and St Maarten moderately dry. Most of the Guianas was normal to slightly wet, but ranged from very wet in north eastern French Guiana to moderately dry in north western French Guiana. Curacao was normal to slightly wet and Aruba was normal. Puerto Rico ranged from predominantly normal in central areas to moderately dry in the southeast and to slightly wet in the north west. Hispaniola ranged from normal in most of Haiti and north western Dominican Republic to extremely dry in east central Dominican Republic. Jamaica ranged from normal to very wet in the extreme north. Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Cuba ranged from moderately dry in western areas to normal in the extreme west and to moderately wet in the extreme south-eastern tip. Northern Bahamas though predominantly normal was slightly dry in the north. Belize was mostly normal with the exception of the extreme south which was slightly dry and the south east which was moderately wet.

April to June 2020

Over the three month period, rainfall in the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal. Trinidad was normal to moderately dry from the southeast to the northwest; Tobago and Guadeloupe moderate to exceptionally dry; Grenada normal; Barbados slightly dry; St Vincent slightly dry to normal in the extreme north-eastern border; Saint Lucia normal to exceptionally dry from south to north; Martinique extremely dry; Dominica, Antigua and St Maarten severe to extremely dry; St Kitts severely dry; St Thomas and St Croix moderately dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from normal to moderately dry in northern Guyana, northern Suriname , northern  French Guiana ,  and the southern Suriname/French Guiana border, and to exceptionally wet in north eastern French Guiana. Curacao was slightly dry and Aruba moderate to severely dry. Puerto Rico ranged from moderate to slightly dry from south to north. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally dry in southern areas to normal in Northern Dominican Republic. Jamaica ranged from extremely dry in the west to slightly dry in the east and moderately wet in the north. Grand Cayman was extremely dry. Cuba was predominantly normal, ranging to moderately wet in the extreme west and southeast to moderately dry in the extreme east. Northern Bahamas ranged from moderate to exceptionally wet and Belize from very wet in central areas to normal in the north and west, and to slightly dry in the extreme southwest.

January to June 2020

Rainfall over the six month period in the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal. Trinidad and Tobago were slight to severely dry; Grenada, St Kitts, St Croix, St Maarten and St Thomas normal; Barbados slight to moderately dry; St Vincent moderately dry; saint Lucia moderate to exceptionally dry from south to north; Martinique extreme to severely dry south to north; Dominica normal to moderately dry west to east; Guadeloupe normal to exceptionally dry west to east; Antigua and Anguilla normal to slightly dry. In the Guiana’s, conditions ranged from normal over much of the region to exceptionally dry in northern Guyana, southern Suriname/ French Guiana border and north western French Guiana, and to moderately wet in north eastern French Guiana. Curacao was normal and Aruba moderate to slightly dry from west to east. Puerto Rico ranged from moderately dry in the south to very wet in the north. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally dry in eastern areas to normal in the north. Jamaica ranged from normal in most of the country to extremely dry in the west, to moderately dry in the east and to slightly wet in the north. Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Cuba ranged from normal in the west and south east to moderately dry in west central areas and severely dry in the extreme east. Northern Bahamas was normal to moderately wet and Belize ranged from moderately dry in the southwest to moderately wet in east and central areas.

July 2019 to June 2020

Over the twelve month period, rainfall in the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal except for St. Thomas that was normal to slightly wet. Trinidad ranged from moderately dry in the south east to exceptionally dry in western areas and to slightly dry in the extreme north east ; Tobago normal to moderately dry; Grenada slight to moderately dry; Barbados extreme to exceptionally dry; St Vincent and Saint Lucia exceptionally dry; Martinique moderate to severely dry; Dominica and St Kitts normal to slightly dry; Guadeloupe normal to exceptionally dry west to east; Antigua, St Maarten and Anguilla normal; and St Croix severe to extremely dry. Conditions in the Guiana’s ranged from normal over much of the region to moderately wet in north central Guyana and northeast central French Guiana to exceptionally dry in northwest French Guiana. Curacao was moderately dry and Aruba slight to moderately dry. Puerto Rico ranged from extremely dry in the extreme southwest to moderately wet in the northeast. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally dry in central areas of the Dominican Republic to normal in northern and central areas of Haiti and severely dry in the southwest Haiti. Jamaica ranged from moderately dry in the extreme west and eastern areas to normal in central areas. Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Cuba ranged from slightly wet in the west and normal in the eastern half of the island to exceptionally dry in west central areas. Northern Bahamas ranged from very wet to extremely dry, and Belize from slightly dry in central areas to severely dry in the west and to extremely dry in northern areas.

July 2018 to June 2020

Rainfall in the eastern Caribbean over the two year period was predominantly normal to below normal. Trinidad ranged from normal in the extreme southeast to exceptionally dry in the west and northwest; Tobago moderate to extremely dry; Grenada slightly dry;  Barbados and Saint Lucia exceptionally dry;  St Vincent extremely dry; Martinique exceptional to moderately dry from south to north;  Dominica severe to slightly dry from south to north; Guadeloupe normal in the west to exceptionally dry in the east;  Antigua and St. Thomas normal to slightly dry; St Kitts slight to moderately dry;  St Maarten moderately dry and St Croix moderate to severely dry. In the Guiana’s conditions ranged from normal in much of the region to exceptionally dry in northern Guyana and north western French Guiana to exceptionally wet in central Guyana. Curacao was moderately dry and Aruba moderate to severely dry. Puerto Rico ranged from severely dry in the extreme south west to normal in the east. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally dry over most of the island to moderately dry in in the north. Jamaica ranged from normal in the southwest to extremely dry in the east. Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Cuba ranged from slightly wet in the west to exceptionally dry in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from moderately wet to extremely dry, and Belize from normal in the south to exceptionally dry in the west and northern areas.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.