SPI May 2014

SPI Monitor May 2014

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Discussion

May 2014

In the islands of the eastern Caribbean, conditions contrasted between the normal to above normal north and the normal to below normal south. Trinidad and Dominica were abnormally dry; Tobago, Antigua and St. Kitts normal; Grenada, Barbados, St. Vincent and St. Lucia moderately dry; Anguilla and St. Maarten moderately wet; and St. Croix abnormally wet. Rainfall totals in Guyana ranged from moderately wet in the northwest to severely dry in the east. Puerto Rico was moderately wet while Jamaica was predominantly normal apart from western areas that were abnormal to moderately wet. Aruba was abnormally dry while Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba was predominantly normal, apart from west central areas that were abnormally wet and the extreme east that was abnormal to moderately wet. Conditions in Belize ranged from normal in the south to moderately wet in the north.

March 2014 to May 2014

SPI March 2014 - May 2014

For the three month period, the islands of the eastern Caribbean were predominantly normal to below normal apart from in the vicinity of St. Croix that was moderately wet. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados, St. Lucia and Dominica were moderately dry; Grenada and Antigua abnormally dry, St. Vincent severely dry; and St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Maarten normal. There was a stark contrast in rainfall across Guyana with the north being moderately wet, with declining rainfall toward the east resulting in exceptionally dry conditions. Aruba was severely dry. Puerto Rico was normal, and Jamaica predominantly so apart from western areas that were abnormal to moderately wet. Both Grand Cayman and Cuba (apart from the extreme east that was abnormal to moderately wet) were normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from abnormally dry in the south to moderately wet in the north.

December 2013 to May 2014

SPI December 2013 - May 2014

Mixed conditions were experienced over the islands of the eastern Caribbean for the six month period. Trinidad, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Antigua and St. Kitts were normal; Tobago and Barbados normal to abnormally dry; Grenada and Anguilla very wet; Dominica abnormally dry; St. Maarten abnormally wet; and St. Croix moderately wet. Rainfall totals for the period for Guyana ranged from moderately wet in the west to normal in the east. Aruba was abnormally dry. Puerto Rico was normal to abnormally wet, while Jamaica was predominantly normal apart from western areas that were abnormal to moderately wet. In Cuba western and eastern areas were abnormal to moderately wet, while central areas were normal. Grand Cayman was normal but conditions in Belize ranged from normal in the south to moderately wet in the north.

June 2013 to May 2014

SPI June 2013 - May 2014

Mixed conditions were experienced over the twelve month period in the eastern Caribbean islands. Trinidad was abnormal to moderately wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Anguilla and St. Maarten normal; Grenada and Antigua moderately dry; St. Kitts abnormally dry; and St. Croix moderately wet. Rainfall in Guyana ranged from very wet in the west to abnormally wet in the east. Aruba was moderately dry. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet, but Jamaica was normal and Grand Cayman abnormally wet. Western portions of Cuba were abnormal to exceptionally wet, eastern areas abnormal to moderately dry, and central areas normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to moderately wet in the south and very wet in the north.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

 

SPI April 2014

SPI Monitor April 2014

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Discussion

April 2014

Apart from St. Croix that was moderately wet, the islands of the eastern Caribbean were normal to below normal for April 2014. Trinidad, Grenada, St. Lucia, Dominica, Antigua, St. Kitts and St. Maarten were normal; Barbados and St. Vincent moderately dry; and Anguilla abnormally dry. Rainfall in Guyana ranged from very wet in the west to normal in the east. Puerto Rico was normal and Jamaica predominantly so apart from the extreme west that was abnormally wet. In Cuba the west was normal to moderately dry, the east normal to moderately wet, while central areas were normal. Grand Cayman was moderately wet while Belize was dry except for the extreme north that was abnormally dry.

February 2014 to April 2014

SPI February 2014 - April 2014

For the three month period, apart from Grenada and St. Croix that were abnormally wet, the islands of the Caribbean were normal to below normal. Trinidad, St. Vincent, Dominica, and St. Kitts were abnormally dry; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent and St. Lucia normal; Anguilla and St. Maarten moderately dry. Guyana was abnormally wet in the west and normal in the east. Puerto Rico, Jamaica and Grand Cayman were normal; while Cuba was normal in the west and abnormal to moderately wet in the east. Conditions in Belize ranged from extremely dry in the west to severely wet in the south and abnormally wet in the north.

November 2013 to April 2014

SPI November 2013 - April 2014

Mixed conditions were experienced for the six month period in the eastern Caribbean islands. Trinidad and Grenada were abnormal to moderately wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent Antigua, St. Kitts and St. Maarten normal; St. Lucia, Anguilla and St. Croix abnormally wet; Dominica moderately dry. Conditions in Guyana ranged from moderately wet in the west to abnormally wet in the east. Puerto Rico was abnormally wet in the west and abnormally wet in the east; but Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to normal in the east. Jamaica was normal but Grand Cayman moderately wet. Rainfall ranged from extremely wet in the west to moderately wet outward.

May 2013 to April 2014

SPI May 2013 - April 2014

Though conditions were mixed, the majority of the eastern Caribbean islands were normal. Trinidad was largely abnormal to moderately wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Dominica, Antigua, Anguilla and St. Maarten were normal; Grenada and St. Kitts abnormally dry; St. Croix moderately wet. Guyana was very wet in the west and moderately wet in the east, but Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet. Jamaica was abnormally dry in the west and normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was abnormally wet. Conditions in the western areas of Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet to normal, while the east was from normal to extremely dry, and central areas normal to abnormally wet. Rainfall in Belize ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to moderately wet in the south and to extremely wet in the north.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

 

SPI March 2014

SPI Monitor March 2014

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Discussion

March 2014

Normal to below normal conditions prevailed in the islands of the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad and Tobago were moderately dry; Grenada, Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Dominica and St. Croix normal; Antigua and Anguilla abnormally dry; St. Kitts and St. Maarten exceptionally dry. Guyana was normal to abnormally wet. Puerto Rico was moderate to severely dry. Jamaica was abnormally wet, while Grand Cayman was moderately wet. Apart from east central areas that were abnormal to moderately wet, Cuba was normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from severely dry in the west to moderately wet in the north and to moderately dry in the south.

January 2014 to March 2014

SPI January 2014 - March 2014

Rainfall for the first quarter of 2014 varied across the eastern Caribbean and Guyana to reveal a normal to above normal south and normal to below normal north. Trinidad, Tobago, St. Vincent, St. Lucia and Anguilla were normal; Grenada and Barbados moderately wet; Dominica and St. Maarten abnormally dry; Antigua and St. Croix moderately dry; St. Kitts severely dry; and Guyana abnormally wet in the west and normal in the east. Puerto Rico, Jamaica and Belize were predominantly normal, but Grand Cayman was abnormally wet. Though the majority of Cuba was moderately wet, conditions ranged from normal to extremely wet.

October 2013 to March 2014

SPI October 2013 - March 2014

For the six month period, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana experienced diverse conditions. Trinidad was moderate to very wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; Grenada moderately wet; St. Vincent, St. Lucia and Anguilla abnormally wet; Dominica, Antigua and St. Kitts abnormally dry; and Guyana moderately wet in the west and abnormally wet in the east. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from moderately wet in the west to normal in the east, but Jamaica was normal to abnormally dry. Grand Cayman was abnormally wet. Conditions in Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to moderately dry in the east, while those in Belize ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to moderately wet in the north and south.

April  2013 to March 2014

SPI April 2013 - March 2014

Apart from St. Kitts that was abnormally dry, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were normal to above normal for the twelve month period. Trinidad was very to extremely dry; Tobago, Grenada, St. Vincent, Antigua, St. Maarten and Anguilla normal; Barbados, St. Lucia and Dominica moderately wet; St. Croix abnormally wet; and Guyana very wet in the west and moderately wet in the east. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet. Jamaica was abnormally dry in the west and normal in the east, but Grand Cayman was abnormally wet. Conditions in Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to extremely dry in the east, while in Belize they ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to extremely wet in the north and to moderately wet in the south.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

 

SPI February 2014

SPI Monitor February 2014

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Discussion

February 2014

Mixed conditions were experienced in the Eastern Caribbean and Guyana for the month. Trinidad, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Dominica, St. Kitts and Anguilla were normal; Tobago moderately wet; Grenada very wet; Barbados and St. Maarten abnormally wet; Antigua and St. Croix abnormally dry; and Guyana normal in the west and abnormally wet in the east. Puerto Rico was extreme to abnormally wet from west to east. Jamaica was normal, while Grand Cayman was abnormally dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from normal in the west to very wet in east central areas, with the eastern half being predominantly moderately wet. Belize however, was abnormally dry in the south and normal in the north.

December 2013 to February 2014

SPI December 2013 - February 2014

Normal to above normal rainfall totals amounts were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad, Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Kitts and St. Croix were abnormally wet; Tobago, Dominica, Antigua normal; Grenada exceptionally wet; St. Lucia and Anguilla extremely wet; St. Maarten moderately wet; and Guyana moderately wet in the south west to normal in the east. Puerto Rico was very wet in the west and moderately wet in the east. Jamaica was normal, but Grand Cayman was abnormally wet. Rainfall totals in Cuba and Belize ranged from abnormal to very wet.

September 2013 to February 2014

SPI September 2013 - February 2014

For the six month period, normal to below normal conditions were experienced in the northern islands, while normal to above normal were experienced in the southern islands and Guyana. Trinidad was very wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Lucia, St. Maarten, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; Grenada and St. Vincent abnormally wet; Dominica, Antigua and St. Kitts abnormally dry; and Guyana predominantly abnormally wet apart from the northeast extreme. Puerto Rico ranged from extreme to abnormally wet. Jamaica was abnormally dry, but Grand Cayman normal. The western half of Cuba was normal to exceptionally wet, while the eastern half was normal to moderately dry. Conditions in Belize ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to moderately wet in the north and south.

March 2013 to February 2014

SPI March 2013 - February 2014

Normal to above normal rainfall dominated the eastern Caribbean and Guyana for the twelve month period. Trinidad was very to extremely wet; Tobago, Grenada, St. Vincent, Antigua, St. Kitts, St. Maarten, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; Barbados and Dominica moderately wet; and Guyana predominantly abnormally wet. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet. Jamaica was abnormally dry in the west and normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. Rainfall in western Cuba ranged from normal to exceptionally wet, while in eastern Cuba the range was normal to exceptionally dry.

SPI Monitor January 2014

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Discussion

January 2014

For the month, in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana, the north was generally normal to below normal, and the south (including Guyana) normal to above normal. Trinidad was abnormal to moderately wet, Tobago, St. Vincent, Antigua, Anguilla and St. Maarten normal; Grenada, Barbados and St. Lucia moderately wet; Dominica abnormally dry; St. Croix moderately dry; and Guyana ranging from moderately wet in the west to normal in the east. Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic and Jamaica were normal. Grand Cayman was very wet, while conditions in Cuba ranged from normal in the east to very wet. Rainfall totals in Belize ranged from moderately wet in the west to abnormally wet in the south and normal in the north.Normal to above normal conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad; Dominica and Antigua were abnormally wet; Tobago and Barbados normal; Grenada and Anguilla exceptionally wet; St. Vincent moderate to very wet; St. Lucia extremely wet; St. Maarten moderately wet; St. Croix very wet; and Guyana moderately wet in the west to normal in the east. Puerto Rico was moderately wet, while the Dominican Republic Jamaica and Grand Cayman were normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from abnormally wet in the south to extremely wet in the north.

November 2013 to January 2014

SPI November 2013 - January 2014

 Apart from Dominica that was abnormally dry, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were normal to above normal for the three month period. Trinidad was moderate to very wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, Antigua, St. Kitts and St. Maarten normal; Grenada, St. Lucia and St. Croix moderately wet; Anguilla abnormally wet; and Guyana very wet in the west to abnormally wet in the east. Puerto Rico was moderately wet, while the Dominican Republic ranged from abnormally dry in the west to normal in the east. Jamaica was normal, but Grand Cayman moderately wet. Rainfall in Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to moderately dry in the east; while Belize ranged from extremely wet in the west to moderately wet in the south and north. The eastern Caribbean and Guyana were predominantly normal to above normal for the three month period. Trinidad was very to extremely wet; Tobago, Grenada, St. Lucia and Anguilla abnormally wet; Barbados, Dominica, Antigua, St. Kitts, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; St Vincent moderately wet; and Guyana moderately wet in the west and abnormally wet in the east. Puerto Rico was predominantly abnormally wet while the Dominican Republic was predominantly normal. Jamaica was moderately dry in the west and abnormally dry in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to very wet in the north, south and east.Apart from Dominica that was abnormally dry, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were normal to above normal for the three month period. Trinidad was moderate to very wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, Antigua, St. Kitts and St. Maarten normal; Grenada, St. Lucia and St. Croix moderately wet; Anguilla abnormally wet; and Guyana very wet in the west to abnormally wet in the east. Puerto Rico was moderately wet, while the Dominican Republic ranged from abnormally dry in the west to normal in the east. Jamaica was normal, but Grand Cayman moderately wet. Rainfall in Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to moderately dry in the east; while Belize ranged from extremely wet in the west to moderately wet in the south and north.

August 2013 to January 2014

SPI August 2013 - January 2014

Rainfall for the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were mixed for the six month period. Trinidad was moderate to very wet; Tobago, St. Maarten, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; Grenada, Dominica, Antigua and St. Kitts abnormally dry; Barbados and St. Lucia abnormally wet; St. Vincent normal to abnormally wet; and Guyana normal in the north and abnormally wet in the south. Puerto Rico was moderately wet while the Dominican Republic and Jamaica were normal. Grand Cayman was abnormally wet. Western (above normal) and eastern (below normal) Cuba contrasted, as, the extreme west was as wet as exceptional and the east as dry as extreme, but central Cuba was predominantly normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to moderately wet in the south and very wet in the north.

February 2013 to January 2014

SPI February 2013 - January 2014

For the twelve month period, apart from Grenada that was abnormally dry, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were predominantly normal to above normal. Trinidad was very to extremely wet; Tobago, St. Vincent, Antigua, St. Kitts, St. Maarten, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; Barbados and Dominica moderately wet; and Guyana normal to moderately wet from north to south. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet, while the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately dry in the south west to very wet in the east. Apart from the western portion that was abnormally dry, Jamaica was normal. Grand Cayman was also normal. There was contrast in Cuba between the west and the east, the west being as wet as exceptional and the east as dry as exceptional, but central Cuba was predominantly normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from abnormally wet in the south to extremely wet in the north.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

 

 

SPI December 2013

SPI Monitor December 2013

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Discussion

December 2013

Normal to above normal conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad; Dominica and Antigua were abnormally wet; Tobago and Barbados normal; Grenada and Anguilla exceptionally wet; St. Vincent moderate to very wet; St. Lucia extremely wet; St. Maarten moderately wet; St. Croix very wet; and Guyana moderately wet in the west to normal in the east. Puerto Rico was moderately wet, while the Dominican Republic Jamaica and Grand Cayman were normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from abnormally wet in the south to extremely wet in the north.

October 2013 to December 2013

SPI October 2013 - December 2013

The eastern Caribbean and Guyana were predominantly normal to above normal for the three month period. Trinidad was very to extremely wet; Tobago, Grenada, St. Lucia and Anguilla abnormally wet; Barbados, Dominica, Antigua, St. Kitts, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; St Vincent moderately wet; and Guyana moderately wet in the west and abnormally wet in the east. Puerto Rico was predominantly abnormally wet while the Dominican Republic was predominantly normal. Jamaica was moderately dry in the west and abnormally dry in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to very wet in the north, south and east.

July 2013 to December 2013

SPI July 2013 - December 2013

For the six month period, mixed rainfall totals were the experiences of the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad was moderately wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Dominica, Anguilla, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; Grenada moderately dry; Antigua and St. Kitts abnormally dry; and Guyana normal in the extreme north to moderately wet further south. Puerto Rico was extremely wet, while the Dominican Republic was normal. Apart from the northwestern region that was abnormally dry, Jamaica was normal, and Grand Cayman normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from abnormally wet in the south to exceptionally wet in the north.

January 2013 to December 2013

SPI January 2013 - December 2013

Apart from Grenada and St. Kitts that were abnormally dry, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were normal to above normal. Trinidad was extremely wet; Tobago, St. Vincent; Anguilla, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; Barbados and St. Lucia abnormally wet; Dominica moderately wet; and Guyana normal to the north and abnormally wet further south. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet, while conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately dry in the south west to very wet in the northeast. Jamaica was abnormally dry in the west and normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from abnormally wet in the south to extremely wet in the north.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

 

SPI Monitor November 2013

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Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

*Please note that from the December 2012 issue, information on any potential hot-spots or areas of concern will be added at the end of the discussion*

 

Discussion

November 2013

In the eastern Caribbean and Guyana, the southern portion was above normal while the remainder of the chain was normal to below normal. Trinidad was moderate to very wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Antigua, St. Kitts, Anguilla, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; Grenada severely dry; Dominica moderately dry; and Guyana moderately wet. Puerto Rico was moderately wet while the Dominican Republic was predominantly normal except for the extreme wet. Jamaica was normal but Grand Cayman moderately wet. The eastern half of Cuba was normal, while the western half ranged from exceptionally wet in the extreme west to abnormally wet close to central areas of the island. Belize was moderately wet in the west and abnormally wet in the east.

September 2013 to November 2013

As for November, the southern portion of the eastern Caribbean and Guyana was above normal while the remainder of the chain was normal to below normal. Trinidad was predominantly very wet; Tobago abnormally wet; Grenada extremely dry; Barbados, St. Vincent, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; St. Lucia, Dominica and Antigua abnormally dry; St. Kitts moderately dry; and Guyana ranging from normal in the west to moderately wet in the east. Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic were normal. Jamaica was moderately dry in the west and abnormally dry in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. The western and eastern portions of Cuba experienced the two extremes, as the west was abnormal to exceptionally wet and the east abnormal to extremely dry and central areas normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from very wet in the west to abnormally wet in the east.

June 2013 to November 2013

In the eastern Caribbean and Guyana, the pattern of the wet south and normal to below normal conditions in the remainder of the area continued for the six month period. Trinidad was moderate to very wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; Grenada exceptionally dry; Antigua and St. Kitts moderately dry; St. Maarten abnormally dry; and Guyana ranging from normal in the northwest to very wet in the east. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet but the Dominican Republic was normal. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from moderately dry in the west to normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. The western and eastern portions of Cuba experienced the two extremes, as the west was abnormal to exceptionally wet and the east abnormal to exceptionally dry and central areas normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from normal in the south to exceptionally wet in the north.

December 2012 to November 2013

Mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad was extremely wet; Tobago and Barbados moderately wet; Grenada severely dry; St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Antigua, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; Dominica abnormally wet; and Guyana normal to abnormally wet. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet, while the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately dry in the south west to moderately wet in the east. Jamaica was abnormally dry in the west and normal in the east, while Grand Cayman was normal. The western and eastern portions of Cuba experienced the two extremes, as the west was abnormal to exceptionally wet and the east abnormal to exceptionally dry and central areas normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from normal in the south to moderately wet in the north.

SPI Monitor October 2013

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Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

*Please note that from the December 2012 issue, information on any potential hot-spots or areas of concern will be added at the end of the discussion*

 

Discussion

October 2013

Diverse conditions existed across the eastern Caribbean and Guyana, particularly separating the normal to below normal north from the normal to above normal south. Trinidad and St. Vincent were moderately wet; Tobago very wet; Grenada, St. Lucia, Dominica, St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Maarten normal; Antigua moderately dry; St. Croix abnormally dry; and Guyana normal. Puerto Rico was abnormally dry while the Dominica Republic ranged from very wet in the west to normal in the east. Jamaica was severely dry in the west and moderately dry in the east, while Cayman Islands was normal. Cuba was predominantly normal, apart from the extreme east that was abnormal to moderately wet and the extreme north that was abnormally wet. Apart from the south that was abnormally wet, Belize was predominantly moderately wet.

August 2013 to October 2013

Diverse conditions were experienced across the eastern Caribbean and Guyana for the three month period. Trinidad, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Dominica, Anguilla and St. Croix were normal; Tobago and Barbados moderately wet; Grenada extremely dry; Antigua, St. Kitts and St. Maarten moderately dry; and Guyana from normal in the west to moderately wet in the east. Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic and the Cayman Islands were normal. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from moderately dry in the west to normal in the east. Western Cuba was normal to moderately wet, eastern Cuba normal to severely dry, and central Cuba normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from abnormal to moderately wet.

May 2013 to October 2013

For the six month period, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana experienced diverse conditions. Trinidad was abnormal to moderately wet; Tobago, St. Vincent, St. Lucia, Antigua, Anguilla, St. Maarten, and St. Croix normal; Grenada extremely dry; Barbados moderately wet; Dominica abnormally wet; and Guyana normal in the west to very wet in the east. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet while conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from normal in the west to extremely wet in the east. Rainfall in Jamaica ranged from severely dry in the west to normal in the east, while the Cayman Islands was normal. Western Cuba was normal to moderately wet, eastern Cuba normal to exceptionally dry, and central Cuba normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from normal in the south to extremely wet in the north.

November 2012 to October 2013

As like the other periods, diverse conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad was moderately dry; Tobago, Barbados and Dominica abnormally wet; Grenada severely dry; St. Vincent, Antigua, St. Croix and Anguilla normal; St. Lucia normal to abnormally wet; St. Kitts and St. Maarten moderately dry; and apart from the northern portion of the country that was abnormally wet, Guyana was normal. Puerto Rico was very to extremely wet, while the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately dry in the southwest to moderately wet in the east. Rainfall in Jamaica ranged from moderately dry in the west to normal in the east. Cayman Islands was moderately dry. In Cuba, rainfall in the eastern half ranged from normal to exceptionally dry in the extreme east, while the west was predominantly normal with some of above and below normal areas. Conditions in Belize ranged from abnormally dry in the south to abnormally wet in the north.

SPI Monitor September 2013

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Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

*Please note that from the December 2012 issue, information on any potential hot-spots or areas of concern will be added at the end of the discussion*

 

Discussion

September 2013

Normal to below normal conditions existed in the islands of the eastern Caribbean for September. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados, Dominica, Antigua and St. Croix were normal; Grenada, St. Kitts, St. Maarten and Anguilla moderately dry; St. Vincent and St. Lucia abnormally dry. Guyana was normal in the west and abnormally wet in the east. Puerto Rico was abnormal to moderately wet, while the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately dry in the northwest to normal in the east. Jamaica was normal but Cayman Islands were moderately dry. Normal conditions dominated the Cuban landscape apart from in the extreme east and central areas that were abnormally dry and in the west that was abnormally wet. Apart from the extreme west that was abnormally wet, Belize rainfall was normal.

July 2013 to September 2013

Normal to below normal rainfall was experienced in the islands of the eastern Caribbean for the three month period. Trinidad, Tobago, Antigua and St. Maarten were moderately dry; Grenada and St. Vincent exceptionally dry; Barbados, St. Lucia, Dominica and St. Croix normal; and St. Kitts and Anguilla abnormally dry. Conditions in Guyana ranged from normal in the west to extremely wet in the east. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet, but the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately dry in the extreme southwest to normal in the east. Jamaica was normal in the west and abnormally wet in the east, while the Cayman Islands were normal. The western portion of Cuba was normal to exceptionally wet, while the eastern portion ranged from abnormally wet to moderately dry. Conditions in Belize ranged from moderately dry in the south to moderately wet in the north.

April 2013 to September 2013

For the six month period, conditions were mixed across the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad and St. Lucia were moderately wet; Tobago, St. Vincent, St. Kitts, St. Maarten and Anguilla normal; Grenada moderately dry; Barbados very wet; Dominica extremely wet; Antigua and St. Croix abnormally wet; and Guyana ranging from normal in the west to moderately wet in the east. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet while totals in the Dominican Republic ranged from extremely dry in the southwest to very wet in the east. Jamaica and Cayman Islands were normal, while conditions in Cuba ranged from very wet in the west to exceptionally dry in the east. Rainfall in Belize ranged from moderately dry in the south to very wet in the north.

October 2012 to September 2013

Conditions in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were mixed. Trinidad was normal to abnormally wet; Tobago, Barbados, St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; Grenada exceptionally dry, St. Vincent and St. Maarten abnormally dry; Dominica and Antigua abnormally wet; and Guyana abnormally wet in the northern extreme and normal elsewhere. Puerto Rico was extremely wet, while the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately dry in the southwest to very wet in the east. Jamaica was predominantly normal, but Cayman Islands were moderately dry. Rainfall in Cuba ranged from abnormally wet in the west central areas to severely dry in the east, while conditions in Belize ranged from moderately dry in the south to abnormally wet in the north.

SPI Monitor August 2013

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Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

*Please note that from the December 2012 issue, information on any potential hot-spots or areas of concern will be added at the end of the discussion*

 

Discussion

August 2013

Mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean islands. Trinidad and Antigua were moderately dry; Tobago, St. Vincent, Dominica, Anguilla and St. Maarten normal; Grenada exceptionally dry; Barbados very wet; St. Lucia moderately wet; St. Kitts abnormally dry and St. Croix abnormally wet. In Guyana the west was normal, but the east was abnormal to moderately wet. Puerto Rico was moderately wet, but the Dominican Republic was abnormally dry in the far west and normal in the remainder of the country. Jamaica was abnormally wet in the west and moderately wet in the east, while Cayman Islands was very wet. Conditions in Cuba ranged from extremely wet in the west to moderately dry in the east. Belize ranged from abnormally dry in the south to extremely wet in the north.

June 2013 to August 2013

As was for August, the three month period resulted in varied conditions in the eastern Caribbean islands. Trinidad, St. Kitts, Anguilla and St. Maarten were normal; Tobago and St. Vincent moderately dry; Grenada exceptionally dry; Barbados normal to abnormally wet; St. Lucia moderately wet; Dominica and St. Croix abnormally wet; and Antigua abnormally dry. The western portions of Guyana were normal and the east ranged from abnormal to very wet. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet, while conditions in the Dominican Republic for the most part ranged from moderately dry on the southwest to moderately wet in the east. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from abnormally dry in the west to abnormally wet in the east, but Cayman Islands was abnormally wet. Cuba ranged from very wet in the west to severely dry in the east, while Belize ranged from abnormally dry in the south to very wet in the north.

March 2013 to August 2013

Apart from Grenada that was moderately dry, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were normal to above normal. Trinidad was abnormal to moderately wet; Tobago, St. Vincent, St. Kitts and St. Maarten normal; Barbados moderate to extremely wet. St. Lucia abnormal to moderately wet; Dominica extremely wet; Antigua moderately wet; St. Croix abnormally wet; and Guyana ranged from normal in the west to moderately wet in the east. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet whilst the Dominican Republic ranged from extremely dry in the southwest to extremely wet in the west. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from abnormally dry in the west to abnormally wet in the east, while Cayman Islands was abnormally wet. Conditions in Cuba ranged from very wet in the west to exceptionally dry in the east, while those in Belize were from abnormally dry in the south to moderately wet in the north.

September 2012 to August 2013

Diversity in conditions were realized for the twelve month period in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados, Dominica, Antigua and St. Kitts were normal; Grenada exceptionally dry; St. Vincent, Anguilla, St. Maarten and St. Croix abnormally dry; St. Lucia abnormally wet; and Guyana abnormally wet in the extreme north and predominantly normal in the remainder of the country. Puerto Rico ranged from moderate to extremely wet, while the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately dry in the southwest to very wet in the east. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from abnormally dry in the west to abnormally wet in the east, while Cayman Islands was moderately dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from abnormally wet in the west to severely dry in the east, while in Belize from moderately dry in the south to normal in the north.

SPI Monitor July 2013

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Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

*Please note that from the December 2012 issue, information on any potential hot-spots or areas of concern will be added at the end of the discussion*

 

Discussion

July 2013

During July, there was a major influence from dry Saharan air. Conditions in the southern portion of the eastern Caribbean were predominantly dry, while they were mixed in the remainder. Trinidad, Antigua and St. Croix were abnormally dry; Tobago severely dry; Grenada extremely dry; Barbados moderately dry; St Vincent exceptionally dry; St Lucia, St. Kitts and Anguilla normal; Dominica and St. Maarten abnormally wet. Conditions in Guyana ranged from normal in the north to extremely wet in the east. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet, but the Dominican Republic was normal to abnormally wet. Jamaica was normal in the west to moderately wet in the East, while Cayman Islands was normal. Conditions in Cuba were diverse, being above normal in the west, normal in east central area and below normal in the east. Belize ranged from moderately dry in the south and west to abnormally wet in the north.

May 2013 to July 2013

In the three month period, apart from Grenada and Tobago that were abnormally dry, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were normal to above normal. Trinidad, St. Maarten and St. Croix were abnormally wet; Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Lucia and St. Kitts normal; Dominica, Antigua and Anguilla moderately wet; and Guyana abnormal to moderately wet. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet, but conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from abnormally dry in the southwest to exceptionally wet in the east. Jamaica ranged from moderately dry in the west to abnormally wet in the east. Cayman Islands was normal. In Cuba the west was normal to abnormally wet, while the east was normal to exceptionally dry. Southern Belize was normal to abnormally dry while the north was abnormal to moderately wet.

February 2013 to July 2013

In the six month period, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were normal to above normal. Trinidad and Antigua were normal; Tobago, Grenada, St. Vincent, St. Kitts, Anguilla, St. Maarten and St. Croix normal; Barbados and St. Lucia abnormally wet; Dominica extremely wet; Antigua moderately wet; and Guyana abnormally wet in the west and normal in the east. Puerto Rico was exceptionally wet, but the Dominican Republic ranged from severely dry in the south west to extremely wet in the east. Jamaica was abnormally dry in the west and normal in the east. Cayman Islands was normal. Most of Cuba was normal, but the eastern portions ranged from abnormal to extremely dry and the western portions normal to abnormally wet. Conditions in Belize ranged from abnormally dry in the south to abnormally wet in the north.

August 2012 to July 2013

Conditions in the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were mixed. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, Dominica, Antigua and St. Kitts were normal; Grenada severely dry; Anguilla abnormally dry; St. Lucia abnormally wet; St. Maarten and St. Croix moderately dry; and Guyana abnormally wet in the extreme north and normal elsewhere. Puerto Rico was extremely wet, but conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from normal in the west to extremely wet in the east. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from moderately dry in the west to abnormally wet in the west. Cayman Islands was moderately dry. The western half of Cuba was normal while the eastern half was predominantly abnormally dry. Belize was moderately dry in the south and abnormally dry in the north.

SPI Monitor June 2013

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Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

*Please note that from the December 2012 issue, information on any potential hot-spots or areas of concern will be added at the end of the discussion*

 

Discussion

June 2013

Conditions in the eastern Caribbean were predominantly normal to above normal. Trinidad, St. Lucia and Dominica were moderately wet; Tobago, Grenada, Barbados, St. Vincent, St. Kitts, Anguilla and Guyana normal; Antigua abnormally wet; and St. Croix very wet. Puerto Rico was extremely to exceptionally wet, while conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from normal in the west to moderately wet in the east. Jamaica ranged from moderately dry in the west to normal in the east. Western and Central Cuba were normal while the east was abnormal to moderately dry. Cayman Islands was normal, while Belize ranged from normal in the south to moderately wet in the north.

April 2013 to June 2013

The eastern Caribbean and Guyana were normal to above normal for the three month period. Trinidad, St. Lucia and Antigua were very wet; Tobago, Grenada, St. Vincent and Anguilla moderately dry; Barbados extremely wet; Dominica exceptionally wet; St. Kitts normal; St. Croix abnormally wet; and Guyana ranging from moderately wet in the northwest to normal in the east. Puerto Rico was very to extremely wet, while conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from severely dry in the southwest to extremely wet in the east. Jamaica, Cayman Islands and Cuba were predominantly normal. Belize was normal in the south and abnormally wet in the north.

January 2013 to June 2013

For the six month period, the eastern Caribbean and Guyana were normal to above normal. Trinidad was moderate to very wet; Tobago, Grenada and St. Lucia abnormally wet; Barbados and St. Vincent moderately wet; Dominica extremely wet; Antigua very wet; and Anguilla, St. Croix and Guyana normal. Puerto Rico was very to extremely wet, while conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from extremely dry in the south west to extremely wet in the east. Jamaica was abnormally dry in the west and normal in the east, while Cayman Islands was normal. Western Cuba was generally abnormal to moderately dry while the east was normal to severely dry. Apart from western portions that were abnormally wet, Belize was normal.

July 2012 to June 2013

Apart from St. Lucia that was abnormally wet and Grenada and St.Croix that were moderately dry, the eastern Caribbean was predominantly normal. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados, St. Vincent, Dominica, Antigua, St. Kitts, and Anguilla were normal. Guyana was abnormally wet in the north and normal elsewhere. Puerto Rico was moderately dry. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from normal in the west to extremely wet in the east, while those in Jamaica ranged from moderately dry in the west to abnormally wet in the east. Cuba was abnormal to moderately dry. Cayman Islands was severely dry while Belize was moderately dry.