SPI Monitor December 2016

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December 2016

Mixed conditions were experienced in the islands of the eastern Caribbean during December 2016. Trinidad was normal to slightly wet; Tobago slight to moderately wet; Grenada moderate to very wet; Barbados, St. Vincent and Antigua slightly wet; St. Lucia and St. Maarten moderately wet; Dominica from slightly dry in the north to exceptionally wet in the south; St. Kitts moderately dry. Conditions in Guyana range from normal to extremely wet. Both Aruba and Curacao had normal rainfall, but the Dominican Republic ranged from normal in the south to moderately wet in the north. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from slightly wet in the south to moderately dry in the east and west; but Grand Cayman was extremely dry. Cuba was predominantly normal to below normal, but conditions in Belize ranged from normal in the northwest to exceptionally wet in the southeast.

October to December 2016

For the three month period, mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean islands. Conditions in Trinidad ranged from moderately dry in the southwest to moderately wet in the northeast; Tobago, Grenada, Antigua and St. Maarten normal; Barbados very wet; St. Vincent extreme to exceptionally wet; St. Lucia slight to exceptionally wet; Dominica from normal to very wet; St. Kitts moderately dry; and Anguilla slightly wet. Rainfall in Guyana ranged from normal in the north to exceptionally wet in the south. Aruba was normal, but Curacao slightly wet. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from very to exceptionally wet. Jamaica was predominantly normal except for the extreme south that was slight to moderately wet, and the extreme west that was slight to moderately dry. Grand Cayman was extremely dry. Cuba was predominantly normal to below normal, but conditions in Belize ranged from moderately wet in the south to moderately dry in the north.

July to December 2016

Mixed conditions were experienced in the islands in the eastern Caribbean for the six month period. Trinidad was normal in the east, but normal to extremely wet in the west; Tobago slight to moderately dry; Grenada, St. Kitts and Anguilla normal; Barbados very wet; St. Vincent extreme to exceptionally wet; St. Lucia from normal in the north to exceptionally wet in the south; Dominica from slightly wet in the southwest to slightly dry in the northeast; Antigua slightly wet; and St. Maarten slightly dry. Conditions in Guyana ranged from normal in the north to exceptionally wet in the south. Aruba and Curacao were normal, but the Dominican Republic normal to exceptionally wet. Jamaica was normal apart from the extreme west that was slight to moderately dry and the east that was slightly dry. Rainfall in both Cuba and Belize were predominantly normal to below normal.

January 2016 to December 2016

Mixed conditions were experienced in the islands of the eastern Caribbean for the twelve month period. Trinidad was predominantly normal but was slight to moderately dry in the west; Tobago moderate to extremely dry; Grenada, Antigua and Anguilla normal; Barbados slight to moderately wet; St. Vincent slight to moderately wet; St. Lucia normal to exceptionally wet; Dominica normal to moderately wet; St. Kitts moderately dry; and St. Maarten very dry. Conditions in Guyana ranged from normal to extremely wet. Aruba and Curacao were normal, but the Dominica Republic ranged from normal to extremely wet. Jamaica was normal, but with slight to moderately dry conditions in both the western and eastern extremities. Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. In general, eastern Cuba was normal, central areas normal to below normal, and western areas normal to above normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from normal in central areas to exceptional dry to the north and south.

January 2015 to December 2016

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

SPI Monitor November 2016

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November 2016

The islands of the eastern Caribbean were normal to above normal regarding the month’s rainfall. Trinidad, Tobago, Grenada, Martinique, St. Kitts and St. Maarten were normal; Barbados very to extremely wet; St. Vincent exceptionally wet; St. Lucia moderate to exceptionally wet; Dominica normal to moderately wet; Guadeloupe normal to slightly wet; Antigua moderately wet; Anguilla, St. Croix and St. Thomas slightly wet. Guyana and Suriname were normal to exceptionally wet from north to south, while French Guiana ranged from extremely dry in the northwest to moderately wet in the south. Aruba was slightly wet, but Curacao moderate to very wet. Conditions in the Puerto Rico ranged from slightly wet in the south to exceptionally wet in the north, but in the Dominican Republic ranged from normal to exceptionally wet from south to north. Conditions in Jamaica were predominantly normal but with the western extreme ranging to extremely dry and the eastern extreme slightly wet, but Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from normal to exceptionally dry, while in Belize they ranged from very wet in the west to normal further east, north and south.

September to November 2016

For the three month period, mixed conditions were experienced in the islands of the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad and St. Maarten were moderately  dry; Grenada and St. Kitts slightly dry; Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Anguilla and St. Croix normal; Barbados very to extremely wet; St. Vincent extremely wet; St. Lucia slight to exceptionally wet; and Antigua and St. Thomas slightly wet. Exceptionally wet conditions dominated the interior of the Guianas, while coastal Guyana was predominantly normal,  but in the vicinity of Georgetown and the coastal border of Suriname and French Guiana were below normal. Aruba was normal, but Curacao moderately wet. Conditions in Puerto Rico ranged from moderately dry to exceptionally wet, but in the Dominican Republic they ranged from slight to exceptionally wet. Jamaica ranged from normal in central areas to slightly dry in the east and west, but Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Eastern Cuba was normal while normal to severely dry conditions were evident in the remainder of Cuba. Conditions in Belize ranged from slightly wet in the southwest to moderately dry in the northeast.

June to November 2016

Mixed conditions were experienced in the islands of the eastern Caribbean during the six month period. Trinidad was moderate to severely dry; Tobago slight to moderately dry; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados moderate to very wet; St. Vincent moderately wet; St. Lucia normal to exceptionally wet; Martinique slightly dry to slightly wet; Guadeloupe normal to slightly wet; Antigua slightly wet; St. Kitts and Anguilla normal; St. Maarten severely dry; St. Croix normal; and St. Thomas moderately wet. Large portions of the Guianas were exceptionally wet but got closer to normal (and even slightly dry) approaching the coast in some areas. Both Aruba and Curacao were normal. Conditions in Puerto Rico range from moderately dry in the southwest to moderately wet in the northeast, while in the Dominican Republic the range was from normal to exceptionally wet. Jamaica ranged from normal in central areas to slightly dry in the east and west, but Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Eastern Cuba was predominantly normal, central Cuba normal to moderately dry and western Cuba normal to above normal. Conditions in Belize ranged from slightly wet in the south to severely dry to the north.

December 2015 to November 2016

Mixed conditions were experienced in the islands of the eastern Caribbean during the twelve month period. Trinidad was normal to slightly dry; Grenada, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Antigua, Anguilla and St. Croix were normal; Tobago severe to extremely dry; Barbados and St. Vincent normal to moderately wet; St. Lucia slightly dry in the north to exceptionally wet in the south; Martinique slightly dry to moderately wet; St. Kitts slightly dry; St. Maarten extremely dry; and St. Thomas slightly wet. Normal to very wet conditions were predominant in the Guianas, apart from around Georgetown, Guyana that experienced below normal rainfall. Aruba was normal while Curacao was slightly dry. Western Puerto Rico was normal while the east was normal to very wet. The Dominican Republic was slight to extremely wet. Jamaica ranged from normal in central areas to slightly dry in the east and west, but Grand Cayman was exceptionally dry. Eastern Cuba was predominantly normal, while the west ranged from moderately dry to exceptionally wet. Central Belize was normal, with conditions becoming extremely dry in the south and severely dry in the north.

December 2014 to November 2016

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.

SPI Monitor October 2016

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October 2016

Rainfall was mixed over the eastern Caribbean and the Guianas for the month. Trinidad and St. Maarten were exceptionally dry; Tobago, Antigua, St. Kitts, and St. Croix moderately dry; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados and St. Vincent normal; St. Lucia normal to moderately wet; Dominica normal to slightly dry; St. Thomas moderately wet; and the Guianas mainly very to exceptionally wet in the south, and in the north ranging from moderately wet to exceptionally dry. Aruba was normal, but Curacao slightly dry. Puerto Rico was predominantly normal. In the Dominican Republic conditions ranged from normal in more western and eastern areas to very wet in the north and extremely wet in the south. Western Jamaica was slightly dry and eastern normal, while Grand Cayman was normal. The southern half of Belize was normal while the northern half ranged from slightly dry to severely dry.

August to October 2016

3-month-spi_10-2016For the three month period, mixed conditions were experienced in the eastern Caribbean and the Guianas. Trinidad was moderate to severely dry; Tobago and Grenada moderately dry; Barbados, St. Vincent, Antigua and St. Kitts normal; St. Maarten extremely dry; St. Thomas slightly wet; St. Croix slightly dry; and the Guianas largely exceptionally wet with the exception of northern Guyana and parts of northern Suriname. Aruba was normal, but Curacao slightly dry. Puerto Rico was predominantly normal. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from slightly dry in the east and west to exceptionally wet in the north. Western Jamaica was slightly dry and eastern areas moderately dry, but Grand Cayman extremely dry. Areas in south and northwest Belize were normal, but other areas ranged to moderately dry.

May to October 2016

6-month-spi_10-2016Apart from St. Lucia that was normal to extremely wet, rainfall in the islands of the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal for the six month period. Trinidad was slight to moderately dry; Tobago severely dry; Grenada, Barbados, St. Vincent, Dominica, Antigua, St. Kitts and St. Thomas normal; St. Maarten extremely dry and St. Croix slightly dry. The Guianas were predominantly exceptionally wet. Aruba was normal but Curacao moderately dry. Apart from in the northwest that was slight to extremely dry, Puerto Rico was predominantly normal. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from moderately dry in the west to moderately wet further east, north and south. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from normal in the west to moderately dry in the east, while Grand Cayman was severely dry. Conditions in Belize ranged from slightly wet in the south to severely dry in the north.

November 2015 to October 2016

12-month-spi_10-2016Mixed conditions were experienced over the eastern Caribbean and the Guianas. Trinidad was slight to moderately dry; Tobago and St. Maarten extremely dry; Grenada, Barbados, Dominica, Antigua, and St. Croix normal; St. Vincent moderately dry; St. Lucia from normal in the north to extremely wet in the south; St. Kitts moderately dry; St. Thomas moderately wet; and in the Guianas, apart from a portion of the north around Georgetown that was moderately dry, there were normal to exceptionally wet conditions. Aruba was moderately dry and Curacao severely dry. Puerto Rico ranged from slightly dry in the west to moderately wet in the east. Conditions in the Dominican Republic ranged from slightly dry in the west to extremely wet in the south and north. Conditions in Jamaica ranged from normal in the west to moderately dry in the east, while Grand Cayman was extremely dry. Conditions in Belize ranged from extremely dry in the south to very wet in the north.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

The maps produced used SPI values calculated from monthly rainfall totals from land stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Only land station data is used for the eastern Caribbean, described here as from Georgetown, Guyana in the south to Anguilla in the north. The Greater (and Western) Antilles is less represented by land stations. However efforts are being made to include more land stations from that part of the region. Note that the severity implied by the index is relative to what is normal for that period of consideration. Normal in the drier season reflects less rainfall than in the wetter season.