SPI Monitor February 2026

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February 2026

Mixed conditions were experienced across the islands of the eastern Caribbean during the month of February. Trinidad was predominantly normal to slightly dry; Tobago, Grenada and St Croix normal; Barbados and St Kitts normal to moderately dry; St Vincent mostly moderate to severely dry; Saint Lucia moderate to extremely dry; Martinique severely dry to extremely wet south to north; Dominica severely dry to exceptionally wet; Guadeloupe exceptionally wet to normal; Antigua predominantly slightly wet to normal; St Maarten very wet to normal; Anguilla moderately wet to normal and St Thomas moderate to extremely wet. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from normal in most of Guyana and parts of Suriname to exceptionally dry in the vicinity of the northern Suriname/French Guiana border. Aruba was normal. Puerto Rico ranged from moderately dry in the southwest to exceptionally wet in the northeast. The Dominican Republic ranged from extremely wet to normal from northwest to east. Jamaica was moderately wet to extremely dry west to east. Grand Cayman was very wet. Cuba ranged from extremely dry in western areas to exceptionally wet in east central areas. Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to extremely dry and Belize from mostly moderate to extremely dry in central areas.

 

December 2025 to February 2026

Mixed conditions were experienced over the three month period across the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was extremely wet to slightly dry; Tobago  and St Thomas slightly wet to normal; Grenada , St Maarten and Anguilla normal; Barbados extremely wet to normal; St Vincent severe to extremely dry; Saint Lucia exceptional to moderately dry; Martinique slightly dry to predominantly normal; Dominica normal to very wet; Guadeloupe very wet to moderately dry; Antigua and St Croix slight to moderately dry and St Kitts moderately dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from extremely wet in southwest Guyana to extremely dry in the vicinity of the central Suriname/French Guiana border. Aruba was moderate to slightly dry. Puerto Rico was normal to very wet. The Dominican Republic was extremely wet in the west to slightly dry in eastern areas. Jamaica was slight to very wet west to east. Grand Cayman was moderately wet. Cuba ranged from normal in the west to extremely wet in east central areas. Northern Bahamas was normal to moderately dry and Belize was predominantly normal with slightly wet conditions in central areas and slightly dry areas in the west.

 

September 2025 to February 2026

Conditions throughout the eastern Caribbean over the six month period were mostly normal to below normal except for Trinidad which was exceptionally wet in the southeast to extremely dry in the northwest and Dominica which ranged from moderately dry in the south to slightly wet in the northeast. Tobago and St Kitts were moderate to slightly dry; Grenada moderately dry; Barbados, Antigua, Anguilla, St Croix and St Thomas normal; St Vincent extremely dry; Saint Lucia exceptional to severely dry; Martinique moderate to severely dry south to north and normal in the east; Guadeloupe normal to moderately dry; and St Maarten slightly dry to normal. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from extremely wet in northern Guyana to extremely dry in central Guyana, and to severely dry in the vicinity of the central Suriname/French Guiana border and northern portions of French Guiana. Aruba was moderately dry. Puerto Rico was slightly wet to predominantly normal. The Dominican Republic was very wet in the southwest to normal in the north. Jamaica was mostly normal to slightly wet in the east. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from normal in western areas to exceptionally wet in the north. Northern Bahamas was normal to exceptionally wet and Belize mostly normal ranging to moderately dry in the west and to very wet in east central areas.

 

March 2025 to February 2026

Mixed conditions were experienced across  the islands of the eastern Caribbean over the twelve month period. Trinidad was exceptionally wet to moderately dry; Tobago, Guadeloupe and St Maarten  normal to moderately dry; Grenada severely  dry; Barbados normal; St Vincent extreme to severely dry; Saint Lucia extreme to moderately dry; Martinique extreme to slightly dry; Dominica severely dry to normal; Antigua normal to slightly wet; St Kitts normal to severely dry; Anguilla  and St Thomas normal to moderately wet; and  St Croix exceptional to severely dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally wet to moderately dry. Aruba was severely dry. Puerto Rico was normal to moderately wet. The Dominican Republic was mostly normal ranging to moderately wet in the southwest and extreme east. Jamaica ranged from normal to moderately dry. Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Cuba was extremely wet to extremely dry west to east. Northern Bahamas ranged from slightly dry to very wet and Belize from severely dry in the southwest to normal in the north.

 

March 2024 to February 2026

Over the two year period conditions across the eastern Caribbean were mixed. Trinidad was exceptionally wet to extremely dry south to north; Tobago, Dominica, Guadeloupe and St Kitts normal to moderately dry; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados and St Maarten slightly dry to slightly wet; St Vincent severe to moderately dry; Saint Lucia extremely dry to normal; Martinique severely dry to normal; Antigua and St Thomas normal and Anguilla normal to moderately wet. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally wet to exceptionally dry. Aruba was severely dry. Puerto Rico was extremely dry to very wet. The Dominican Republic ranged from normal to very wet in the southwest, to severely dry in the north and to extremely wet in the east. Jamaica was extremely dry to normal. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba was mostly normal ranging to exceptionally wet in the west and to severely dry in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from mostly normal to very wet and Belize from extremely dry to very wet southwest to northeast.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.