May-June-July 2016 rainfall is likely to be above- to normal in the northwestern islands and the Guianas, but below- to normal in ABC Islands, Belize, Hispaniola and the US Caribbean Territories. Fewer wet days (low confidence) are expected across the region, but with more wet and very wet spells in the Lesser Antilles (medium confidence) and increased chance of extreme wet spells, especially in the east (medium to high confidence).