SPI Monitor February 2024

February 2024

Mixed conditions were seen throughout the islands of the eastern Caribbean during the month of February, with a normal to below south and a normal to above normal north of the chain. Trinidad was severe to exceptionally dry; Tobago exceptional to predominantly extremely dry; Grenada and St Croix moderately dry; Barbados extreme to severely dry; St Vincent normal; Saint Lucia predominantly normal to slightly dry in the extreme north; Martinique moderately dry to normal; Dominica moderate to extremely wet; Guadeloupe very to extremely wet; Antigua, St Kitts, St Maarten and Anguilla exceptionally wet and St Thomas slight to moderately dry. In the Guianas conditions ranged from moderately wet in southwestern Guyana to exceptionally dry over the central border regions of Suriname/French Guiana. Aruba and Curacao were normal. Puerto Rico ranged from exceptionally wet in western and northern areas to normal in the east. The Dominican Republic ranged from mostly normal to slightly wet in the south, slightly dry in the north and to very wet in the extreme east. Jamaica ranged from normal in the west to extremely wet in the east. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba was mostly normal ranging to slightly wet in the west and to moderately wet in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to very wet and Belize was mostly normal ranging to slightly wet in the northwest and to extremely dry along the eastern coastline.

December 2023 to February 2024

Mixed conditions were experienced over the three month period throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was predominantly normal to moderately dry; Tobago severe to slightly dry; Grenada severely dry; Barbados moderately wet in the extreme south to predominantly very wet; St Vincent, St Kitts, St Maarten, Anguilla, St Croix and St Thomas normal; Saint Lucia, Dominica and Guadeloupe moderately wet to normal; Martinique normal to moderately dry and Antigua slight to moderately wet. The Guianas were predominantly drier than usual, ranging from normal to extremely dry. Aruba and curacao were normal. Puerto Rico was mostly normal ranging to moderately dry in the extreme southwest. The Dominican Republic ranged from mostly normal to slightly dry in the east. Jamaica and Grand cayman were normal. Cuba ranged from extremely wet in the west to normal in the extreme southeast. Northern Bahamas ranged from slight to very wet and Belize was slightly dry in the southeast ranging to very wet in the northwest.

 

 

September 2023 to February 2024

Normal to below normal rainfall was experienced throughout the eastern Caribbean over the six month period. Trinidad ranged from moderate to exceptionally dry; Tobago exceptionally dry; Grenada predominantly slightly dry ranging to moderately dry in the east; Barbados, Martinique, Dominica, St Maarten and Anguilla normal; St Vincent and St Thomas slightly dry; Saint Lucia and St Kitts slightly dry to mostly normal; Guadeloupe normal to moderately dry; Antigua predominantly normal to slightly wet and St Croix moderately dry. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from normal to exceptionally dry. Aruba was normal to slightly wet and Curacao was normal. Puerto Rico ranged from normal to moderately wet from south to north. The Dominican Republic ranged from moderately dry in the west to normal in the east. Jamaica was normal. Grand Cayman was slightly wet. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to moderately dry in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from slight to very wet and Belize from very wet in the south to normal in the north.

 

 

March 2023 to February 2024

Over the twelve month period, normal to below normal conditions were experienced throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad, Tobago and Grenada were severely dry; Barbados, Saint Lucia, Antigua, St Kitts, St Maarten, Anguilla and St Thomas normal; St Vincent moderate to slightly dry; Martinique normal to moderately dry; Dominica predominantly moderate to slightly dry; Guadeloupe slightly dry to predominantly normal and St Croix moderate to mostly slightly dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from extremely wet in southern Guyana to exceptionally dry in central areas of French Guiana and the central border with Suriname. Aruba was slightly dry and Curacao was normal. Puerto Rico ranged from exceptionally dry in the extreme south to normal in the north. The Dominican Republic ranged from extremely wet in the west to slightly dry in the extreme southeast. Jamaica was normal. Grand Cayman was predominantly normal ranging to slightly dry in the east. Cuba was exceptionally dry in west central areas ranging to exceptionally wet in the west and to extremely wet in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from moderately wet to mostly exceptionally wet and Belize from moderately dry to normal from south to north.

 

March 2022 to February 2024

Apart from a few islands in the south that were slightly wet, predominantly normal to below normal conditions were experienced over the two year period throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad, Tobago, Grenada, Barbados, Martinique, Antigua, Anguilla and St Thomas were normal; St Vincent slightly wet; Saint Lucia slightly wet to normal; Dominica and St Maarten normal to slightly dry; Guadeloupe and St Kitts slight to moderately dry and st Croix moderately dry. In the Guianas, conditions were mostly moderately wet ranging to exceptionally wet in southern Guyana and to slightly dry in southeastern French Guiana. Aruba and Curacao were normal. Puerto Rico was predominantly normal ranging to severely dry in the extreme south and to slightly wet on the northern coastline. The Dominican Republic ranged from normal in the west to very wet in the extreme northeast. Jamaica was mostly normal ranging to moderately dry in the east. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to extremely dry in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to exceptionally wet and Belize very wet in the south ranging to moderately dry in the north.

 

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

Mean Temperature Anomalies January 2024

January 2024

Temperature anomalies were warmer than usual for January 2024 throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was predominantly between 1.50 to 2.50 o C warmer ranging to 0.75 o C  warmer in the northeast; Tobago, Grenada, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Antigua, St Kitts, St Maarten, St Thomas and St Croix were between 0.75 to 1.50 o C warmer; Barbados and Saint Lucia were predominantly between 0.25 to  0.75 o C warmer, ranging to 1.50 o C warmer; Temperatures in the Guianas ranged from 0.75 o C warmer to over 2.50 o C warmer. Aruba was between was between 0.25 and 0.75 o C warmer and Curacao was between 0.25 and 1.50 o C warmer. Puerto Rico was between 1.50 to 2.50 o C warmer. The Dominican Republic was predominantly 0.75 and 1.50 o C warmer, ranging to 0.25 o C warmer in the north and to 2.50 o C warmer in the east. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 and 1.50 o C warmer. Northern Bahamas was over 2.50 o C warmer to 0.25 o C cooler and Belize was between 1.50 o C cooler to over 2.50 o C warmer southeast to northwest.

 

November 2023 to January 2024

Temperature anomalies were warmer than usual over the three-month period throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was ranged from 2.50 o C warmer to 0.75 o C warmer southwest to northeast; Tobago, Barbados, Martinique, Dominica, St Thomas and St Croix were between 0.75 to 1.50 o C warmer; Grenada was between 1.50 to 0.25 o C warmer, Saint Lucia and St Maarten were between 0.25 and 0.75 o C warmer;  Guadeloupe ranged from 1.50 o C warmer to predominantly between 0.25 to 0.75 o C warmer; Antigua and St Kitts was between 0 to 0.25 o C warmer. The Guianas ranged from 0.75 to over 2.50 o C warmer. Aruba and Curacao were between 0.25 to 0.75 o C warmer. Puerto Rico was predominantly between 1.50 to 2.50 o C warmer ranging to 0.75 o C warmer in the east. The Dominican Republic was between 1.50 and 0.25 o C warmer. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 and 1.50 o C warmer. Northern Bahamas and Belize were between 0.25 and 1.50 o C warmer.

 

 

August 2023 to January 2024

Temperature anomalies were warmer than usual for August 2023 to January 2024 throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was predominantly between 1.50 and 2.50 o C ranging to 0.75 o C warmer in the extreme northeast; Tobago; Grenada, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, St Thomas and St. Croix were between 0.75 to 1.50 o C warmer. Guadeloupe and St Maarten were predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 ranging to 1.50 o C warmer; Antigua was predominantly between 0 and 0.25 o C warmer, ranging to 0.75 o C warmer; St Kitts was between 0.25 o C and 0.75 o C warmer.  The Guianas ranged from 0.75 o C to over            2.50 o C warmer. Aruba was between 0.25 and 1.50 o C warmer, and Curacao was between 0.25 and 0.75 o C warmer. Puerto Rico was between 2.50 to 0.75o C warmer. The Dominican Republic was predominantly between 0.75 to 1.50 o C warmer, ranging to 0.25 o C warmer in the north. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 and 1.50 o C warmer. Northern Bahamas and Belize were 0.25 and 1.50 o C warmer.

 

February 2023 to January 2024

Temperature anomalies were warmer than usual over the twelve-month period throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados, Martinique were between 0.75 to 1.50 o C warmer; Grenada and Dominica ranged from 1.50 o C to predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 o C warmer; Guadeloupe ranged from 0 to predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 o C warmer, Antigua, St Kitts and St Maarten were between 0 to 0.25 o C warmer, Saint Lucia, St Thomas and St Croix were between 0.25 to 0.75 o C warmer. The Guianas were predominantly between 0.75 to 1.50 o C warmer, ranging from 0.25 o C warmer to 2.50 o C warmer. Aruba was between 0.25 and 0.75 o C warmer, and Curacao was between 0 to 0.25 o C warmer. Puerto Rico was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 o C warmer ranging to 0.25 o C warmer in the east. The Dominican Republic was predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 o C warmer ranging to 1.50 o C warmer in the east. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 o C and 1.50 o C warmer. Northern Bahamas and Belize ranged from 0.25 o C warmer to predominantly were between 0.75 and 1.50 o C warmer.

 

Mean Temperature for January 2024

 

Mean Temperature for the Period February 2023 to January 2024

 

SPI Monitor January 2024

January 2024

Mixed conditions were seen throughout the eastern Caribbean during the month of January. Trinidad was moderately wet to normal; Grenada, Antigua, St Maarten and Anguilla normal; Tobago and Dominica slightly dry to normal; Barbados moderately dry to normal; St Vincent slight to moderately wet; Saint Lucia very wet in the south to moderately wet in the north; Martinique slightly wet to slightly dry; Guadeloupe normal to slightly wet; St Kitts moderate to slightly dry; St Croix severely dry and St Thomas moderately dry. In the Guianas, conditions varied from moderately wet in southern areas of Guyana to severely dry in northern Suriname/French Guiana border. Aruba was slightly dry and Curacao was normal. Puerto Rico was normal to moderately dry from west to east. The Dominican Republic was mostly exceptionally dry ranging to extremely dry in the west and to Normal in the extreme east. Jamaica was moderately dry. Grand cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to slightly dry in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from slightly dry to very wet and Belize ranged from extremely dry in southern areas to extremely wet in the north.

November 2023 to January 2024

In the eastern Caribbean, rainfall totals were mixed in the south but normal to below normal to the north over the three month period. Trinidad was moderately wet to normal; Tobago and St Maarten slight to moderately dry; Grenada and Anguilla slightly dry; Barbados moderately wet; St Vincent and St Thomas normal; Saint Lucia slightly wet to normal; Martinique normal to moderately dry; Dominica predominantly moderate to severely dry; Guadeloupe severe to extremely dry; Antigua severely dry; St Kitts moderate to severely dry; and St Croix slightly dry to predominantly normal. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from moderately wet in southern Guyana and the northeastern Suriname/French Guiana border to extremely dry in the extreme north of French Guiana. Aruba and Curacao were slightly dry. Puerto Rico ranged from exceptionally dry in the extreme south to normal in the north. The Dominican Republic was mostly moderately wet ranging to normal in northwestern and eastern areas. Jamaica was extreme to very wet. Grand Cayman was moderately wet. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the extreme west to normal in the east. Northern Bahamas was very to exceptionally wet and Belize slightly dry in the south to exceptionally wet in northern areas.

 

August 2023 to January 2024

Over the six month period conditions were normal to below normal throughout the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad and Guadeloupe were slight to predominantly moderately dry; Tobago severe to moderately dry; Grenada, St Croix and St Thomas slightly dry; Barbados, Martinique, Antigua, St Kitts, St Maarten and Anguilla normal; St Vincent moderately dry and Saint Lucia and Dominica moderately dry to normal. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally dry in northeastern Guyana and the northern Suriname /French Guiana border to slightly wet on the coastline of Suriname/French Guiana. Aruba was slightly wet and Curacao normal. Puerto Rico was normal. The Dominican Republic was predominantly slightly wet ranging to normal in the extreme south and to moderately wet in the extreme north. Jamaica was slightly wet in east central areas, ranging to normal in the west and east. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to normal in central and eastern areas. Northern Bahamas was slight to moderately wet and Belize very wet to normal from south to north.

 

 

February 2023 to January 2024

Over the twelve month period, conditions throughout the eastern Caribbean were normal to below normal. Trinidad was predominantly severe to extremely dry; Tobago and Grenada severely dry; Barbados, Saint Lucia, Guadeloupe, Antigua and Anguilla normal; St Vincent and St Kitts moderate to slightly dry, Martinique normal to moderately dry; Dominica and St Maarten slightly dry to predominantly normal; St Croix severe to predominantly moderately dry and St Thomas slightly dry. In the Guianas, conditions varied from very wet in southern Guyana to extremely dry in southeastern French Guiana. Aruba was slightly dry and Curacao slightly dry to normal. Puerto Rico ranged from exceptionally dry in the south to normal in the north. The Dominican Republic ranged from mostly normal to slightly dry in the west and to moderately wet in the east. Jamaica was predominantly normal with slightly dry conditions on the northwestern coastline. Grand Cayman was normal. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to extremely dry in the east. Northern Bahamas was moderate to mostly exceptionally wet and Belize ranged from normal in western and central areas to moderately dry in the south and to severely dry in northern areas.

 

February 2022 to January 2024

Apart from Trinidad that was predominantly slightly wet, conditions across the eastern Caribbean were normal to below normal. Tobago, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Guadeloupe and St Thomas were normal; St Vincent severe to slightly dry; Martinique, St Maarten and St Croix slight to moderately dry; Dominica and Antigua slightly dry to predominantly normal; St Kitts and Anguilla slightly dry. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from exceptionally wet to slightly dry. Aruba was moderately wet and Curacao predominantly moderate to slightly wet. Puerto Rico ranged from extremely dry in the south to extremely wet in the northwest. The Dominican Republic ranged from normal in the extreme southwest to extremely wet on the extreme northeast. Jamaica was moderate to slightly dry from west to east. Grand Cayman was slightly dry. Cuba ranged from exceptionally wet in the west to extremely dry in central areas. Northern Bahamas ranged from normal to exceptionally wet and Belize normal in western and central areas ranging to very wet in the south and to moderately wet in the north.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

SPEI January 2024