SPI Monitor March 2020

March 2020
Mixed conditions prevailed throughout the islands of the eastern Caribbean during the month of March. Trinidad was severely dry in the west to slightly wet in the northeast; Tobago and Grenada normal; Barbados and St Vincent normal to slightly dry from south to north; Saint Lucia slight to moderately dry; Martinique moderately dry; Dominica normal in the south to moderately wet in the north; Guadeloupe exceptionally wet in the west to normal in the east; Antigua very wet in the south to moderately wet in the north; St Kitts moderate to slightly wet south to north; Anguilla and St Maarten moderately wet; St Croix extreme to exceptionally wet west to east; and St Thomas moderately wet. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from slightly wet in the northeast of Guyana and French Guyana to exceptionally dry in southern Guyana. Curacao was moderately wet. Puerto Rico ranged from normal in the south to exceptionally wet in the north east. Hispaniola ranged from very wet in western Dominican Republic to normal in northwest and southwest Haiti and to extremely wet in the east and slightly dry in the southeast. Jamaica ranged from severely dry to normal from west to east. Grand Cayman was severely dry and Cuba ranged from exceptionally dry in central areas to slightly dry in the west and normal in the east. Northern Bahamas was predominantly exceptionally dry and Belize ranged from slightly wet in the southeast to exceptionally dry in the north.

January to March 2020

Over the three month period, mixed conditions were seen throughout the islands of the eastern Caribbean. Trinidad was moderately dry in the southwest to normal in the north east; Tobago, Barbados and Grenada normal; St Vincent moderately dry; Saint Lucia and Martinique slight to moderately dry; Dominica slight to very wet; Guadeloupe exceptionally wet in the west to normal in the east; Antigua extreme to very wet; St Kitts exceptionally wet; St Maarten extreme to very wet; St Croix moderate to very wet from west to east; and St Thomas very wet. In the Guianas, apart from in the vicinity of the northern Guyana/Suriname border that was normal, conditions mostly ranged from slight to exceptionally dry. Curacao was normal. In Puerto Rico, conditions ranged from normal in the extreme south east to exceptionally wet in northern areas. Hispaniola ranged from extremely wet in the north to normal in western portions of Haiti, and to slightly dry in south-eastern Dominican Republic. Jamaica was moderately dry in the extreme west to normal in central and eastern areas. Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Cuba ranged from extremely dry in the north to normal in north western and south eastern areas. Northern Bahamas was extreme to moderately dry from south to north, and Belize ranged from predominantly normal, with slight to moderately dry areas in the west.

October 2019 to March 2020
Over the six month period, rainfall in the eastern Caribbean was predominantly normal to below normal with the exception of Dominica that was normal to moderately wet. Trinidad and St Croix were slight to moderately dry; Tobago, Antigua, St Kitts, Anguilla, St Maarten and St Thomas normal; Grenada normal to slightly dry from south to north; Barbados extreme to moderately dry from south to north; St Vincent extreme to exceptionally dry; Saint Lucia exceptional to severely dry; Martinique normal to moderately dry south to north; Guadeloupe normal to extremely dry west to east. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from normal in eastern Guyana and western Suriname to extremely dry in northern Guyana and exceptionally dry in north-eastern French Guiana. Curacao was moderately dry. Puerto Rico was predominantly normal with the exception of the extreme south east which was slight to moderately dry, the north west which was slight to severely dry and the north east which was slight to extremely wet. In Hispaniola, conditions ranged from normal in Haiti to moderately wet in eastern areas and slight to extremely dry in north central Dominican Republic. Jamaica ranged from slightly dry to normal from west to east, and Grand Cayman was slightly dry. Conditions in Cuba ranged from severely dry in west- central areas to normal in the east and west. Northern Bahamas ranged from severely dry to normal and Belize from slightly wet in the south to severely dry in the extreme west and slightly dry in the north.

April 2019 to March 2020
Conditions in the eastern Caribbean over the twelve month period were predominantly normal to below normal, with the exception of a small area which includes Antigua that was normal to slightly wet. Trinidad was slight to extremely dry; Tobago normal to slightly dry; Grenada, Dominica, St Kitts, St Maarten and Anguilla normal; Barbados exceptional to severely dry; St Vincent severely dry; Saint Lucia extreme to predominantly exceptionally dry; Martinique moderate to extremely dry; Guadeloupe normal to extremely dry from west to east; St Thomas slight to moderately dry and St Croix severely dry. In the Guianas, conditions were mostly normal ranging to moderately wet in central Guyana and exceptionally dry on the northern Suriname/French Guiana border. Curacao was moderate to severely dry. Puerto Rico ranged from severely dry in the west to slightly wet in the north east. Over Hispaniola, conditions ranged from extremely dry in north and south Dominican Republic to normal over the majority of Haiti and eastern Dominican Republic. Jamaica was predominantly normal with the exception of slight to moderately dry conditions in the southwest and northwest, and slightly dry in the east. Grand Cayman was extreme to severely dry from west to east. Western Cuba ranged from normal to moderately dry, and from normal to moderately wet in the east of the country. Northern Bahamas ranged from moderately wet to extremely dry south to north, and Belize from normal in the extreme south to exceptionally dry in the north and west.

April 2018 to March 2020
Rainfall over the islands of the eastern Caribbean for the two year period was mostly normal to below normal, with the exception of Guadeloupe that was slightly wet to exceptionally dry from west to east. Trinidad was slight to exceptionally dry from the south east to the north west; Tobago severe to moderately dry; Grenada slightly dry; Barbados and Saint Lucia exceptionally dry; St Vincent extreme to exceptionally dry; Martinique severely dry; Dominica moderately dry in the south to normal in the north; Antigua and St. Thomas normal; St Kitts normal in the south to slightly dry in the north; St Maarten and St Croix moderately dry. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from moderately wet in the extreme southwest of Guyana and northern Suriname to extremely dry along the north-eastern coast of French Guiana. Curacao was moderate to severely dry. Puerto Rico ranged from severely dry in the extreme southwest to normal in the east. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally dry in the west and south, to moderately dry in north central areas. Jamaica ranged from slightly wet in the west to severely dry in the east, whereas, Grand Cayman was severely dry. Cuba ranged from slightly wet in the extreme west to exceptionally dry in eastern areas. Northern Bahamas ranged from slightly wet to extremely dry, and Belize from normal in the south to exceptionally dry in the west, north and east.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

Mean Temperature Anomalies March 2020

March 2020

 Temperature anomalies in the eastern Caribbean were mixed relative to the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad was between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer from northeast to southwest; Tobago, Grenada and St. Maarten between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Barbados from 0.25oC cooler in the south-eastern tip to 0.75 warmer elsewhere; Saint Lucia and Guadeloupe between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer; Martinique and St. Kitts between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer; Dominica between 0.25 oC cooler and 0.25 oC warmer; and Antigua and St. Croix 0.25 and 0.75 oC cooler. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer in the northern tip of Guyana and the northeastern tip of French Guiana to above 2.50oC warmer in central Guyana and north central French Guiana. Curacao was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Puerto Rico was between 0 to 0.75 oC cooler in the northeast while the rest of the island was between 0 to 1.50 oC warmer. Haiti was between 0 to 0.75 oC warmer. Jamaica and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Cuba ranged from 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer from southeast to northwest. Belize ranged from between ranged from 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer from south to north. Northern Bahamas was between 0.25 and 2.50 oC warmer.

January to March 2020

Much of the eastern Caribbean was warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average, except for Antigua that was between 0.25 and 0.75 cooler, and St. Croix that was between 0.25 cooler to 0.25 warmer. Trinidad was between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer; Barbados between  0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer from southeast to northwest; Tobago, Grenada, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Guadeloupe, St. Kitts, St. Maarten,  and St. Thomas were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer;   and  between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from at least 0 to 0.25 oC warmer in northeastern French Guiana to above 2.50 oC warmer in north central French Guiana, and to between 0.75 to 1.50 oC in central areas of Guyana and Suriname. Curacao was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Puerto Rico and Haiti were between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer. Jamaica, Grand Cayman, Cuba and Belize were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 to 2.50 oC warmer.

October 2019 to March 2020

The islands of the eastern Caribbean were warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average, except for Dominica that ranged from between 0 and 0.25 oC cooler in the northeast to 0.75 oC warmer in the southwest. Trinidad,and Tobago were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer than average; Barbados and St. Maarten between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer; Grenada, Saint Lucia, Martinique, St. Kitts and St. Thomas between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; ; Guadeloupe between 0 and 1.50 oC warmer from east to west; and Antigua and St. Croix between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from between 0 oC warmer in north eastern French Guiana up to more than 2.50 oC warmer in north central French Guiana, and to between 0.75 and 1.50oC in most of Guyana and Suriname. Curacao was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Puerto Rico was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer with the southeastern tip being between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Haiti, Jamaica, Cuba, Grand Cayman and Belize were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 and 2.50 oC warmer.

April 2019 to March 2020

The southern portion of the eastern chain was warmer than normal, unlike the mixed conditions further north. Trinidad was between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer; Tobago between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer; Grenada, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, St. Maarten and St. Thomas between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Dominica between 0.75 oC cooler in the north to 0.75 oC warmer in the south; Guadeloupe between 0.25 and 0.75 oC cooler; Antigua and St. Croix between 0 and 0.25 oC cooler; and St. Kitts between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged between 0 and 0.25oC in northeastern Suriname and French Guiana and 2.50 oC warmer in most of French Guiana, and to between 0.75 and 1.50 oC in most of Guyana and Suriname. Curacao was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Puerto Rico was predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer with a small section the northeast being between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Haiti was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC. Jamaica, Cuba and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Belize was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer with the extreme west being between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer and small section in the north central being 1.50 to 2.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 and 2.50 oC warmer.

Mean Temperature for March 2020

Mean Temperature for the Period April 2019 to March 2020

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

SPEI February 2020

    

SPI Monitor February 2020

February 2020

Mixed conditions prevailed throughout the islands of the eastern Caribbean during the month of February. Trinidad was predominantly normal, apart from the southwest which was slightly dry; Tobago, Dominica, St Croix and St Thomas normal; Grenada moderate to very wet; Saint Lucia and Martinique normal to moderately dry; Barbados normal to moderately wet; St Vincent moderately dry; Guadeloupe slightly wet in the west to moderately dry in the east; Antigua moderately wet; St Kitts mostly exceptionally wet, with extremely wet conditions in the extreme north; and St Maarten normal. In The Guianas, conditions ranged from normal in northern Suriname to exceptionally dry in in the vicinity of the southern Guyana/Suriname border, and east central French Guiana. Curacao was slightly dry. Puerto Rico ranged from slightly wet in the south west to exceptionally wet in the north east, with normal conditions on the south central to south eastern coast. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally wet at the Dominican Republic/Haiti border to normal in the east, west and south.  Jamaica ranged from normal to moderately wet from south to north, except for slight to moderately dry conditions in the extreme east and the southern tip which was slightly dry. Grand Cayman was moderately dry. Cuba was predominantly normal, with the exception of slight to moderately wet conditions in the southeast. Northern Bahamas was normal. Belize was mostly normal with the exception of a small area in the east which was slightly dry and parts of the western border and extreme south which was slight to moderately dry.

December 2019 to February 2020

Mixed conditions prevailed throughout the islands of the eastern Caribbean during the three month period. Trinidad, Tobago, Grenada, Martinique and St Croix were normal; Barbados moderately dry in the extreme south east to normal on the north western border; St Vincent severe to moderately dry from south to north; Saint Lucia slightly dry; Dominica mostly exceptionally wet with severe to slightly wet conditions in the north east; Guadeloupe moderately wet to slightly dry from west to east; Antigua moderate to slightly wet; St Kitts exceptionally wet; St Maarten moderately wet; and St. Thomas very wet. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from normal in the southern half of Guyana, northern portions of Suriname and south eastern French Guiana, to severely dry in northern Guyana, and to exceptionally dry in north western French Guiana . Curacao was normal. Puerto Rico was predominantly exceptionally wet. Hispaniola ranged from very wet in the north to slightly dry in the southeast. Jamaica was predominantly normal except for the extreme west which was slightly wet.  Grand Cayman was slightly dry to normal from west to east.  Cuba was predominantly normal, except for slightly dry conditions in east central areas. Northern Bahamas was predominantly normal, with a small area which was slightly wet. Belize was predominantly normal, with slight to moderately dry conditions on the western border.

September 2019 to February 2020

Apart from Dominica that was normal to slightly wet, rainfall in the islands of the eastern Caribbean was normal to below normal for the six month period. Trinidad was moderately dry in the extreme south west to normal in the extreme north east; Tobago, Grenada, Antigua, St Kitts and St Maarten were normal; Barbados and Saint Lucia moderate to exceptionally dry; St Vincent exceptionally dry; Martinique normal in the south to severely dry in the north; Guadeloupe normal to exceptionally dry from west to east; St Croix severely dry and St Thomas normal. In the Guianas, conditions ranged from slightly wet in southern Guyana to predominantly normal to severely dry in northern Guyana and north eastern Suriname and exceptionally dry in North West and north east French Guiana. Curacao was moderately dry. Puerto Rico was severely dry to very wet from west to north east. Hispaniola ranged from exceptionally dry in central Dominican Republic to normal in the east and west. Jamaica was predominantly normal with slight to moderately dry conditions in the North West. Grand Cayman was extreme to severely dry from west to east. Cuba ranged from severely dry in west central areas to slightly wet in the extreme west and predominantly normal in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from slight to extremely dry from south to north, and  Belize ranged from normal in the south to moderately dry in the north.

March 2019 to February 2020

Rainfall in the islands of the eastern Caribbean ranged from normal to below normal over the twelve month period. Trinidad was extreme to slightly dry; Tobago, Dominica and St Kitts normal to slightly dry; Grenada, Antigua, St Maarten and Anguilla normal; Barbados and Saint Lucia severe to exceptionally dry; St Vincent moderately dry; Martinique moderate to severely dry; Guadeloupe normal to extremely dry from west to east; St Thomas slight to moderately dry and St Croix severely dry. Conditions in the Guianas  ranged from  predominantly normal  to moderately wet in north central areas of Guyana, and to slightly dry in the north of Guyana, to severely dry in north eastern Suriname and to exceptionally dry in northwest and north east  of  French Guiana. Curacao was moderate to severely dry. Puerto Rico was predominantly normal, with slightly dry conditions in a very small area in the extreme southwest. Conditions in Hispaniola ranged from normal in the south extremely dry in northern Dominican Republic, and to exceptionally dry in western Haiti. Jamaica ranged from slightly dry in central areas to slightly wet in the west, and to moderately dry in the northwest and in the east. Grand Cayman was severely dry. Cuba ranged from moderately wet in the northwest to exceptionally dry in the east. Northern Bahamas ranged from moderately wet in the south to extremely dry in the north. Belize ranged from normal in the south to exceptionally dry in the north.

March 2018 to February 2020

Rainfall in the eastern Caribbean was predominantly normal to below normal over the two year period. Trinidad was slightly dry in the southeast to extremely dry in the North West; Tobago moderate to severely dry; Grenada and St Kitts slightly dry; St Vincent severe to extremely dry from south to north; Barbados exceptional to extremely dry from south to north; Saint Lucia exceptionally dry; Martinique severe to moderately dry; Dominica moderately dry to normal from south to north; Guadeloupe normal to exceptionally dry from west to east; Antigua normal to slightly dry; St Maarten and St Croix moderately dry. Most of the Guianas was normal, but ranged to exceptionally dry in northern Guyana, to moderately wet in southern Guyana and north-western Suriname, and to moderately dry in the vicinity of the Suriname/French Guiana border, and to extremely dry. Curacao was moderate to severely dry. Puerto Rico was severely dry in the extreme south west to normal in the east. Hispaniola ranged from moderately dry in the north to exceptionally dry in the south and west. Jamaica was predominantly normal, with slight to moderately wet conditions in the west, slight to severely dry conditions in the east and a slightly dry area in the northwest, whereas Grand Cayman was severely dry. Cuba ranged from moderately wet in the west to exceptionally dry in the east.  Northern Bahamas ranged from moderately wet in southern portions to extremely dry in the north. Belize ranged from normal in the south to exceptionally dry in the west and north.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

 

 

Mean Temperature Anomalies February 2020

February 2020

 Much of the eastern Caribbean was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados, Saint Lucia, St. Maarten, St. Thomas was between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer than average; Grenada, Dominica, St. Kitts, and St. Croix were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Martinique from between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer from north to south; Guadeloupe from between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer from north to south; Antigua between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from at least 0.75oC cooler in northeast Suriname to above 2.50oC warmer in north central French Guiana. Curacao was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer.  Puerto Rico, and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Jamaica was between 1.50 and 2.50 oC warmer, Cuba was predominantly between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer except for the west central portions which were between 1.50 to 2.50 oC warmer. Belize ranged from between 0.25 and 2.50 oC warmer from south to north. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 and 2.50 oC warmer.

December 2019 to February 2020

  Much of the eastern Caribbean was between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados and St. Maarten  were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer; Grenada, Martinique, St. Kitts, and St. Croix were between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Saint Lucia and St. Thomas between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer; Dominica ranged from between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer from east the west; Guadeloupe between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer from east to west; Antigua between 0 to 0.25 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from at least 0.25oC cooler in northeast Suriname to above 2.50 oC warmer in north central French Guiana. Curacao was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Puerto Rico, Grand Cayman and Cuba were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Jamaica was predominantly between 1.50 and 2.50 oC warmer with eastern portions being between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Belize ranged from between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer from south to north. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 to 2.50 oC warmer.

September 2019 to February 2020

 Much of the eastern Caribbean was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados, St. Maarten was between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer than average; Grenada, Saint Lucia, Martinique and St. Kitts between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Dominica ranged from between 0 and  0.25 oC cooler in the northeast to between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer in the southwest; Guadeloupe between 0 and 1.50 oC warmer from east to west; Antigua between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer from east to west; St. Croix between 0 and 0.25 oC warmer and St. Thomas between 0.25 and 1.50 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from between 0 in northern Suriname up to more than 2.50 oC in French Guiana. Curacao was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer.  Puerto Rico was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer with western portions of the island being between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Cuba, Grand Cayman and Belize were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Jamaica was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer with western portions being between 1.50 and 2.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 and 2.50 oC warmer.

March 2019 to February 2020

Temperature anomalies in the eastern Caribbean were mixed relative to the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad was between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer; Tobago between 0.25 and 1.5 oC warmer; Grenada, , Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, St. Maarten St. Thomas was between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer; Dominica ranged from between 0.25 and 0.75 oC cooler in the north to between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer in the south; Guadeloupe between 0.25 and 0.75 oC cooler; Antigua predominantly between 0 and 0.25 oC cooler except for the north which was 0 and 0.25 oC warmer; St. Kitts between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer; St. Croix between 0 and 0.25 oC cooler. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from between 0 and 2.50 oC warmer. Curacao was between 0 and 0.75 oC warmer from southeast to northwest. Puerto Rico was predominantly between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer with the northeast area being between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Jamaica was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer, with eastern sections being between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Cuba and Grand Cayman were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Belize was predominantly between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer with the extreme west being between 0.25 and 0.75 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 0.75 and 2.50 oC warmer.

Mean Temperature for February 2020

Mean Temperature for the Period March 2019 to February 2020

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

Mean Temperature Anomalies January 2020

January 2020

 Much of the eastern Caribbean was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad and Tobago and Barbados were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer than average; Grenada, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Maarten, St. Thomas was 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer; Saint Lucia from between 0.25 to 1.50 oC from south to north;  Dominica from 0 to 0.25 oC cooler in the east to 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer in the west; Martinique from between 0 to 0.75 oC warmer from north to south; Guadeloupe from between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer from east to west; Antigua between 0 to 0.25 oC cooler; St. Croix was between 0 to 0.25 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer and Curacao between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from at least 0.25oC warmer in northern and southern Guyana to up to 2.5oC warmer in north central French Guiana.   Puerto Rico was predominantly between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer with only the southeastern portions being 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer. Haiti, Jamaica, Grand Cayman and Cuba were between 0.75 and 1.50 oC warmer. Belize ranged from at most 2.50 oC warmer in central areas to at least 0.75oC warmer. Majority of northern Bahamas was between 1.50 and 2.50 oC warmer.

November 2019 to January 2020

 Much of the eastern Caribbean was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad and Tobago, Barbados, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Maarten, St. Thomas was between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer than average; Saint Lucia, Martinique and St. Croix were between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer; Grenada ranged from between 0.25 to 1.50 oC from north to south; Dominica ranged from between 0 to 0.25 oC cooler in the northeast to 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer in the southwest; Guadeloupe was between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer; Antigua was between 0 to 0.75 oC warmer from east to west. Aruba was between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer and Curacao was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas were at least 0.25 oC warmer to more than 2.50 oC warmer. Puerto Rico, Haiti, Grand Cayman and Cuba were between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer. Jamaica was predominantly between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer and ranged up 2.50 oC warmer. Belize was between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 1.50 to 2.50 oC warmer.

August 2019 to January 2020

Much of the eastern Caribbean was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad and Tobago were between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer than average; Grenada, Saint Lucia, Martinique and St. Kitts and Nevis were between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer; Barbados was between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer from southeast to northwest; Dominica ranged from between  0.25 to  0.75 oC cooler in the north to 0.25 – 0.75 oC warmer in the south; Guadeloupe was between 0.25 to  0.75 oC cooler; St. Maarten was between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer from northeast to southwest;  St. Thomas was between 0.25 to 1.50 oC warmer from east to west; St. Croix was between 0 to 0.25 oC cooler. Antigua was between 0 to 0.25 oC warmer. Aruba was between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer and Curacao was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from between 0.25 oC warmer to 2.50 oC and higher. Puerto Rico was predominantly between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer with western portions of the island being between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer. Haiti was predominantly between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer with the eastern portions being between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer. Jamaica was predominantly between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer with a small portion of the northwest ranging as high as 2.50 oC warmer. Grand Cayman and Cuba was between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer. Belize was predominantly 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer with only a small section of central Belize ranging as high as 2.50 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 1.50 to 2.50 oC warmer.

February 2019 to January 2020

Much of the eastern Caribbean was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer than the 1981 – 2010 average. Trinidad and the southern tip of Tobago was between  0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer while northern Tobago was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer than average; Grenada, Saint Lucia, Barbados, Martinique, St. Maarten, St. Thomas was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer than; Dominica ranged from between 0.25 to  0.75 oC cooler in the north to between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer in the south; Guadeloupe was between 0.25 to – 0.75 oC cooler; Antigua was between 0 to – 0.25 oC cooler; St. Kitts and Nevis was predominantly between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer with only the southern tip of St. Kitts being between 0 to 0.25 oC warmer; St. Croix was between 0 to 0.25 oC cooler. Aruba was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer and Curacao between 0 to 0.25 oC warmer. Conditions in the Guianas ranged from between 0.25 to as high as 2.50 oC warmer. Puerto Rico was predominantly between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer with a small portion of the northeast being between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer. Haiti was between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer.  Jamaica was predominantly between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer with eastern portions being between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer. Cuba and Grand Cayman was between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer. Belize was predominantly between 0.75 to 1.50 oC warmer with only a small section of west central area being between 0.25 to 0.75 oC warmer. Northern Bahamas was between 1.50 to 2.50 oC warmer.

Mean Temperature for January 2020

Mean Temperature for the Period February 2019 to January 2020

Disclaimer

The information contained herein is provided with the understanding that The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

SPEI January 2020