The CariCOF Precipitation Outlook is a map detailing precipitation forecasts across the region for three-month periods. It provides a first warning on pending impactful rainfall deviations from the usual situation for a given season. Each category is, historically speaking, equally likely (33%). Forecast probabilities for each category then show forecast likelihoods of rainfall sums being below-normal, near-normal (“usual”) or above-normal. The Outlook features consensus information based on a combination of objective global and regional climate model inputs and local/regional climate expertise.

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